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Baskonia vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 82-99
14-22 25-24 22-28 21-25
Position#9
Record1-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#13
Record2-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Baskonia v Zalgiris Kaunas
28 Jan 2027
BAS v ZAL
upcoming
30 Jan 2026
BAS102
ZAL91
06 Mar 2025
BAS66
ZAL65
19 Oct 2023
BAS82
ZAL99
23 Nov 2022
BAS93
ZAL73
01 Apr 2022
BAS96
ZAL79
29 Jan 2021
BAS81
ZAL68
28 Feb 2019
BAS80
ZAL73
15 Mar 2018
BAS84
ZAL64
06 Apr 2017
BAS79
ZAL84
25 Feb 2016
BAS71
ZAL65
19 Oct 2012
BAS71
ZAL77
10 Nov 2010
BAS88
ZAL92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
91-99
91
99
-8
81avg 68
H27/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
70avg 68
A30/05
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
88-79
88
79
+9
89avg 68
A24/09
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
76-88
76
88
-12
65avg 68
A27/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
92-72
92
72
+20
85avg 68
H30/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
77-79
77
79
-2
71avg 68
H06/10
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
90-81
90
81
+9
68avg 68
A08/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
91-86
91
86
+5
85avg 68
A12/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
85-80
85
80
+5
71avg 68
A15/10
ACB
Bayern
#15
L
68-76
68
76
-8
53avg 68
H17/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
23-20
27-30
25-21
19-21
21-25
22-25
14-12
23-19
26-18
18-20
21-22
13-18
11-20
24-23
28-27
18-20
22-11
27-16
25-25
23-19
24-24
20-19
10-17
20-13
25-20
17-23
28-25
25-21
26-26
25-14
15-25
24-23
21-11
20-24
20-22
22-20
20-21
20-16
6-19
165.7Avg total
83.4Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.780.3159.0-1.733%
Season at home (2)72.577.5150.0-5.00%
Season away (1)91.086.0177.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.482.3165.7+1.150%
Last 5 (5)82.280.4162.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.582.5160.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.583.3165.8-0.736%
vs Weaker (17)94.484.9179.4+9.588%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
68-69
68
69
-1
53avg 77
A08/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
97-87
97
87
+10
89avg 77
H10/06
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
107-55
107
55
+52
108avg 77
A17/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 77
A28/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
78-68
78
68
+10
80avg 77
H01/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 77
A05/10
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#7
W
73-69
73
69
+4
58avg 77
A09/10
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
79-74
79
74
+5
74avg 77
H13/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
86-69
86
69
+17
89avg 77
H15/10
LKL
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
66avg 77
A17/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
17-18
10-13
18-24
23-24
23-21
24-24
27-18
34-16
21-7
25-14
27-18
15-17
26-19
25-14
13-19
23-23
15-22
15-16
25-7
15-23
22-19
21-23
24-14
15-16
20-27
10-14
28-12
19-21
16-17
15-18
29-18
27-10
20-15
22-20
17-24
19-25
24-28
19-19
17-21
156.0Avg total
82.8Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.082.0162.0-2.067%
Season at home (1)79.074.0153.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)80.586.0166.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)82.873.2156.0+9.680%
Last 5 (5)79.876.8156.6+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.887.5161.2-13.80%
vs Similar ◀ (3)81.377.7159.0+3.7100%
vs Weaker (23)85.374.8160.1+10.483%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +5.0+5.0
BaskoniaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H27/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A30/05
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A24/09
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A27/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H06/10
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A08/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A12/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A15/10
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/10
Euroleague
82.0Avg total
42.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.685.5+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.442.688.9+3.864%-
Last 30 away (16)41.840.882.6+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.882.0+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.039.685.6+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.044.084.0-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.342.082.3-1.727%-
vs Weaker (17)46.841.187.8+5.776%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A08/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H10/06
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
55-23
55
23
+32
A17/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H01/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A05/10
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/10
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H13/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H15/10
LKL
Real Madrid
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A17/10
Euroleague
79.9Avg total
41.7Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.880.8+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.938.880.7+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)42.038.980.9+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.279.9+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.279.6-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.043.879.8-7.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)35.339.374.7-4.00%-
vs Weaker (23)43.937.981.8+6.070%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.1
53.3%
53.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.7
33.9%
36.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.612.9
73.3%
77.4%12.9
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.0
54.5%
53.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.1
35.7%
36.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
77.4%14.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LWWWLWLWLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWWWWWWWL
#9
League position
#13
+0.9
Net rating
+13.0
108.6
Offensive rating
111.4
107.7
Defensive rating
98.3
52.3%
Effective FG%
54.1%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
18.1%
Turnover %
17.2%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.9%
3-point %
35.7%
54.7%
Assist %
53.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 111.4Defence107.7 · 98.3Shooting52.3% · 54.1%3-point %33.9% · 35.7%Ball care18.1% · 17.2%Off. rebounds31.4% · 29.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Baskonia   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Baskonia wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/23HBayern68-76
15/10/23ABasket Zaragoza85-80
12/10/23AAlba Berlin91-86
08/10/23AGranada90-81
06/10/23HReal Madrid77-79
30/09/23HBilbao92-72
27/09/23AMurcia76-88
24/09/23ABreogan88-79
30/05/23AJoventut Badalona76-83
27/05/23HJoventut Badalona91-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/23AReal Madrid79-93
15/10/23HJonava86-69
13/10/23HCrvena zvezda79-74
09/10/23AMazeikiai73-69
05/10/23AVirtus Bologna82-79
01/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes78-68
28/09/23AJuventus79-69
17/09/23AGargzdai107-55
10/06/23HRytas97-87
08/06/23ARytas68-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game78.772.591.0
Allowed / game80.377.586.0
Point differential-1.7-5.0+5.0
Avg total159.0150.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game80.079.080.5
Allowed / game82.074.086.0
Point differential-2.0+5.0-5.5
Avg total162.0153.0166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid330100%91.778.7+13.0
2 Barcelona330100%86.775.0+11.7
3 Valencia330100%74.068.3+5.7
4 Fenerbahce43175%85.878.5+7.2
5 Virtus Bologna32167%83.072.3+10.7
6 Bayern32167%75.771.3+4.3
7 Zalgiris Kaunas32167%80.082.0-2.0
8 Olimpia Milano21150%73.569.0+4.5
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv21150%81.078.0+3.0
10 Olympiacos42250%76.878.5-1.8
11 Crvena zvezda31233%81.378.0+3.3
12 Baskonia31233%78.780.3-1.7
13 Panathinaikos31233%75.080.7-5.7
14 Monaco31233%68.776.3-7.7
15 Anadolu Efes31233%81.092.7-11.7
16 Partizan41325%86.587.0-0.5
17 Alba Berlin3030%76.786.0-9.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne4040%76.293.0-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1425222182
Zalgiris Kaunas2224282599
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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