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Bauru vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 97-91
16-18 26-29 26-20 29-24
Position#4
Record9-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game76.7
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#14
Record5-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game82.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bauru v Pato
24 Mar 2026
BAUR94
PATO70
13 Dec 2024
BAUR97
PATO91
27 Apr 2024
BAUR71
PATO62
15 Feb 2024
BAUR89
PATO79
11 Mar 2023
BAUR74
PATO55
24 Apr 2022
BAUR88
PATO79
22 Apr 2022
BAUR82
PATO71
31 Mar 2022
BAUR84
PATO74
27 Feb 2021
BAUR101
PATO55
25 Mar 2020
BAUR v PATO
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#12
W
83-79
83
79
+4
76avg 73
A28/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
76-70
76
70
+6
70avg 73
H01/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
73-67
73
67
+6
67avg 73
H02/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
68-66
68
66
+2
65avg 73
H08/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
87-103
87
103
-16
82avg 73
A12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
87-80
87
80
+7
82avg 73
A14/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
72avg 73
H27/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
70-61
70
61
+9
66avg 73
H30/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
71-66
71
66
+5
61avg 73
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 73
A05/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
23-16
22-24
21-20
17-13
26-17
11-22
22-18
19-19
14-18
22-15
18-15
22-14
10-22
18-16
18-14
25-29
17-29
18-22
27-23
26-22
18-16
15-20
28-22
21-12
21-24
20-18
18-17
19-13
20-20
17-22
14-6
13-24
21-14
21-15
16-13
21-19
17-16
17-29
22-19
151.8Avg total
77.2Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.076.7154.7+1.369%
Season at home (7)77.372.6149.9+4.786%
Season away (6)78.881.5160.3-2.750%
Last 10 (10)77.274.6151.8+2.680%
Last 5 (5)77.072.2149.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.984.6155.4-13.729%
vs Similar (15)80.977.9158.8+2.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.674.6158.2+9.088%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
W
89-60
89
60
+29
86avg 72
H22/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
77avg 72
H25/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
70-93
70
93
-23
54avg 72
A28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
80-81
80
81
-1
74avg 72
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
70-81
70
81
-11
64avg 72
A02/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
76-84
76
84
-8
64avg 72
H12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
66-65
66
65
+1
62avg 72
H17/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
98-78
98
78
+20
100avg 72
H28/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
103-110 OT
103
110
-7
88avg 72
H03/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
63avg 72
A05/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
25-15
21-19
20-15
17-22
21-9
14-27
33-19
21-19
14-27
14-26
21-21
16-15
26-19
19-28
19-19
22-22
19-21
19-19
10-19
13-22
12-20
29-25
22-17
15-15
21-20
12-9
18-21
27-20
20-11
25-14
26-33
28-29
23-26
25-24
22-19
19-30
19-22
14-23
18-22
163.3Avg total
80.7Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.382.2162.5-1.838%
Season at home (7)85.480.3165.7+5.157%
Season away (6)74.384.3158.7-10.017%
Last 10 (10)80.782.6163.3-1.940%
Last 5 (5)82.686.8169.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.288.2165.4-11.022%
vs Similar (15)77.080.0157.0-3.033%
vs Weaker (6)89.576.8166.3+12.783%
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
BauruPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#12
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A28/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H01/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H02/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A14/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H30/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/12
NBB
76.3Avg total
38.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.277.9+1.667%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.337.877.1+1.565%-
Last 30 away (13)40.438.779.1+1.769%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.676.3+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.075.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.944.480.3-8.629%-
vs Similar (15)40.136.476.5+3.780%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.636.078.6+6.675%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H22/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H25/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H28/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H03/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A05/12
NBB
79.6Avg total
40.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.581.2+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.139.281.3+2.865%-
Last 30 away (13)38.942.281.2-3.338%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.579.6+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.082.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.445.485.9-5.033%-
vs Similar (15)38.439.678.0-1.247%-
vs Weaker (6)46.835.582.3+11.3100%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.7
50.1%
50.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.3
35.9%
33.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.312.9
66.8%
72.7%12.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.3
49.7%
50.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.511.2
39.3%
33.0%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.611.9
71.7%
72.7%11.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
LWWWWLWWWW
Pato
LLWWLLLLWW
#4
League position
#14
+3.5
Net rating
-2.2
103.1
Offensive rating
106.0
99.6
Defensive rating
108.2
51.7%
Effective FG%
53.9%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
19.6%
Turnover %
19.5%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.9%
3-point %
39.3%
61.9%
Assist %
53.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 106.0Defence99.6 · 108.2Shooting51.7% · 53.9%3-point %35.9% · 39.3%Ball care19.6% · 19.5%Off. rebounds27.7% · 27.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Bauru   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Bauru wins
2
Pato wins
DateGameScore
27/04/24Bauru v Pato71-62
21/04/24Pato v Bauru74-93
15/02/24Bauru v Pato89-79
14/11/23Pato v Bauru73-70
11/03/23Bauru v Pato74-55
19/12/22Pato v Bauru85-96
24/04/22Bauru v Pato88-79
23/04/22Bauru v Pato82-71
20/04/22Pato v Bauru72-63
31/03/22Bauru v Pato84-74
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/24AUniao Corinthians77-83
03/12/24ACaxias do Sul71-66
30/11/24HUnifacisa70-61
27/11/24HCearense80-71
14/11/24APinheiros87-80
12/11/24ACorinthians Paulista87-103
08/11/24HMogi68-66
02/11/24HSao Jose73-67
01/11/24HFranca76-70
28/10/24APaulistano83-79
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/24AMinas70-97
03/12/24HFlamengo103-110 OT
28/11/24HBotafogo98-78
17/11/24HPaulistano66-65
12/11/24HVasco76-84
02/11/24AUniao Corinthians70-81
31/10/24ACaxias do Sul80-81
28/10/24AFranca70-93
25/10/24HUnifacisa85-77
22/10/24HCearense89-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%86%50%
Points / game78.077.378.8
Allowed / game76.772.681.5
Point differential+1.3+4.7-2.7
Avg total154.7149.9160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL38%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%57%17%
Points / game80.385.474.3
Allowed / game82.280.384.3
Point differential-1.8+5.1-10.0
Avg total162.5165.7158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1513287%83.069.3+13.7
2 Flamengo1512380%83.271.0+12.2
3 Brasilia1410471%82.678.8+3.9
4 Bauru139469%78.076.7+1.3
5 Franca159660%80.577.5+3.0
6 Vasco159660%74.571.7+2.9
7 Sao Paulo148657%79.478.6+0.8
8 Pinheiros137654%73.972.6+1.3
9 Uniao Corinthians158753%78.180.6-2.5
10 Sao Jose157847%74.574.3+0.1
11 Paulistano146843%75.973.1+2.7
12 Unifacisa156940%74.576.5-2.1
13 Corinthians Paulista135838%81.382.6-1.3
14 Pato135838%80.382.2-1.8
15 Mogi1551033%70.378.3-8.0
16 Botafogo1441029%70.179.4-9.3
17 Caxias do Sul1531220%70.778.3-7.6
18 Cearense1531220%67.977.5-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru1626262997
Pato1829202491
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