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Baskonia vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-84
16-21 24-20 16-27 23-16
Position#8
Record17-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game79.0
Baskonia
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Position#10
Record13-16
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game79.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30
European cup2016
Meetings · Baskonia v Zalgiris Kaunas
28 Jan 2027
BAS v ZAL
upcoming
30 Jan 2026
BAS102
ZAL91
06 Mar 2025
BAS66
ZAL65
19 Oct 2023
BAS82
ZAL99
23 Nov 2022
BAS93
ZAL73
01 Apr 2022
BAS96
ZAL79
29 Jan 2021
BAS81
ZAL68
28 Feb 2019
BAS80
ZAL73
15 Mar 2018
BAS84
ZAL64
06 Apr 2017
BAS79
ZAL84
25 Feb 2016
BAS71
ZAL65
19 Oct 2012
BAS71
ZAL77
10 Nov 2010
BAS88
ZAL92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
87-74
87
74
+13
123avg 110
H02/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
71-63
71
63
+8
no box
H05/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#3
W
79-74
79
74
+5
106avg 110
A09/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#17
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
A12/03
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
79-78
79
78
+1
110avg 110
H17/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
W
96-71
96
71
+25
126avg 110
A21/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
L
63-72
63
72
-9
90avg 110
H23/03
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#11
W
76-70
76
70
+6
no box
A26/03
ACB
Galatasaray
#12
W
103-80
103
80
+23
141avg 110
A31/03
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
H02/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
15-17
28-16
21-21
11-12
18-13
20-18
22-20
19-18
24-17
18-20
18-19
16-12
14-28
23-30
29-17
18-14
16-19
27-21
18-24
28-11
25-26
21-16
22-18
6-24
15-13
16-17
26-18
12-20
22-8
22-22
20-20
27-21
33-23
20-22
23-14
12-19
18-16
23-19
26-21
155.9Avg total
81.5Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.679.0160.6+2.659%
Season at home (14)80.173.5153.6+6.671%
Season away (15)83.084.2167.2-1.247%
Last 10 (10)81.574.4155.9+7.180%
Last 5 (5)83.473.6157.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.078.5153.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.982.0159.9-4.133%
vs Weaker (15)89.177.8166.9+11.387%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
L
69-78
69
78
-9
no box
H05/03
LKL
Panathinaikos
#5
W
64-58
64
58
+6
92avg 106
H09/03
Euroleague
Skycop
#6
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
A12/03
LKL
Unics Kazan
#15
W
82-80
82
80
+2
108avg 106
A17/03
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
A19/03
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
68-76
68
76
-8
95avg 106
H21/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
93-77
93
77
+16
123avg 106
A23/03
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
79-64
79
64
+15
no box
A27/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#16
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
H31/03
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
94-70
94
70
+24
no box
H02/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
18-28
20-11
15-19
9-17
10-14
15-10
30-17
21-18
23-11
15-23
22-18
24-23
18-20
22-17
18-20
14-22
20-18
16-19
23-12
22-17
22-24
15-19
9-16
17-14
27-19
27-25
22-19
9-21
32-10
20-14
18-19
27-18
14-21
22-24
21-25
21-12
20-28
28-7
25-23
151.9Avg total
78.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.179.7157.9-1.645%
Season at home (15)75.478.3153.7-2.940%
Season away (14)81.181.3162.4-0.250%
Last 10 (10)78.773.2151.9+5.570%
Last 5 (5)83.675.0158.6+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.274.2141.5-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.777.4154.1-0.760%
vs Weaker (16)82.068.7150.7+13.381%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
BaskoniaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H02/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H05/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#3
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A09/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#17
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A12/03
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H17/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A21/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
L
21-37
21
37
-16
H23/03
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#11
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A26/03
ACB
Galatasaray
#12
W
60-44
60
44
+16
A31/03
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H02/04
ACB
72.3Avg total
37.2Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.876.5+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.336.372.6+0.160%-
