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Baskonia vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 81-68
21-20 24-16 16-12 20-20
Position#10
Record9-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#11
Record13-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23
European cup2020
Meetings · Baskonia v Zalgiris Kaunas
28 Jan 2027
BAS v ZAL
upcoming
30 Jan 2026
BAS102
ZAL91
06 Mar 2025
BAS66
ZAL65
19 Oct 2023
BAS82
ZAL99
23 Nov 2022
BAS93
ZAL73
01 Apr 2022
BAS96
ZAL79
29 Jan 2021
BAS81
ZAL68
28 Feb 2019
BAS80
ZAL73
15 Mar 2018
BAS84
ZAL64
06 Apr 2017
BAS79
ZAL84
25 Feb 2016
BAS71
ZAL65
19 Oct 2012
BAS71
ZAL77
10 Nov 2010
BAS88
ZAL92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H02/01
ACB
Alba Berlin
#15
L
91-95
91
95
-4
A05/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
95-93
95
93
+2
H07/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
91-79
91
79
+12
A10/01
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
L
76-96
76
96
-20
A12/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A14/01
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
103-76
103
76
+27
H17/01
ACB
Alba Berlin
#15
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H22/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A24/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A27/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
24-14
19-16
23-14
19-25
25-20
28-29
19-21
31-19
15-26
33-22
16-26
19-30
21-15
29-16
22-18
18-28
23-23
15-24
20-21
21-26
22-21
17-21
22-23
25-13
27-23
24-19
27-21
18-21
32-25
11-21
16-17
18-14
13-21
12-23
18-25
26-17
20-18
7-23
24-25
168.4Avg total
83.7Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.179.1158.2-0.041%
Season at home (11)78.674.0152.6+4.655%
Season away (11)79.584.3163.8-4.727%
Last 10 (10)83.784.7168.4-1.040%
Last 5 (5)80.083.4163.4-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.092.0175.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.579.1156.6-1.555%
vs Weaker (18)83.278.3161.4+4.961%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A29/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
104-74
104
74
+30
A03/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
98-82
98
82
+16
A05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Khimki M.
#18
W
102-75
102
75
+27
H08/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A13/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A15/01
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
103-77
103
77
+26
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#12
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H22/01
Euroleague
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
94-59
94
59
+35
H24/01
LKL
Valencia
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A27/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
19-23
23-11
20-23
34-20
25-20
25-14
20-20
25-26
28-24
23-17
22-15
22-20
17-28
39-13
24-14
11-18
21-27
20-15
21-23
14-17
22-19
13-20
16-21
30-18
24-19
22-27
27-13
26-20
19-24
18-16
18-19
27-10
17-14
30-25
20-10
20-20
27-18
13-17
19-23
162.8Avg total
87.3Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.877.5157.3+2.259%
Season at home (11)84.078.6162.6+5.455%
Season away (11)75.576.5152.0-0.964%
Last 10 (10)87.375.5162.8+11.880%
Last 5 (5)84.474.0158.4+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.579.0154.5-3.525%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.379.2159.5+1.157%
vs Weaker (12)93.671.2164.8+22.3100%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
BaskoniaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H02/01
ACB
Alba Berlin
#15
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A05/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H07/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A10/01
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A12/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/01
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H17/01
ACB
Alba Berlin
#15
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H22/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A24/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A27/01
Euroleague
85.7Avg total
43.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.780.3+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.438.679.9+2.864%-
Last 30 away (16)40.140.680.7-0.638%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.285.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.884.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.040.083.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.441.078.4-3.636%-
vs Weaker (18)42.638.881.4+3.756%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A29/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
59-40
59
40
+19
A03/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Khimki M.
#18
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H08/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A13/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A15/01
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H22/01
Euroleague
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H24/01
LKL
Valencia
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A27/01
Euroleague
83.9Avg total
44.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.980.8+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.137.780.8+5.476%-
Last 30 away (13)40.440.580.9-0.246%-
Last 10 (10)44.039.983.9+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.235.881.0+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.041.077.0-5.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.941.181.9-0.257%-
vs Weaker (12)45.135.880.8+9.383%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.4
55.3%
52.7%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.910.2
39.4%
38.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.513.3
80.6%
79.3%13.3
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.622.0
55.6%
52.7%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.68.6
39.8%
38.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws14.312.0
83.9%
79.3%12.0
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLLWLLWWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWLLWWWW
#10
League position
#11
-1.9
Net rating
+11.1
113.3
Offensive rating
116.3
115.2
Defensive rating
105.2
56.9%
Effective FG%
57.0%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.4%
3-point %
39.8%
68.2%
Assist %
69.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 116.3Defence115.2 · 105.2Shooting56.9% · 57.0%3-point %39.4% · 39.8%Ball care19.1% · 17.6%Off. rebounds29.0% · 32.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Baskonia   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Baskonia wins
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/21ALyon-Villeurbanne77-83
24/01/21AValencia61-83
22/01/21HAlba Berlin77-84
17/01/21HReal Betis103-76
14/01/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv82-91
12/01/21AFenerbahce76-96
10/01/21AUnicaja91-79
07/01/21HCSKA Moscow95-93
05/01/21AAlba Berlin91-95
02/01/21HMoraBanc Andorra84-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/21AValencia79-78
24/01/21HNevezis-OPTIBET94-59
22/01/21HOlympiacos81-79
18/01/21HPieno Zvaigzdes103-77
15/01/21AZenit Petersburg65-77
13/01/21ACSKA Moscow73-83
08/01/21HKhimki M.102-75
05/01/21APieno Zvaigzdes98-82
03/01/21ANeptunas104-74
29/12/20AAlba Berlin74-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL41%
HomeLLWWL55%
AwayWLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%55%27%
Points / game79.178.679.5
Allowed / game79.174.084.3
Point differential-0.0+4.6-4.7
Avg total158.2152.6163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW59%
HomeWWWWW55%
AwayWWLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%55%64%
Points / game79.884.075.5
Allowed / game77.578.676.5
Point differential+2.2+5.4-0.9
Avg total157.3162.6152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2317674%81.073.4+7.6
2 CSKA Moscow2316770%83.178.5+4.7
3 Olimpia Milano2215768%82.478.2+4.2
4 Real Madrid2315865%81.376.9+4.4
5 Zenit Petersburg2113862%77.474.2+3.2
6 Bayern2314961%78.576.9+1.6
7 Zalgiris Kaunas2213959%79.877.5+2.2
8 Fenerbahce23131057%78.078.0+0.0
9 Anadolu Efes22121055%79.676.9+2.7
10 Olympiacos23111248%80.280.9-0.7
11 Valencia23111248%81.082.0-1.0
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv22101245%79.778.9+0.9
13 Baskonia2291341%79.179.1-0.0
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne2391439%76.780.5-3.8
15 Panathinaikos2281436%80.382.8-2.5
16 Alba Berlin2381535%76.382.3-6.0
17 Crvena zvezda2371630%74.178.7-4.6
18 Khimki M.232219%79.191.4-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2124162081
Zalgiris Kaunas2016122068
← all games of the day
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