PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bayern vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 93-88
14-21 24-28 27-21 28-18
Position#12
Record7-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game80.3
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#15
Record3-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game83.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15
European cup2018
Meetings · Bayern v Buducnost
28 Dec 2018
BAY93
BUD88
19 Dec 2017
BAY85
BUD82
14 Dec 2016
BAY80
BUD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#13
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H25/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
71-95
71
95
-24
A29/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H06/12
Euroleague
Jena
#18
W
82-66
82
66
+16
A09/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H14/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#3
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H16/12
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A19/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H21/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H23/12
German Cup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H26/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
25-24
21-25
27-14
17-27
12-20
26-20
16-28
16-16
15-12
23-22
18-15
25-22
26-13
10-15
21-16
18-12
28-26
17-23
25-23
23-19
22-24
24-14
14-24
15-16
26-24
17-17
22-21
16-27
15-19
28-19
13-17
24-21
16-20
15-20
15-17
17-12
19-19
32-18
19-20
157.6Avg total
79.9Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.680.3159.9-0.750%
Season at home (9)79.778.4158.1+1.256%
Season away (5)79.483.6163.0-4.240%
Last 10 (10)79.977.7157.6+2.270%
Last 5 (5)78.477.6156.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.286.2161.4-11.00%
vs Similar (12)79.678.2157.8+1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.471.8162.2+18.6100%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
93-92
93
92
+1
H23/11
Euroleague
Zadar
#11
W
89-69
89
69
+20
A26/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#6
L
70-92
70
92
-22
A30/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H06/12
Euroleague
Mega Bemax
#7
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H10/12
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#14
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A14/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#8
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A16/12
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
68-106
68
106
-38
A18/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
65-89
65
89
-24
H20/12
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A24/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
18-28
30-18
28-25
25-16
19-14
22-17
23-22
20-25
17-19
14-32
19-16
14-15
17-18
15-13
21-18
21-31
20-20
30-18
20-16
20-26
14-30
23-26
28-13
18-15
16-17
23-26
20-25
20-29
21-20
12-32
15-25
20-26
20-14
15-27
10-22
5-18
14-16
24-18
21-17
161.3Avg total
76.9Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.483.6155.1-12.221%
Season at home (8)73.879.1152.9-5.438%
Season away (6)68.389.7158.0-21.30%
Last 10 (10)76.984.4161.3-7.540%
Last 5 (5)71.888.4160.2-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.584.5157.1-12.027%
vs Similar (5)68.875.0143.8-6.220%
vs Weaker (9)83.974.6158.4+9.378%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
BayernBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H25/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A29/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H06/12
Euroleague
Jena
#18
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A09/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H14/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H16/12
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A19/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H21/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H23/12
German Cup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H26/12
BBL
78.5Avg total
39.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.580.6+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.437.880.2+4.767%-
Last 30 away (12)41.539.781.2+1.867%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.978.5+0.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.278.8-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.247.686.8-8.40%-
vs Similar (12)39.337.476.8+1.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.536.380.8+8.292%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H23/11
Euroleague
Zadar
#11
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A26/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A30/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H06/12
Euroleague
Mega Bemax
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H10/12
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#14
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A14/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A16/12
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H20/12
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
19-34
19
34
-15
A24/12
ABA League
77.4Avg total
35.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.076.8-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.638.276.8+0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)36.939.976.8-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)35.641.877.4-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)33.642.275.8-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.742.177.8-6.513%-
vs Similar (5)34.836.871.6-2.040%-
vs Weaker (9)42.834.377.1+8.478%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.8
54.3%
52.7%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.87.7
38.9%
37.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws14.711.8
80.3%
76.7%11.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.7
51.5%
52.7%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.8
38.9%
37.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.612.3
74.1%
76.7%12.3
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLLWWWWWLW
Buducnost
LLLLLWWLWW
#12
League position
#15
+2.3
Net rating
-10.5
115.1
Offensive rating
107.0
112.8
Defensive rating
117.5
55.6%
Effective FG%
54.2%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.3%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.9%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.9%
3-point %
38.9%
57.0%
Assist %
57.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 107.0Defence112.8 · 117.5Shooting55.6% · 54.2%3-point %38.9% · 38.9%Ball care15.3% · 15.9%Off. rebounds31.1% · 21.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Bayern   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bayern wins
0
Buducnost wins
DateGameScore
19/12/17Bayern v Buducnost85-82
01/11/17Buducnost v Bayern60-76
14/12/16Bayern v Buducnost80-66
09/11/16Buducnost v Bayern44-68
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/18Hs.Oliver Wurzburg87-69
23/12/18HAlba Berlin70-78
21/12/18HReal Madrid72-82
19/12/18AOlimpia Milano80-78
16/12/18HAlba Berlin83-81
14/12/18HZalgiris Kaunas88-84
09/12/18AJena82-66
06/12/18HKhimki M.72-65
29/11/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv71-95
25/11/18HGiessen94-79
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/18AKK Krka Novo mesto64-69
20/12/18HFenerbahce65-89
18/12/18AAnadolu Efes68-106
16/12/18ACibona77-83
14/12/18AGran Canaria85-95
10/12/18HMega Bemax91-85
06/12/18HBarcelona67-64
30/11/18AOlympiacos70-92
26/11/18AZadar89-69
23/11/18HCSKA Moscow93-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLLWWL56%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %50%56%40%
Points / game79.679.779.4
Allowed / game80.378.483.6
Point differential-0.7+1.2-4.2
Avg total159.9158.1163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%11%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buducnost
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL21%
HomeLWWWL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %21%38%0%
Points / game71.473.868.3
Allowed / game83.679.189.7
Point differential-12.2-5.4-21.3
Avg total155.1152.9158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1514193%83.674.7+8.9
2 Real Madrid1512380%87.576.0+11.5
3 CSKA Moscow1511473%88.582.9+5.6
4 Anadolu Efes159660%86.182.4+3.7
5 Olympiacos159660%80.677.0+3.6
6 Barcelona158753%76.276.8-0.6
7 Zalgiris Kaunas147750%82.581.2+1.3
8 Bayern147750%79.680.3-0.7
9 Olimpia Milano157847%85.985.7+0.3
10 Baskonia157847%80.880.7+0.1
11 Panathinaikos157847%79.580.1-0.7
12 Gran Canaria145936%81.889.4-7.6
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv1551033%78.080.1-2.1
14 Khimki M.1551033%77.780.8-3.1
15 Buducnost1431121%71.483.6-12.2
16 Darussafaka1521313%75.985.1-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1424272893
Buducnost2128211888
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.