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Bayern vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 72-82
16-27 15-19 28-19 13-17
Position#12
Record7-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#3
Record11-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game77.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14
European cup2018
Meetings · Bayern v Real Madrid
24 Mar 2027
BAY v MAD
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
BAY90
MAD84
03 Oct 2024
BAY97
MAD89
09 Jan 2024
BAY71
MAD92
13 Dec 2022
BAY64
MAD68
05 Nov 2021
BAY76
MAD80
15 Jan 2021
BAY76
MAD81
21 Dec 2018
BAY72
MAD82
11 Dec 2015
BAY67
MAD86
13 Mar 2014
BAY85
MAD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
81-66
81
66
+15
no box
A18/11
BBL
Olympiacos
#6
L
62-72
62
72
-10
86avg 106
H20/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
89-74
89
74
+15
117avg 106
A22/11
Euroleague
Giessen
#13
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H25/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
71-95
71
95
-24
93avg 106
A29/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
W
72-65
72
65
+7
95avg 106
H06/12
Euroleague
Jena
#18
W
82-66
82
66
+16
no box
A09/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
114avg 106
H14/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#3
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
H16/12
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
103avg 106
A19/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
15-16
25-17
20-14
15-15
12-16
16-14
19-27
21-17
25-25
15-20
28-12
21-16
25-24
21-25
27-14
17-27
12-20
26-20
16-28
16-16
15-12
23-22
18-15
25-22
26-13
10-15
21-16
18-12
28-26
17-23
25-23
23-19
22-24
24-14
14-24
15-16
26-24
17-17
22-21
156.2Avg total
80.2Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.280.2160.3+0.054%
Season at home (8)80.678.0158.6+2.662%
Season away (5)79.483.6163.0-4.240%
Last 10 (10)80.276.0156.2+4.280%
Last 5 (5)81.074.8155.8+6.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)78.090.3168.3-12.30%
vs Similar (15)81.278.7159.9+2.567%
vs Weaker (11)90.772.1162.8+18.6100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
104-71
104
71
+33
136avg 119
H18/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#14
W
89-76
89
76
+13
122avg 119
H20/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
83-88
83
88
-5
117avg 119
A22/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
69-86
69
86
-17
97avg 119
A25/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
88-93
88
93
-5
109avg 119
H29/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
84-82
84
82
+2
118avg 119
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
87-63
87
63
+24
119avg 119
H09/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
92-65
92
65
+27
120avg 119
H13/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
L
71-84
71
84
-13
100avg 119
A16/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
89-68
89
68
+21
122avg 119
H19/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
28-13
23-16
25-24
22-28
25-15
15-14
27-19
22-29
19-23
24-13
18-23
19-20
17-19
23-24
10-23
20-24
21-14
20-29
27-26
23-23
22-29
15-22
24-8
17-20
23-11
25-15
22-17
22-17
31-13
16-20
23-15
21-20
13-25
13-25
24-14
23-10
20-21
20-24
26-13
163.2Avg total
85.6Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.877.2166.9+12.685%
Season at home (8)91.575.4166.9+16.188%
Season away (5)87.080.0167.0+7.080%
Last 10 (10)85.677.6163.2+8.060%
Last 5 (5)84.672.4157.0+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)86.385.8172.2+0.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)90.076.1166.1+13.987%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +4.4+4.4
BayernReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A18/11
BBL
Olympiacos
#6
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H20/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A22/11
Euroleague
Giessen
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H25/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A29/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H06/12
Euroleague
Jena
#18
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A09/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H14/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H16/12
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A19/12
Euroleague
77.7Avg total
39.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.180.8+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.637.581.1+6.171%-
Last 30 away (13)41.738.880.5+2.869%-
Last 10 (10)39.837.977.7+1.980%-
Last 5 (5)42.836.879.6+6.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.750.392.0-8.70%-
vs Similar (15)40.036.976.9+3.167%-
vs Weaker (11)45.336.882.1+8.591%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H18/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H20/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A22/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A25/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H29/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H13/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A16/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H19/12
Euroleague
82.8Avg total
43.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.839.784.5+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.838.485.2+8.482%-
Last 30 away (13)42.141.583.5+0.646%-
Last 10 (10)43.639.282.8+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.037.880.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)42.743.586.2-0.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.539.084.5+6.574%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.723.0
53.9%
52.7%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.67.7
39.3%
37.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws15.111.9
78.8%
76.7%11.9
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.4
56.7%
52.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.8
37.0%
37.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.714.8
79.1%
76.7%14.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWWWWLWWLW
Real Madrid
WLWWWLLLWW
#12
League position
#3
+4.6
Net rating
+11.4
115.9
Offensive rating
115.3
111.3
Defensive rating
103.9
55.5%
Effective FG%
56.2%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.3%
3-point %
37.0%
57.3%
Assist %
65.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 115.3Defence111.3 · 103.9Shooting55.5% · 56.2%3-point %39.3% · 37.0%Ball care15.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds32.6% · 30.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bayern wins
3
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
11/12/15Bayern v Real Madrid67-86
05/11/15Real Madrid v Bayern101-99
13/03/14Bayern v Real Madrid85-83
15/01/14Real Madrid v Bayern111-87
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/18AOlimpia Milano80-78
16/12/18HAlba Berlin83-81
14/12/18HZalgiris Kaunas88-84
09/12/18AJena82-66
06/12/18HKhimki M.72-65
29/11/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv71-95
25/11/18HGiessen94-79
22/11/18AGran Canaria89-74
20/11/18HOlympiacos62-72
18/11/18AMitteldeutscher81-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/18HPanathinaikos89-68
16/12/18ABreogan71-84
13/12/18HBarcelona92-65
09/12/18HGran Canaria87-63
07/12/18AAnadolu Efes84-82
29/11/18HCSKA Moscow88-93
25/11/18ABarcelona69-86
22/11/18AOlympiacos83-88
20/11/18HGran Canaria89-76
18/11/18HGipuzkoa104-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW54%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %54%62%40%
Points / game80.280.679.4
Allowed / game80.278.083.6
Point differential+0.0+2.6-4.2
Avg total160.3158.6163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%12%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW85%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %85%88%80%
Points / game89.891.587.0
Allowed / game77.275.480.0
Point differential+12.6+16.1+7.0
Avg total166.9166.9167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1413193%84.975.5+9.4
2 Real Madrid1311285%89.877.2+12.6
3 CSKA Moscow1411379%88.881.9+6.9
4 Anadolu Efes149564%87.682.6+5.1
5 Olympiacos149564%81.076.9+4.1
6 Bayern137654%80.280.2+0.0
7 Zalgiris Kaunas147750%82.581.2+1.3
8 Barcelona147750%75.977.6-1.7
9 Olimpia Milano136746%85.585.2+0.2
10 Panathinaikos136746%77.979.4-1.5
11 Baskonia146843%80.580.9-0.4
12 Khimki M.145936%77.780.5-2.8
13 Gran Canaria145936%81.889.4-7.6
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1441029%76.979.2-2.4
15 Buducnost1431121%71.483.6-12.2
16 Darussafaka141137%75.685.9-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1615281372
Real Madrid2719191782
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