Bauru vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Apr 2022

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 82-71

25-22 21-19 20-16 16-14

Position#6

Record21-12

FormWLWLL

Points / game78.3

Allowed / game76.7

Bauru 🏆

Pato

Position#11

Record13-20

FormLLWLW

Points / game73.0

Allowed / game78.2

NBB

Other2021-22

Meetings · Bauru v Pato

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pato winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bauru

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paulistano

65-53

+12

A04/03

NBB

Pinheiros

65-60

A06/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#16

82-77

A12/03

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

66-60

A14/03

NBB

Mogi

#13

107-103 OT

107

103

H24/03

NBB

Pato

#11

84-74

+10

H31/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#10

67-75

-8

A09/04

NBB

Minas

101-69

101

+32

H12/04

NBB

Flamengo

80-92

-12

H14/04

NBB

Pato

#11

63-72

-9

A20/04

NBB

21-11

18-14

13-9

13-19

14-15

19-14

17-14

15-17

21-18

10-18

26-21

25-20

15-20

14-18

15-7

22-15

20-20

23-24

22-20

21-22

19-24

20-20

26-10

19-20

17-16

14-19

19-14

17-26

23-8

25-16

27-20

26-25

23-17

14-23

26-33

17-19

20-25

10-10

16-16

17-21

151.5Avg total

78.0Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	78.3	76.7	155.0	+1.6	64%
Season at home (16)	86.4	76.9	163.4	+9.5	81%
Season away (17)	70.6	76.5	147.1	-5.9	47%
Last 10 (10)	78.0	73.5	151.5	+4.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	76.4	155.4	+2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	81.6	87.1	168.7	-5.6	29%
vs Similar (9)	75.1	73.4	148.6	+1.7	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	79.3	74.8	154.1	+4.5	77%

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pato

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cerrado

#14

78-94

-16

H19/02

NBB

Cearense

#15

84-78

A02/03

NBB

Unifacisa

78-87

-9

A04/03

NBB

Mogi

#13

79-70

H11/03

NBB

Sao Paulo

62-82

-20

H23/03

NBB

Bauru

74-84

-10

A31/03

NBB

Pinheiros

69-82

-13

A02/04

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#16

90-89

H06/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

59-68

-9

H08/04

NBB

Bauru

72-63

H20/04

NBB

16-19

16-23

22-17

24-35

15-23

17-12

29-20

23-23

14-27

20-16

21-20

23-24

18-12

22-16

19-28

20-14

16-20

10-18

25-23

11-21

24-19

20-20

10-26

20-19

15-16

19-21

22-21

13-24

25-21

22-17

15-27

28-24

8-19

22-15

20-14

9-20

25-20

10-10

16-16

21-17

154.2Avg total

74.5Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	73.0	78.2	151.1	-5.2	39%
Season at home (17)	73.1	77.2	150.4	-4.1	41%
Season away (16)	72.8	79.1	151.9	-6.3	38%
Last 10 (10)	74.5	79.7	154.2	-5.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.8	77.2	150.0	-4.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	74.1	80.2	154.3	-6.2	31%
vs Similar (14)	73.8	75.2	149.0	-1.4	57%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BauruPato

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	17.5	38.1	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	20.1	38.4	-1.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.4	36.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.9	19.3	41.1	+2.6	57%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.8	18.6	37.3	+0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	18.5	18.9	37.4	-0.5	31%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.1	38.4	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.6	20.1	37.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.1	39.1	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	44%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.9	19.9	36.7	-3.0	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.2	36.7	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	18.1	39.9	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.6	18.3	33.9	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	17.6	34.3	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	17.6	34.2	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.4	21.7	41.1	-2.3	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	18.1	17.5	35.6	+0.5	31%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	17.5	34.0	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	17.2	34.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.2	17.7	33.9	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	16.8	34.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	16.6	35.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.3	19.1	35.4	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.8	15.6	32.4	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paulistano

39-25

+14

A04/03

NBB

Pinheiros

33-29

A06/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#16

31-36

-5

A12/03

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

29-38

-9

A14/03

NBB

Mogi

#13

43-44

-1

H24/03

NBB

Pato

#11

39-44

-5

H31/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#10

31-35

-4

A09/04

NBB

Minas

48-24

+24

H12/04

NBB

Flamengo

37-40

-3

H14/04

NBB

Pato

#11

30-35

-5

A20/04

NBB

71.0Avg total

36.0Scored

35.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	37.1	75.0	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	35.6	78.0	+6.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.9	38.4	72.3	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	35.0	71.0	+1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	35.6	72.6	+1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	41.3	41.0	82.3	+0.3	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.6	35.6	72.1	+1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	36.5	36.5	73.0	+0.1	31%	-