Last 30 away (15)41.039.380.3+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)37.235.172.3+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.275.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.036.071.0-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.240.074.2-5.833%-
vs Weaker (15)42.336.578.8+5.780%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H05/03
LKL
Panathinaikos
#5
L
19-31
19
31
-12
H09/03
Euroleague
Skycop
#6
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A12/03
LKL
Unics Kazan
#15
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A17/03
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A19/03
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A23/03
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A27/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H31/03
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H02/04
LKL
75.9Avg total
38.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.635.874.4+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.636.374.9+2.369%-
Last 30 away (14)38.635.273.9+3.464%-
Last 10 (10)38.437.575.9+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.879.0+5.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.237.872.0-3.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.738.976.6-1.260%-
vs Weaker (16)40.333.473.7+6.981%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.1
52.5%
50.7%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.7
35.8%
37.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.012.5
78.1%
75.6%12.5
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.1
52.2%
50.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.28.5
42.1%
37.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.312.4
76.1%
75.6%12.4
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WWWLWWLWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWLWWWWL
#8
League position
#10
+6.6
Net rating
+0.6
113.0
Offensive rating
113.5
106.5
Defensive rating
112.9
52.9%
Effective FG%
56.1%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.8%
3-point %
42.1%
67.9%
Assist %
70.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 113.5Defence106.5 · 112.9Shooting52.9% · 56.1%3-point %35.8% · 42.1%Ball care16.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds34.5% · 29.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Baskonia   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Baskonia wins
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
21/10/16Zalgiris Kaunas v Baskonia78-73
25/02/16Baskonia v Zalgiris Kaunas71-65
30/12/15Zalgiris Kaunas v Baskonia68-89
23/11/12Zalgiris Kaunas v Baskonia82-45
19/10/12Baskonia v Zalgiris Kaunas71-77
15/12/10Zalgiris Kaunas v Baskonia89-95 OT
10/11/10Baskonia v Zalgiris Kaunas88-92
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/17HReal Betis79-75
31/03/17AGalatasaray103-80
26/03/17AEstudiantes76-70
23/03/17HPanathinaikos63-72
21/03/17ABamberg96-71
17/03/17HCSKA Moscow79-78
12/03/17AManresa82-87
09/03/17AFenerbahce79-74
05/03/17HValencia71-63
02/03/17HOlimpia Milano87-74
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/17HPieno Zvaigzdes94-70
31/03/17HOlimpia Milano84-88
27/03/17AAlytaus Dzukija79-64
23/03/17AMaccabi Tel Aviv93-77
21/03/17HAnadolu Efes68-76
19/03/17AJuventus73-71
17/03/17AUnics Kazan82-80
12/03/17ASkycop81-70
09/03/17HPanathinaikos64-58
05/03/17HNeptunas69-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW59%
HomeLLWWL71%
AwayLLWWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %59%71%47%
Points / game81.680.183.0
Allowed / game79.073.584.2
Point differential+2.6+6.6-1.2
Avg total160.6153.6167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)75% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL45%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game78.175.481.1
Allowed / game79.778.381.3
Point differential-1.6-2.9-0.2
Avg total157.9153.7162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%13%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2922776%85.878.4+7.4
2 CSKA Moscow2921872%87.279.3+7.9
3 Olympiacos29191066%77.773.7+4.0
4 Panathinaikos30191163%77.574.5+3.1
5 Fenerbahce30181260%76.274.8+1.4
6 Baskonia29171259%81.679.0+2.6
7 Anadolu Efes29171259%84.283.3+0.9
8 Crvena zvezda29161355%74.073.3+0.7
9 Darussafaka29151452%79.179.4-0.3
10 Zalgiris Kaunas29131645%78.179.7-1.6
11 Barcelona30121840%71.474.7-3.4
12 Galatasaray30111937%78.282.5-4.3
13 Bamberg30102033%79.981.0-1.1
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv30102033%78.083.6-5.6
15 Olimpia Milano2982128%81.287.2-6.1
16 Unics Kazan2972224%76.181.3-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1624162379
Zalgiris Kaunas2120271684
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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