Bauru vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 21:00

Final 74-55

19-24 16-11 23-13 16-7

Position#7

Record14-12

FormLLLLW

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game71.9

Bauru 🏆

Pato

Position#12

Record7-20

FormWLLWL

Points / game77.4

Allowed / game86.0

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Bauru v Pato

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pato winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bauru

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

#15

72-70

H16/01

NBB

Cerrado

#17

97-73

+24

H18/01

NBB

Franca

58-83

-25

A21/01

Super 8

Sao Jose

#10

93-66

+27

A03/02

NBB

Paulistano

80-70

+10

H11/02

NBB

Flamengo

54-66

-12

A13/02

NBB

Franca

82-90

-8

A18/02

NBB

Sao Paulo

74-81

-7

H02/03

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

69-84

-15

A06/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

75-63

+12

H09/03

NBB

21-15

18-11

27-28

6-16

18-16

24-28

24-13

31-16

18-26

16-20

8-15

16-22

29-13

28-16

17-16

19-21

18-19

19-24

20-13

23-14

15-19

16-18

11-20

12-9

23-15

18-26

16-26

25-23

15-26

17-17

22-19

20-19

14-22

20-24

15-16

20-22

13-19

24-6

16-20

22-18

150.0Avg total

75.4Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	77.5	71.9	149.4	+5.6	54%
Season at home (12)	80.5	71.2	151.7	+9.3	67%
Season away (14)	74.9	72.5	147.4	+2.4	43%
Last 10 (10)	75.4	74.6	150.0	+0.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	70.8	76.8	147.6	-6.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	74.0	80.2	154.2	-6.2	25%
vs Similar (10)	69.8	70.6	140.4	-0.8	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	80.6	68.1	148.7	+12.5	80%

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pato

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sao Jose

#10

69-96

-27

A10/01

NBB

Sao Paulo

69-84

-15

H14/01

NBB

Paulistano

75-87

-12

H17/01

NBB

Franca

82-88

-6

A31/01

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

93-100

100

-7

A02/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

88-80

H06/02

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

78-102

102

-24

A15/02

NBB

Cearense

#14

82-87

-5

H02/03

NBB

Unifacisa

82-71

+11

H04/03

NBB

Pinheiros

69-76

-7

A09/03

NBB

18-28

18-17

14-31

19-20

16-17

19-22

17-24

17-21

20-18

20-24

21-28

14-17

15-25

25-20

18-24

24-19

22-23

21-26

26-28

24-23

24-11

22-18

20-16

22-35

24-24

23-25

12-36

19-17

26-27

13-23

18-21

25-16

22-16

19-12

16-25

25-18

19-23

11-15

16-15

23-23

165.8Avg total

78.7Scored

87.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	77.4	86.0	163.4	-8.5	26%
Season at home (13)	74.9	83.1	158.0	-8.2	31%
Season away (14)	79.8	88.6	168.4	-8.9	21%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	87.1	165.8	-8.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	83.2	163.0	-3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	75.0	85.8	160.9	-10.8	14%
vs Similar (6)	78.8	80.7	159.5	-1.8	50%
vs Weaker (3)	88.0	89.3	177.3	-1.3	67%

This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BauruPato

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.6	36.1	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	17.1	36.2	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.9	18.1	36.0	-0.1	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.2	36.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.1	18.0	34.1	-1.9	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.6	16.7	36.3	+2.9	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.5	39.1	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	17.9	37.4	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	22.7	40.6	-4.8	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.8	21.5	39.3	-3.7	17%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.9	38.6	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	18.5	37.5	+0.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	24.0	41.8	-6.2	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.5	17.6	39.1	+3.9	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.5	20.4	37.9	-2.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.2	39.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.6	36.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	21.2	39.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	28.3	49.3	-7.3	0%	-

BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

#15

39-26

+13

H16/01

NBB

Cerrado

#17

42-44

-2

H18/01

NBB

Franca

34-46

-12

A21/01

Super 8

Sao Jose

#10

57-29

+28

A03/02

NBB

Paulistano

37-43

-6

H11/02

NBB

Flamengo

31-37

-6

A13/02

NBB

Franca

41-41

A18/02

NBB

Sao Paulo

32-43

-11

H02/03

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

34-46

-12

A06/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

37-25

+12

H09/03

NBB

76.4Avg total

38.4Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	36.5	74.7	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.8	36.5	76.3	+3.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.0	36.5	73.5	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	38.0	76.4	+0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	38.4	73.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.0	42.0	80.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	34.5	36.6	71.1	-2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	41.1	34.3	75.4	+6.7	67%	-

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sao Jose

#10

36-45

-9

A10/01

NBB

Sao Paulo

35-39

-4

H14/01

NBB

Paulistano

40-42

-2

H17/01

NBB

Franca

40-45

-5

A31/01

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

43-49

-6

A02/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

46-29

+17

H06/02

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

47-49

-2

A15/02

NBB

Cearense

#14

39-50

-11

H02/03

NBB

Unifacisa

41-28

+13

H04/03

NBB

Pinheiros

30-38

-8

A09/03

NBB

81.1Avg total

39.7Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	41.8	79.3	-4.3	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.0	38.4	75.4	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	44.9	82.8	-6.9	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	41.4	81.1	-1.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	38.8	79.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	37.4	40.5	78.0	-3.1	24%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.0	42.7	78.7	-6.7	17%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.0	49.3	90.3	-8.3	0%	-

