Pato vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Mar 2022

Tip-off: 22:30

Final 62-82

16-20 10-18 25-23 11-21

Position#11

Record11-16

FormWLWLW

Points / game73.4

Allowed / game78.2

Pato

Sao Paulo 🏆

Position#4

Record19-7

FormWWWWW

Points / game83.4

Allowed / game75.9

NBB

Other2021-22

Meetings · Pato v Sao Paulo

SAO 106

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sao Paulo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pato

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

#10

60-58

A28/01

NBB

Flamengo

87-93

-6

H03/02

NBB

Minas

70-101

101

-31

H06/02

NBB

Rio Claro

65-79

-14

A10/02

NBB

Franca

80-97

-17

A12/02

NBB

Brasilia

#17

77-75

H17/02

NBB

Cerrado

#14

78-94

-16

H19/02

NBB

Cearense

#15

84-78

A02/03

NBB

Unifacisa

78-87

-9

A04/03

NBB

Mogi

#13

79-70

H11/03

NBB

19-21

17-15

12-11

27-25

24-24

15-21

21-23

19-21

17-19

17-32

17-29

17-26

13-12

16-22

19-19

26-22

18-25

18-29

18-21

21-22

16-15

13-23

27-15

16-19

16-23

22-17

24-35

15-23

17-12

29-20

23-23

14-27

20-16

21-20

23-24

18-12

22-16

19-28

20-14

159.0Avg total

75.8Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	73.4	78.2	151.6	-4.8	41%
Season at home (13)	73.8	77.8	151.6	-3.9	38%
Season away (14)	73.0	78.6	151.6	-5.6	43%
Last 10 (10)	75.8	83.2	159.0	-7.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	80.8	160.0	-1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	73.5	82.9	156.4	-9.4	22%
vs Similar (12)	73.7	74.7	148.3	-1.0	58%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao Paulo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unifacisa

88-70

+18

H05/02

NBB

Cearense

#15

73-62

+11

H07/02

NBB

Pinheiros

98-92

A15/02

NBB

Bauru

87-102

102

-15

A18/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

93-53

+40

H02/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#16

98-71

+27

H04/03

NBB

Paulistano

80-71

H07/03

NBB

Quimsa

#10

95-73

+22

H11/03

Champions League Americas

Nacional

#11

101-81

101

+20

H13/03

Champions League Americas

Mogi

#13

90-73

+17

A16/03

NBB

18-12

27-16

21-22

22-20

12-18

20-21

23-11

18-12

27-15

23-24

24-24

24-29

19-29

29-24

21-17

18-32

25-12

20-8

15-19

33-14

24-19

25-12

31-17

18-23

25-22

20-21

15-12

20-16

27-18

19-17

24-22

25-16

24-19

16-13

30-23

31-26

30-18

15-17

26-20

19-18

165.1Avg total

90.3Scored

74.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	83.4	75.9	159.3	+7.5	73%
Season at home (13)	83.5	72.3	155.8	+11.2	85%
Season away (13)	83.3	79.5	162.8	+3.8	62%
Last 10 (10)	90.3	74.8	165.1	+15.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	92.8	73.8	166.6	+19.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	85.0	85.7	170.7	-0.7	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	86.6	74.8	161.5	+11.8	85%

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PatoSao Paulo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.6	38.7	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	18.6	36.0	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	22.4	41.0	-3.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.6	37.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.8	21.2	39.9	-2.4	39%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.9	19.8	36.8	-2.9	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.8	41.1	+1.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.6	40.7	+1.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	19.9	41.5	+1.7	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	18.2	41.3	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	19.2	45.2	+6.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	24.0	28.3	52.3	-4.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.3	18.3	34.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.5	19.3	35.8	-2.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.1	17.4	33.5	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	17.7	35.7	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.4	34.6	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	16.6	20.1	36.6	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	15.9	15.6	31.5	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	17.2	38.2	+3.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	16.2	37.8	+5.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	18.1	38.5	+2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.3	38.7	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.2	16.5	37.7	+4.7	58%	-

PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

#10

36-36

A28/01

NBB

Flamengo

51-49

H03/02

NBB

Minas

36-40

-4

H06/02

NBB

Rio Claro

30-38

-8

A10/02

NBB

Franca

44-47

-3

A12/02

NBB

Brasilia

#17

37-37

H17/02

NBB

Cerrado

#14

32-42

-10

H19/02

NBB

Cearense

#15

32-35

-3

A02/03

NBB

Unifacisa

34-43

-9

A04/03

NBB

Mogi

#13

40-28

+12

H11/03

NBB

76.7Avg total

37.2Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.3	38.9	73.2	-4.6	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	33.9	37.9	71.8	-4.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.8	39.8	74.5	-5.0	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	39.5	76.7	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	37.0	72.0	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	35.3	41.2	76.6	-5.9	28%	-
vs Similar (12)	32.8	35.4	68.2	-2.6	17%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unifacisa