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cerrado

#14

32-42

-10

H19/02

NBB

Cearense

#15

32-35

-3

A02/03

NBB

Unifacisa

34-43

-9

A04/03

NBB

Mogi

#13

40-28

+12

H11/03

NBB

Sao Paulo

26-38

-12

H23/03

NBB

Bauru

44-39

A31/03

NBB

Pinheiros

34-37

-3

A02/04

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#16

47-38

H06/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

30-34

-4

H08/04

NBB

Bauru

35-30

H20/04

NBB

71.8Avg total

35.4Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.8	37.6	72.4	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.5	37.3	71.8	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.1	37.9	73.0	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	36.4	71.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	35.6	73.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	35.8	39.4	75.2	-3.6	44%	-
vs Similar (14)	33.6	35.5	69.1	-1.9	21%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.3	38.3	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	19.4	40.6	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	16.4	37.1	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.6	41.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.3	23.0	44.3	-1.7	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.8	16.3	34.1	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.9	17.0	37.9	+3.9	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	18.7	36.9	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.8	37.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.4	41.2	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.7	20.9	43.6	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	21.8	39.2	-4.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.0	23.1	42.1	-4.1	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.8	21.6	42.3	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.9	40.2	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.9	40.4	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	22.1	41.3	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.8	20.5	40.2	-0.8	44%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.1	20.2	40.4	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	39.7	79.5	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.0	40.2	84.2	+3.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.1	39.2	75.4	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	36.8	76.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	40.8	82.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.3	46.1	86.4	-5.9	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.6	37.9	76.4	+0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	41.2	37.0	78.2	+4.2	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	40.0	78.7	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	40.3	80.2	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	39.6	77.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	43.3	82.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	41.6	76.4	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	38.2	40.8	79.1	-2.6	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.4	39.0	78.4	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bauru wins

Pato wins

Date	Game	Score
20/04/22	Pato v Bauru	72-63
31/03/22	Bauru v Pato	84-74
18/12/21	Pato v Bauru	87-53
27/02/21	Bauru v Pato	101-55
10/12/20	Pato v Bauru	80-79
17/12/19	Pato v Bauru	76-79 OT

Baurulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/04/22	A	Pato	63-72
14/04/22	H	Flamengo	80-92
12/04/22	H	Minas	101-69
09/04/22	A	Corinthians Paulista	67-75
31/03/22	H	Pato	84-74
24/03/22	H	Mogi	107-103 OT
14/03/22	A	Caxias do Sul	66-60
12/03/22	A	Uniao Corinthians	82-77
06/03/22	A	Pinheiros	65-60
04/03/22	A	Paulistano	65-53

Patolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/04/22	H	Bauru	72-63
08/04/22	H	Caxias do Sul	59-68
06/04/22	H	Uniao Corinthians	90-89
02/04/22	A	Pinheiros	69-82
31/03/22	A	Bauru	74-84
23/03/22	H	Sao Paulo	62-82
11/03/22	H	Mogi	79-70
04/03/22	A	Unifacisa	78-87
02/03/22	A	Cearense	84-78
19/02/22	H	Cerrado	78-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru

NBB 2021-22

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	64%
Home	WWWWL	81%
Away	WWWLL	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	16	17
Win %	64%	81%	47%
Points / game	78.3	86.4	70.6
Allowed / game	76.7	76.9	76.5
Point differential	+1.6	+9.5	-5.9
Avg total	155.0	163.4	147.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	50%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (9)	67% (3)	67% (6)
Overtime %	6%	6%	6%

Pato

NBB 2021-22

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	39%
Home	WLWLW	41%
Away	LWLLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	17	16
Win %	39%	41%	38%
Points / game	73.0	73.1	72.8
Allowed / game	78.2	77.2	79.1
Point differential	-5.2	-4.1	-6.3
Avg total	151.1	150.4	151.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	12%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	88% (8)	75% (4)	100% (4)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	32	29	3	91%	90.3	76.8	+13.5
2	Flamengo	32	26	6	81%	88.7	73.6	+15.0
3	Minas	32	25	7	78%	84.1	76.4	+7.7
4	Sao Paulo	32	23	9	72%	83.1	75.1	+8.1
5	Unifacisa	34	22	12	65%	75.9	72.8	+3.1
6	Bauru	33	21	12	64%	78.3	76.7	+1.6
7	Paulistano	33	17	16	52%	77.0	77.0	+0.0
8	Pinheiros	33	16	17	48%	80.4	80.4	+0.0
9	Rio Claro	33	14	19	42%	71.0	74.5	-3.5
10	Corinthians Paulista	33	13	20	39%	75.7	75.2	+0.5
11	Pato	33	13	20	39%	73.0	78.2	-5.2
12	Caxias do Sul	34	12	22	35%	70.4	77.2	-6.8
13	Mogi	32	11	21	34%	76.8	82.9	-6.0
14	Cerrado	32	10	22	31%	77.7	82.6	-4.8
15	Cearense	32	10	22	31%	73.1	80.1	-7.1
16	Uniao Corinthians	32	8	24	25%	74.5	83.3	-8.8
17	Brasilia	32	7	25	22%	74.8	81.6	-6.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bauru	25	21	20	16	82
Pato	22	19	16	14	71

← all games of the day

Bauru vs Pato Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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