Bayern vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Nov 2015

Tip-off: 19:45

Final 79-90

19-19 24-19 23-25 13-27

Position#14

Record2-2

FormWWWLL

Points / game77.8

Allowed / game74.0

Bayern

Crvena zvezda 🏆

Position#13

Record1-3

FormWLWLW

Points / game66.2

Allowed / game80.5

EuroleagueRound 5

European cup2015

Meetings · Bayern v Crvena zvezda

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crvena zvezda winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Phoenix Hagen

#11

97-82

+15

A07/10

BBL

Bonn

#12

84-91

-7

H11/10

BBL

Fenerbahce

67-74

-7

A16/10

Euroleague

Mitteldeutscher

#16

92-84

H19/10

BBL

Khimki M.

#10

69-60

H22/10

Euroleague

Bayreuth

#13

94-65

+29

H25/10

BBL

Strasbourg

#20

76-61

+15

H30/10

Euroleague

Gottingen

#17

114-73

114

+41

H01/11

BBL

Real Madrid

#12

99-101

101

-2

A05/11

Euroleague

Frankfurt

69-74

-5

A08/11

BBL

21-30

24-27

29-8

23-17

22-22

28-23

17-24

17-22

20-10

19-20

20-22

8-22

29-21

21-21

22-20

20-22

22-16

23-15

14-20

10-9

16-16

24-18

26-14

28-17

18-12

13-17

23-18

22-14

21-15

30-19

25-17

38-22

20-33

31-18

30-22

18-28

16-17

16-11

16-21

21-25

162.6Avg total

86.1Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	77.8	74.0	151.8	+3.8	50%
Season at home (2)	72.5	60.5	133.0	+12.0	100%
Season away (2)	83.0	87.5	170.5	-4.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	86.1	76.5	162.6	+9.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	74.8	165.2	+15.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	68.0	67.0	135.0	+1.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	82.9	83.7	166.6	-0.9	50%
vs Weaker (14)	85.1	73.8	158.9	+11.4	71%

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tajfun Sentjur

#14

113-66

113

+47

H08/10

ABA League

Cedevita

72-74

-2

A11/10

ABA League

Strasbourg

#20

81-59

+22

H15/10

Euroleague

Petrol Olimpija

73-77

-4

H18/10

ABA League

Real Madrid

#12

71-98

-27

A22/10

Euroleague

KK Metalac

#12

68-62

A26/10

ABA League

Khimki M.

#10

53-91

-38

A30/10

Euroleague

Partizan

92-77

+15

H03/11

ABA League

Fenerbahce

60-74

-14

H06/11

Euroleague

MZT Skopje

#10

71-66

A09/11

ABA League

30-15

29-11

29-16

25-24

12-11

26-24

17-21

17-18

19-20

24-12

19-16

19-11

19-10

11-18

23-21

20-28

6-22

14-34

21-26

30-16

16-14

19-17

16-13

17-18

17-22

13-29

9-20

14-20

13-24

32-16

23-20

24-17

19-25

12-20

11-14

18-15

20-20

20-9

14-16

17-21

149.8Avg total

75.4Scored

74.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	66.2	80.5	146.8	-14.2	25%
Season at home (2)	70.5	66.5	137.0	+4.0	50%
Season away (2)	62.0	94.5	156.5	-32.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	75.4	74.4	149.8	+1.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	68.8	74.0	142.8	-5.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	56.5	82.5	139.0	-26.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	77.0	80.0	157.0	-3.0	50%
vs Weaker (26)	83.0	69.2	152.2	+13.8	88%

This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BayernCrvena zvezda

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.0	39.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.2	39.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	13.0	34.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.5	22.1	41.6	-2.6	21%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.6	18.6	39.3	+2.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.9	37.3	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.0	17.2	34.2	-0.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.3	35.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	23.5	41.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	14.5	21.0	35.5	-6.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (26)	19.9	17.2	37.1	+2.7	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.6	40.3	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	18.0	40.7	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	18.9	41.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	16.6	39.4	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.9	19.4	41.2	+2.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.7	38.0	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	16.5	37.2	+4.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	19.1	38.9	+0.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.5	24.5	37.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	15.0	25.5	40.5	-10.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (26)	21.2	16.6	37.8	+4.6	69%	-

BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Phoenix Hagen

#11

45-57

-12

A07/10

BBL

Bonn

#12

50-45

H11/10

BBL

Fenerbahce

39-30

A16/10

Euroleague

Mitteldeutscher

#16

50-42

H19/10

BBL

Khimki M.

#10

45-31

+14

H22/10

Euroleague

Bayreuth

#13

40-34

H25/10

BBL

Strasbourg

#20

31-29

H30/10

Euroleague

Gottingen

#17

51-34

+17

H01/11

BBL

Real Madrid

#12

51-51

A05/11

Euroleague

Frankfurt

32-28

A08/11

BBL

81.5Avg total

43.4Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	38.5	80.3	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.8	36.0	79.8	+7.8	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	41.0	80.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	38.1	81.5	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	35.2	76.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.0	30.5	72.5	+11.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	41.4	41.5	82.9	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (14)	42.2	36.6	78.9	+5.6	79%	-

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tajfun Sentjur

#14

59-26

+33

H08/10

ABA League

Cedevita

38-35

A11/10

ABA League

Strasbourg

#20

43-32

+11

H15/10

Euroleague

Petrol Olimpija

30-28

H18/10

ABA League

Real Madrid

#12

20-56

-36

A22/10

Euroleague

KK Metalac

#12

35-31

A26/10

ABA League

Khimki M.

