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Bauru vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 20:10
Final 71-62
19-19 20-12 19-18 13-13
Position#5
Record25-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game78.8
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#12
Record17-20
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game79.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bauru v Pato
24 Mar 2026
BAUR94
PATO70
13 Dec 2024
BAUR97
PATO91
27 Apr 2024
BAUR71
PATO62
15 Feb 2024
BAUR89
PATO79
11 Mar 2023
BAUR74
PATO55
24 Apr 2022
BAUR88
PATO79
22 Apr 2022
BAUR82
PATO71
31 Mar 2022
BAUR84
PATO74
27 Feb 2021
BAUR101
PATO55
25 Mar 2020
BAUR v PATO
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
no box
A07/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
79-75
79
75
+4
79avg 74
A09/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 74
H12/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 74
H19/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
113-95
113
95
+18
120avg 74
H21/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
86-69
86
69
+17
87avg 74
A26/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
103-84
103
84
+19
108avg 74
A28/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
91-92
91
92
-1
84avg 74
H03/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
80-68
80
68
+12
84avg 74
H13/04
NBB
Pato
#12
W
93-74
93
74
+19
95avg 74
A21/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
17-26
19-15
16-13
23-22
15-21
15-24
26-8
25-21
19-18
9-25
14-14
19-29
17-15
21-11
17-17
28-24
24-19
33-26
28-26
30-10
18-15
17-22
21-22
29-19
20-27
32-10
22-28
22-18
24-19
19-26
26-29
23-18
18-10
26-18
13-22
21-23
18-20
26-18
28-13
167.9Avg total
88.3Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)82.278.8161.0+3.568%
Season at home (18)85.477.1162.4+8.383%
Season away (19)79.280.4159.6-1.253%
Last 10 (10)88.379.6167.9+8.780%
Last 5 (5)90.677.4168.0+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.084.0159.0-9.040%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.178.0160.1+4.173%
vs Weaker (13)89.578.0167.5+11.585%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
L
69-90
69
90
-21
56avg 70
A02/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
71avg 70
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
80avg 70
H09/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
100-73
100
73
+27
96avg 70
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
100-87
100
87
+13
93avg 70
H28/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
83-79
83
79
+4
72avg 70
H30/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
57avg 70
H05/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 70
A10/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
85-68
85
68
+17
89avg 70
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
74-93
74
93
-19
66avg 70
H21/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
13-28
22-20
16-27
26-17
17-23
19-25
17-20
17-17
28-20
25-14
13-22
25-14
27-13
21-27
27-19
30-14
27-22
22-25
21-26
26-24
19-15
18-18
20-22
22-18
11-24
23-15
13-20
15-22
28-20
19-16
15-17
16-17
30-13
23-14
16-24
23-21
20-18
18-26
13-28
161.9Avg total
81.9Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)78.179.7157.8-1.646%
Season at home (19)81.178.0159.1+3.158%
Season away (18)74.981.6156.5-6.633%
Last 10 (10)81.980.0161.9+1.960%
Last 5 (5)77.678.4156.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.481.3156.7-5.930%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.084.0162.0-6.031%
vs Weaker (7)84.772.0156.7+12.7100%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -5.4-5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -5.4-5.4
BauruPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A07/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A09/03
NBB
Franca
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H12/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H21/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A26/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A28/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H03/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H13/04
NBB
Pato
#12
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A21/04
NBB
83.4Avg total
43.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.581.4+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.138.483.4+6.786%-
Last 30 away (16)39.240.479.6-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)43.639.883.4+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.635.880.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.043.283.2-3.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.737.679.4+4.164%-
vs Weaker (13)43.738.482.1+5.369%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A02/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H09/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H28/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H30/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H05/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A10/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H21/04
NBB
81.3Avg total
43.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.579.0+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.238.578.7+1.653%-
Last 30 away (13)38.640.779.3-2.146%-
Last 10 (10)43.837.581.3+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.480.4+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.642.680.2-5.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.339.577.8-1.238%-
vs Weaker (7)44.434.979.3+9.6100%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.9
58.9%
51.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.511.6
42.2%
33.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws15.111.0
72.8%
72.6%11.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.1
55.1%
51.8%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.5
36.1%
33.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws15.39.8
64.1%
72.6%9.8
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
WWLWWWWLWW
Pato
LWWLWWWWLL
#5
League position
#12
+10.3
Net rating
+2.9
117.0
Offensive rating
110.9
106.8
Defensive rating
108.0
60.8%
Effective FG%
54.7%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.9%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
42.2%
3-point %
36.1%
70.8%
Assist %
54.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 110.9Defence106.8 · 108.0Shooting60.8% · 54.7%3-point %42.2% · 36.1%Ball care17.8% · 16.9%Off. rebounds26.3% · 30.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Bauru   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Bauru wins
3
Pato wins
DateGameScore
21/04/24Pato v Bauru74-93
15/02/24Bauru v Pato89-79
14/11/23Pato v Bauru73-70
11/03/23Bauru v Pato74-55
19/12/22Pato v Bauru85-96
24/04/22Bauru v Pato88-79
23/04/22Bauru v Pato82-71
20/04/22Pato v Bauru72-63
31/03/22Bauru v Pato84-74
18/12/21Pato v Bauru87-53
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24APato93-74
13/04/24HMogi80-68
03/04/24HSao Jose91-92
28/03/24ABrasilia103-84
26/03/24ACerrado86-69
21/03/24HBotafogo113-95
19/03/24HFlamengo74-72
12/03/24HFranca67-78
09/03/24ACaxias do Sul79-75
07/03/24AUniao Corinthians97-89 OT
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24HBauru74-93
12/04/24ACaxias do Sul85-68
10/04/24AUniao Corinthians77-75
05/04/24HMinas69-77
30/03/24HPinheiros83-79
28/03/24HCorinthians Paulista100-87
25/03/24HMogi100-73
09/03/24HPaulistano83-73
04/03/24AUnifacisa79-85
02/03/24ACearense69-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW68%
HomeLWWLW83%
AwayWWWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %68%83%53%
Points / game82.285.479.2
Allowed / game78.877.180.4
Point differential+3.5+8.3-1.2
Avg total161.0162.4159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)75% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %14%11%16%
Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL46%
HomeWWWLL58%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %46%58%33%
Points / game78.181.174.9
Allowed / game79.778.081.6
Point differential-1.6+3.1-6.6
Avg total157.8159.1156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%32%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)57% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3833587%88.475.9+12.5
2 Flamengo3833587%85.073.0+12.1
3 Minas3830879%85.973.8+12.1
4 Vasco38261268%75.672.6+3.1
5 Bauru37251268%82.278.8+3.5
6 Paulistano38241463%75.970.2+5.7
7 Unifacisa39241562%85.280.8+4.3
8 Cearense38221658%79.176.8+2.3
9 Sao Paulo39201951%79.980.3-0.4
10 Corinthians Paulista38191950%80.980.0+0.9
11 Sao Jose38191950%78.778.2+0.4
12 Pato37172046%78.179.7-1.6
13 Pinheiros38152339%73.777.4-3.7
14 Mogi38102826%72.979.8-6.8
15 Botafogo38102826%78.988.0-9.1
16 Uniao Corinthians38102826%74.783.8-9.2
17 Cerrado3682822%74.978.0-3.1
18 Caxias do Sul3682822%72.581.5-9.0
19 Brasilia3653114%73.588.9-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru1920191371
Pato1912181362
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