45-28

+17

H05/02

NBB

Cearense

#15

32-39

-7

H07/02

NBB

Pinheiros

50-39

+11

A15/02

NBB

Bauru

48-53

-5

A18/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

45-20

+25

H02/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#16

49-31

+18

H04/03

NBB

Paulistano

45-43

H07/03

NBB

Quimsa

#10

46-35

+11

H11/03

Champions League Americas

Nacional

#11

40-32

H13/03

Champions League Americas

Mogi

#13

45-35

+10

A16/03

NBB

80.0Avg total

44.5Scored

35.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	36.9	79.3	+5.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	35.8	78.5	+6.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.0	38.1	80.1	+3.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	35.5	80.0	+9.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	35.2	80.2	+9.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	45.7	49.7	95.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	42.4	35.2	77.6	+7.2	77%	-

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	18.6	37.5	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	22.3	40.5	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.0	20.4	38.4	-2.4	44%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	16.9	39.2	+5.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	18.7	41.7	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	18.8	44.0	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	17.3	16.7	34.0	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.6	18.8	41.3	+3.8	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.9	40.7	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	21.1	40.6	-1.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.2	45.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.2	41.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	20.6	43.4	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	40.1	78.9	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	40.7	79.8	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.5	39.6	78.1	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	43.7	82.3	-5.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	43.8	88.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	38.0	41.3	79.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.9	38.4	78.3	+1.5	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	38.1	81.1	+4.9	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.9	36.1	80.9	+8.8	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.2	40.1	81.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	39.3	85.1	+6.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	38.6	86.4	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	39.3	36.0	75.3	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	43.3	38.7	82.0	+4.7	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pato wins

Sao Paulo wins

Date	Game	Score
12/01/22	Sao Paulo v Pato	86-77
01/03/21	Sao Paulo v Pato	84-85
05/12/20	Pato v Sao Paulo	71-80
03/02/20	Pato v Sao Paulo	86-106
29/12/19	Sao Paulo v Pato	87-63

Patolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/22	H	Mogi	79-70
04/03/22	A	Unifacisa	78-87
02/03/22	A	Cearense	84-78
19/02/22	H	Cerrado	78-94
17/02/22	H	Brasilia	77-75
12/02/22	A	Franca	80-97
10/02/22	A	Rio Claro	65-79
06/02/22	H	Minas	70-101
03/02/22	H	Flamengo	87-93
28/01/22	A	Corinthians Paulista	60-58

Sao Paulolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/22	A	Mogi	90-73
13/03/22	H	Nacional	101-81
11/03/22	H	Quimsa	95-73
07/03/22	H	Paulistano	80-71
04/03/22	H	Uniao Corinthians	98-71
02/03/22	H	Caxias do Sul	93-53
18/02/22	A	Bauru	87-102
15/02/22	A	Pinheiros	98-92
07/02/22	H	Cearense	73-62
05/02/22	H	Unifacisa	88-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato

NBB 2021-22

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	41%
Home	LLWLW	38%
Away	WLLWL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	41%	38%	43%
Points / game	73.4	73.8	73.0
Allowed / game	78.2	77.8	78.6
Point differential	-4.8	-3.9	-5.6
Avg total	151.6	151.6	151.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	15%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	86% (7)	67% (3)	100% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Sao Paulo

NBB 2021-22

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	73%
Home	WWWWW	85%
Away	WLWLW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	73%	85%	62%
Points / game	83.4	83.5	83.3
Allowed / game	75.9	72.3	79.5
Point differential	+7.5	+11.2	+3.8
Avg total	159.3	155.8	162.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	54%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	67% (3)	40% (5)
Overtime %	12%	8%	15%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	27	25	2	93%	91.4	76.9	+14.6
2	Minas	27	23	4	85%	86.1	75.4	+10.7
3	Flamengo	25	21	4	84%	87.7	72.1	+15.6
4	Sao Paulo	26	19	7	73%	83.4	75.9	+7.5
5	Bauru	27	18	9	67%	77.1	75.8	+1.3
6	Unifacisa	26	17	9	65%	76.9	73.6	+3.3
7	Paulistano	27	13	14	48%	77.2	78.7	-1.5
8	Pinheiros	26	12	14	46%	80.1	79.7	+0.4
9	Pato	27	11	16	41%	73.4	78.2	-4.8
10	Corinthians Paulista	27	10	17	37%	76.4	76.0	+0.4
11	Caxias do Sul	27	10	17	37%	71.9	78.7	-6.8
12	Cerrado	26	9	17	35%	77.8	82.8	-5.1
13	Cearense	26	9	17	35%	72.6	79.7	-7.0
14	Rio Claro	27	9	18	33%	69.7	74.4	-4.6
15	Mogi	28	8	20	29%	74.8	83.4	-8.6
16	Uniao Corinthians	26	7	19	27%	75.2	82.4	-7.2
17	Brasilia	25	4	21	16%	73.2	80.7	-7.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pato	16	10	25	11	62
Sao Paulo	20	18	23	21	82

← all games of the day

Pato vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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