#10

30-51

-21

A30/10

Euroleague

Partizan

45-40

H03/11

ABA League

Fenerbahce

31-45

-14

H06/11

Euroleague

MZT Skopje

#10

40-29

+11

A09/11

ABA League

74.4Avg total

37.1Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	35.6	75.3	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.2	34.9	77.2	+7.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.7	36.4	73.1	+0.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	37.3	74.4	-0.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	39.2	75.4	-3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	30.5	48.0	78.5	-17.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	29.5	46.5	76.0	-17.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (26)	41.2	33.8	75.0	+7.3	77%	-

This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.3	38.9	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	19.2	38.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.3	39.5	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	18.4	42.4	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.6	17.9	38.5	+2.8	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	16.6	37.0	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	14.5	35.3	+6.3	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.3	36.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	16.6	31.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	10.0	17.0	27.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	20.5	16.5	37.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (26)	21.2	16.6	37.7	+4.6	77%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.9	41.0	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	17.7	39.8	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	22.2	42.1	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	21.2	46.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	9.0	15.5	24.5	-6.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.3	19.3	41.6	+3.0	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	19.4	41.4	+2.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	17.7	37.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	17.5	33.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	27.0	17.0	44.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (26)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.9	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	39.2	79.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	36.9	78.2	+4.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	41.5	81.6	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	38.4	81.1	+4.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.4	39.6	89.0	+9.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.0	36.5	62.5	-10.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	40.6	41.6	82.2	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	42.9	37.1	80.1	+5.8	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	35.2	76.4	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	33.9	76.8	+9.0	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.3	36.7	76.0	+2.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	37.1	75.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	34.8	67.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.0	34.5	60.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	47.5	33.5	81.0	+14.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (26)	41.9	35.4	77.3	+6.5	85%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bayern wins

Crvena zvezda wins

No previous meetings.

Bayernlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/15	A	Frankfurt	69-74
05/11/15	A	Real Madrid	99-101
01/11/15	H	Gottingen	114-73
30/10/15	H	Strasbourg	76-61
25/10/15	H	Bayreuth	94-65
22/10/15	H	Khimki M.	69-60
19/10/15	H	Mitteldeutscher	92-84
16/10/15	A	Fenerbahce	67-74
11/10/15	H	Bonn	84-91
07/10/15	A	Phoenix Hagen	97-82

Crvena zvezdalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/15	A	MZT Skopje	71-66
06/11/15	H	Fenerbahce	60-74
03/11/15	H	Partizan	92-77
30/10/15	A	Khimki M.	53-91
26/10/15	A	KK Metalac	68-62
22/10/15	A	Real Madrid	71-98
18/10/15	H	Petrol Olimpija	73-77
15/10/15	H	Strasbourg	81-59
11/10/15	A	Cedevita	72-74
08/10/15	H	Tajfun Sentjur	113-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern

Euroleague 2015

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWL	50%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	77.8	72.5	83.0
Allowed / game	74.0	60.5	87.5
Point differential	+3.8	+12.0	-4.5
Avg total	151.8	133.0	170.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Crvena zvezda

Euroleague 2015

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLL	25%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	25%	50%	0%
Points / game	66.2	70.5	62.0
Allowed / game	80.5	66.5	94.5
Point differential	-14.2	+4.0	-32.5
Avg total	146.8	137.0	156.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	CSKA Moscow	4	4	0	100%	92.5	74.8	+17.8
2	Unicaja	4	4	0	100%	82.5	71.0	+11.5
3	Lokomotiv Kuban	4	4	0	100%	78.0	68.0	+10.0
4	Olympiacos	5	4	1	80%	80.4	71.8	+8.6
5	Khimki M.	4	3	1	75%	80.8	63.5	+17.2
6	Baskonia	4	3	1	75%	92.8	82.0	+10.8
7	Barcelona	4	3	1	75%	75.5	68.2	+7.2
8	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	75%	73.8	71.0	+2.8
9	Bayern	4	2	2	50%	77.8	74.0	+3.8
10	Bamberg	4	2	2	50%	77.8	75.2	+2.5
11	Real Madrid	4	2	2	50%	83.8	82.8	+1.0
12	Zalgiris Kaunas	4	2	2	50%	71.5	72.2	-0.8
13	Cedevita	4	2	2	50%	74.8	75.8	-1.0
14	Anadolu Efes	5	2	3	40%	86.0	82.8	+3.2
15	Darussafaka	5	2	3	40%	77.4	78.8	-1.4
16	Limoges	5	2	3	40%	71.0	83.2	-12.2
17	Zielona Gora	4	1	3	25%	70.0	73.8	-3.8
18	Karsiyaka	4	1	3	25%	65.8	71.8	-6.0
19	Panathinaikos	4	1	3	25%	68.8	75.5	-6.8
20	Strasbourg	4	1	3	25%	68.2	78.8	-10.5
21	Crvena zvezda	4	1	3	25%	66.2	80.5	-14.2
22	Olimpia Milano	5	1	4	20%	70.0	77.4	-7.4
23	Maccabi Tel Aviv	5	1	4	20%	73.8	83.4	-9.6
24	Sassari	4	0	4	0%	69.2	87.2	-18.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bayern	19	24	23	13	79
Crvena zvezda	19	19	25	27	90

← all games of the day

Bayern vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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