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Baskonia vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 84-64
27-19 16-14 24-12 17-19
Position#7
Record12-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#4
Record15-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game80.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26
European cup2017
Meetings · Baskonia v Zalgiris Kaunas
28 Jan 2027
BAS v ZAL
upcoming
30 Jan 2026
BAS102
ZAL91
06 Mar 2025
BAS66
ZAL65
19 Oct 2023
BAS82
ZAL99
23 Nov 2022
BAS93
ZAL73
01 Apr 2022
BAS96
ZAL79
29 Jan 2021
BAS81
ZAL68
28 Feb 2019
BAS80
ZAL73
15 Mar 2018
BAS84
ZAL64
06 Apr 2017
BAS79
ZAL84
25 Feb 2016
BAS71
ZAL65
19 Oct 2012
BAS71
ZAL77
10 Nov 2010
BAS88
ZAL92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
103-84
103
84
+19
137avg 113
H02/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
96-72
96
72
+24
125avg 113
H04/02
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
76-80
76
80
-4
104avg 113
A08/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#7
W
96-78
96
78
+18
132avg 113
H10/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
90-94
90
94
-4
no box
A16/02
Spanish Cup
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
113avg 113
A22/02
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
W
87-77
87
77
+10
120avg 113
H01/03
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
98-74
98
74
+24
132avg 113
A04/03
ACB
Valencia
#11
W
81-71
81
71
+10
110avg 113
A08/03
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
75-61
75
61
+14
106avg 113
A11/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
26-23
22-19
28-25
31-7
27-23
17-22
21-20
22-21
18-25
13-21
23-13
13-21
23-17
31-15
29-25
22-28
25-24
20-22
23-20
25-20
24-26
22-25
15-22
18-26
26-13
25-13
18-25
22-11
27-19
20-20
29-24
16-20
15-16
22-19
28-16
16-13
18-19
18-10
23-19
167.2Avg total
88.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.180.2162.2+1.948%
Season at home (11)84.979.5164.4+5.564%
Season away (14)79.980.7160.6-0.936%
Last 10 (10)88.878.4167.2+10.470%
Last 5 (5)85.475.2160.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.591.5175.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.375.7155.0+3.650%
vs Weaker (17)86.879.6166.4+7.276%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#8
L
74-84
74
84
-10
97avg 110
H09/02
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
68-75
68
75
-7
no box
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
H14/02
LKF Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
88-74
88
74
+14
no box
H17/02
LKF Cup
Rytas
#2
W
81-62
81
62
+19
no box
A18/02
LKF Cup
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
86-70
86
70
+16
114avg 110
A23/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
W
90-74
90
74
+16
123avg 110
H01/03
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
72-63
72
63
+9
no box
H04/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
101avg 110
H09/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
A12/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
18-28
15-18
15-23
26-14
12-24
12-16
18-21
17-21
26-19
26-21
16-17
25-17
29-17
18-24
16-16
20-19
13-16
27-18
21-9
21-23
24-13
23-20
18-14
19-15
25-19
26-16
20-24
19-18
12-10
17-19
24-16
24-17
16-14
18-21
20-33
22-6
19-25
21-15
17-27
153.9Avg total
80.1Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.180.8163.0+1.360%
Season at home (13)81.581.2162.7+0.469%
Season away (12)82.880.5163.2+2.250%
Last 10 (10)80.173.8153.9+6.370%
Last 5 (5)81.073.0154.0+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.781.1163.9+1.657%
vs Weaker (22)82.674.7157.3+7.982%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
BaskoniaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H02/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
58-30
58
30
+28
H04/02
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A08/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H10/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A16/02
Spanish Cup
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A22/02
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H01/03
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A04/03
ACB
Valencia
#11
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A08/03
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A11/03
ACB
83.0Avg total
44.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.180.6+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.037.280.2+5.867%-
Last 30 away (15)40.140.981.0-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)44.138.983.0+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.678.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.548.597.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.136.377.4+4.860%-
vs Weaker (17)40.638.879.5+1.859%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H09/02
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H14/02
LKF Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H17/02
LKF Cup
Rytas
#2
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A18/02
LKF Cup
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A23/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H01/03
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H04/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#2
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A12/03
LKL
76.3Avg total
41.3Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.577.6+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.436.177.4+5.375%-
Last 30 away (14)40.937.077.9+3.957%-
Last 10 (10)41.335.076.3+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.232.072.2+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.038.377.3+0.743%-
vs Weaker (22)41.735.877.5+6.073%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.9
56.7%
51.7%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.88.7
41.8%
37.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.615.8
80.6%
76.3%15.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.6
54.7%
51.7%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.47.6
41.3%
37.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.215.3
79.7%
76.3%15.3
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WWWWLLWLWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWWWWWLL
#7
League position
#4
+14.4
Net rating
+4.3
119.3
Offensive rating
117.6
104.9
Defensive rating
113.2
58.7%
Effective FG%
57.0%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.0%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
41.8%
3-point %
41.3%
60.4%
Assist %
66.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence119.3 · 117.6Defence104.9 · 113.2Shooting58.7% · 57.0%3-point %41.8% · 41.3%Ball care16.9% · 17.0%Off. rebounds29.2% · 31.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Baskonia   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Baskonia wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/18AJoventut Badalona75-61
08/03/18AValencia81-71
04/03/18ATecnyconta Zaragoza98-74
01/03/18HKhimki M.87-77
22/02/18ACSKA Moscow86-93
16/02/18ABarcelona90-94
10/02/18HUnicaja96-78
08/02/18APanathinaikos76-80
04/02/18HBarcelona96-72
02/02/18HCrvena zvezda103-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/18ANevezis79-73
09/03/18HFenerbahce78-85
04/03/18HAlytaus Dzukija72-63
01/03/18HBarcelona90-74
23/02/18AAnadolu Efes86-70
18/02/18ARytas81-62
17/02/18HLietkabelis88-74
14/02/18HSiauliai85-78
11/02/18ARytas68-75
09/02/18HKhimki M.74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW48%
HomeLWLWW64%
AwayLWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %48%64%36%
Points / game82.184.979.9
Allowed / game80.279.580.7
Point differential+1.9+5.5-0.9
Avg total162.2164.4160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWLWL69%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %60%69%50%
Points / game82.181.582.8
Allowed / game80.881.280.5
Point differential+1.3+0.4+2.2
Avg total163.0162.7163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%15%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2520580%90.479.6+10.8
2 Fenerbahce2518772%80.475.0+5.4
3 Olympiacos2618869%76.775.3+1.4
4 Real Madrid26161062%85.579.0+6.5
5 Zalgiris Kaunas25151060%82.180.8+1.3
6 Khimki M.26151158%78.278.1+0.2
7 Panathinaikos25141156%77.678.0-0.4
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv26131350%82.284.5-2.3
9 Baskonia25121348%82.180.2+1.9
10 Crvena zvezda26111542%78.483.5-5.0
11 Unicaja25101540%77.680.7-3.1
12 Bamberg26101638%75.979.5-3.6
13 Barcelona2691735%80.779.2+1.6
14 Valencia2691735%78.081.3-3.3
15 Olimpia Milano2691735%81.585.8-4.3
16 Anadolu Efes2662023%77.083.5-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2716241784
Zalgiris Kaunas1914121964
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