This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.1	36.9	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.1	18.2	38.2	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.7	18.1	35.8	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	18.6	36.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.2	36.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.0	16.9	33.9	+0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.9	18.4	39.3	+2.5	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	21.4	40.0	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	24.8	42.6	-7.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	22.6	39.0	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.5	22.9	40.4	-5.4	24%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.2	17.3	36.5	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.7	19.3	44.0	+5.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	16.2	34.5	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.6	15.9	34.5	+2.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.1	16.5	34.5	+1.6	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	17.2	35.8	+1.2	75%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.0	16.5	34.5	+1.5	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	18.6	15.4	34.0	+3.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.3	42.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	21.6	41.4	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	21.0	42.8	+0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.8	44.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.8	21.6	41.3	-1.8	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.7	20.7	44.3	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	20.7	43.0	+1.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	34.4	71.4	+2.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.7	34.1	72.8	+4.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.8	34.6	70.4	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	36.6	73.6	+0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	38.4	74.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.0	38.2	74.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.0	33.4	68.4	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	39.5	33.8	73.3	+5.7	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	42.7	82.1	-3.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.7	43.3	81.0	-5.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.8	42.2	83.0	-1.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	45.7	84.7	-6.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	44.4	83.6	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	37.2	44.5	81.7	-7.2	24%	-
vs Similar (6)	42.8	38.0	80.8	+4.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	47.0	40.0	87.0	+7.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bauru wins

Pato wins

Date	Game	Score
19/12/22	Pato v Bauru	85-96
24/04/22	Bauru v Pato	88-79
23/04/22	Bauru v Pato	82-71
20/04/22	Pato v Bauru	72-63
31/03/22	Bauru v Pato	84-74
18/12/21	Pato v Bauru	87-53
27/02/21	Bauru v Pato	101-55
10/12/20	Pato v Bauru	80-79
17/12/19	Pato v Bauru	76-79 OT

Baurulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/23	H	Corinthians Paulista	75-63
06/03/23	A	Rio Claro	69-84
02/03/23	H	Sao Paulo	74-81
18/02/23	A	Franca	82-90
13/02/23	A	Flamengo	54-66
11/02/23	H	Paulistano	80-70
03/02/23	A	Sao Jose	93-66
21/01/23	A	Franca	58-83
18/01/23	H	Cerrado	97-73
16/01/23	H	Brasilia	72-70

Patolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/23	A	Pinheiros	69-76
04/03/23	H	Unifacisa	82-71
02/03/23	H	Cearense	82-87
15/02/23	A	Corinthians Paulista	78-102
06/02/23	H	Caxias do Sul	88-80
02/02/23	A	Rio Claro	93-100
31/01/23	A	Franca	82-88
17/01/23	H	Paulistano	75-87
14/01/23	H	Sao Paulo	69-84
10/01/23	A	Sao Jose	69-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	54%
Home	WWWLW	67%
Away	LWLLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	54%	67%	43%
Points / game	77.5	80.5	74.9
Allowed / game	71.9	71.2	72.5
Point differential	+5.6	+9.3	+2.4
Avg total	149.4	151.7	147.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	50%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	100% (2)	0% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Pato

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	26%
Home	LLWLW	31%
Away	LLLLL	21%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	26%	31%	21%
Points / game	77.4	74.9	79.8
Allowed / game	86.0	83.1	88.6
Point differential	-8.5	-8.2	-8.9
Avg total	163.4	158.0	168.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	15%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	25	25	0	100%	90.2	77.2	+13.0
2	Flamengo	25	22	3	88%	82.7	68.7	+14.0
3	Sao Paulo	27	21	6	78%	87.3	78.6	+8.7
4	Minas	24	17	7	71%	85.7	77.7	+8.0
5	Paulistano	26	17	9	65%	76.5	72.4	+4.1
6	Pinheiros	26	15	11	58%	80.6	78.5	+2.1
7	Bauru	26	14	12	54%	77.5	71.9	+5.6
8	Corinthians Paulista	26	14	12	54%	81.4	79.5	+1.9
9	Sao Jose	27	13	14	48%	81.3	81.9	-0.5
10	Unifacisa	27	13	14	48%	78.7	80.6	-1.9
11	Caxias do Sul	26	11	15	42%	74.0	75.8	-1.8
12	Uniao Corinthians	24	7	17	29%	78.6	82.8	-4.2
13	Brasilia	26	7	19	27%	79.1	85.7	-6.6
14	Pato	27	7	20	26%	77.4	86.0	-8.5
15	Cearense	27	7	20	26%	72.8	83.7	-10.9
16	Rio Claro	26	6	20	23%	75.3	87.0	-11.7
17	Cerrado	25	4	21	16%	82.3	92.1	-9.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bauru	19	16	23	16	74
Pato	24	11	13	7	55

← all games of the day

Bauru vs Pato Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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