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Bayern vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 74-66
20-19 12-8 21-19 21-20
Position#15
Record11-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game82.3
Bayern 🏆
vs
Crvena zvezda
Position#16
Record10-16
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game80.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27· BMW Park
European cup2023
Meetings · Bayern v Crvena zvezda
03 Feb 2027
BAY v CZV
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
BAY97
CZV88
15 Apr 2025
BAY97
CZV93
06 Mar 2025
BAY100
CZV82
01 Mar 2024
BAY74
CZV66
02 Mar 2023
BAY87
CZV80
01 Apr 2022
BAY82
CZV57
06 Nov 2020
BAY74
CZV59
12 Nov 2015
BAY79
CZV90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
98-81
98
81
+17
94avg 78
H28/01
BBL
Baskonia
#9
W
112-109 OT
112
109
+3
113avg 78
H30/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
72-76
72
76
-4
64avg 78
H01/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
93-73
93
73
+20
93avg 78
H05/02
BBL
Partizan
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 78
A08/02
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
116-86
116
86
+30
112avg 78
A11/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
89-80
89
80
+9
87avg 78
H13/02
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
81-62
81
62
+19
75avg 78
A17/02
German Cup
Ulm
#3
W
81-65
81
65
+16
77avg 78
H18/02
German Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
86-74
86
74
+12
95avg 78
H28/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
31-11
17-17
29-26
25-19
31-33
26-24
12-18
14-18
24-17
13-19
21-22
25-20
21-21
25-18
22-14
26-23
15-22
18-18
20-15
34-21
27-22
28-14
27-29
22-21
17-32
23-19
27-8
21-22
27-10
15-9
18-21
9-18
26-10
24-19
22-18
29-21
17-17
22-23
18-13
169.1Avg total
90.7Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.682.3161.9-2.742%
Season at home (12)82.782.3165.0+0.358%
Season away (14)76.982.3159.2-5.429%
Last 10 (10)90.778.4169.1+12.390%
Last 5 (5)90.673.4164.0+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.381.1165.4+3.273%
vs Weaker (13)90.773.0163.7+17.7100%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
L
80-89
80
89
-9
62avg 80
A25/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
82avg 80
H28/01
ABA League
Valencia
#14
W
82-64
82
64
+18
81avg 80
H30/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
76-85
76
85
-9
65avg 80
H02/02
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
L
62-84
62
84
-22
46avg 80
A05/02
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
91-93
91
93
-2
91avg 80
H09/02
Euroleague
Zadar
#6
W
93-54
93
54
+39
96avg 80
H11/02
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 80
H14/02
Korac cup
Cacak 94
#4
W
87-52
87
52
+35
85avg 80
A16/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
W
85-79
85
79
+6
81avg 80
H17/02
Korac cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
20-33
18-21
26-17
28-15
27-23
17-18
16-30
11-12
28-18
22-19
21-15
17-18
15-27
19-19
25-21
18-22
18-24
15-13
11-25
22-23
23-22
20-23
26-25
31-12
22-10
20-18
20-14
17-16
23-20
18-19
22-20
15-15
20-8
29-14
23-15
15-18
28-26
25-19
17-16
158.5Avg total
82.4Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.080.8162.9+1.238%
Season at home (13)82.277.2159.4+5.154%
Season away (13)81.884.5166.4-2.723%
Last 10 (10)82.476.1158.5+6.360%
Last 5 (5)87.270.6157.8+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.376.7146.0-7.333%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.581.8168.4+4.755%
vs Weaker (15)85.972.6158.5+13.373%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
BayernCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H28/01
BBL
Baskonia
#9
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H30/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H01/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H05/02
BBL
Partizan
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A08/02
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A11/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H13/02
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A17/02
German Cup
Ulm
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H18/02
German Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H28/02
BBL
86.7Avg total
46.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.982.0+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.940.682.5+1.259%-
Last 30 away (13)42.538.881.4+3.762%-
Last 10 (10)46.240.586.7+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)45.838.884.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.041.276.2-6.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.143.284.3-2.136%-
vs Weaker (13)46.436.582.8+9.992%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A25/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#3
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H28/01
ABA League
Valencia
#14
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H30/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H02/02
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A05/02
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H09/02
Euroleague
Zadar
#6
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H11/02
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H14/02
Korac cup
Cacak 94
#4
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A16/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H17/02
Korac cup
79.4Avg total
41.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.439.683.0+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.537.482.9+8.171%-
Last 30 away (13)40.742.583.2-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.079.4+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.234.077.2+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.039.372.3-6.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.241.887.0+3.455%-
vs Weaker (15)44.538.382.7+6.267%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.020.6
62.4%
53.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.411.6
42.3%
36.6%34.8
🏀 Free throws17.614.1
80.1%
77.4%14.1
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.4
56.7%
53.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.3
34.1%
36.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.815.3
77.3%
77.4%15.3
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWWWWWWLWW
Crvena zvezda
WWWWLLLWWL
#15
League position
#16
+18.5
Net rating
+10.1
131.1
Offensive rating
113.8
112.7
Defensive rating
103.7
62.9%
Effective FG%
54.2%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.3%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
42.3%
3-point %
34.1%
57.5%
Assist %
62.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence131.1 · 113.8Defence112.7 · 103.7Shooting62.9% · 54.2%3-point %42.3% · 34.1%Ball care15.0% · 15.3%Off. rebounds34.2% · 28.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bayern wins
5
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
02/11/23Crvena zvezda v Bayern74-68
02/03/23Bayern v Crvena zvezda87-80
28/10/22Crvena zvezda v Bayern78-72
01/04/22Bayern v Crvena zvezda82-57
17/12/21Crvena zvezda v Bayern81-78
02/03/21Crvena zvezda v Bayern76-78
06/11/20Bayern v Crvena zvezda74-59
18/12/15Crvena zvezda v Bayern85-76
12/11/15Bayern v Crvena zvezda79-90
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/24HGottingen86-74
18/02/24HUlm81-65
17/02/24ABamberg81-62
13/02/24HChemnitz89-80
11/02/24ASyntainics MBC116-86
08/02/24APartizan79-78
05/02/24HOldenburg93-73
01/02/24HOlympiacos72-76
30/01/24HBaskonia112-109 OT
28/01/24HCrailsheim Merlins98-81
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HPartizan85-79
16/02/24ACacak 9487-52
14/02/24HFMP Beograd80-75
11/02/24HZadar93-54
09/02/24HZalgiris Kaunas91-93
05/02/24ABuducnost62-84
02/02/24HBarcelona76-85
30/01/24HValencia82-64
28/01/24HPartizan88-86
25/01/24AAlba Berlin80-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW42%
HomeWLLWL58%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %42%58%29%
Points / game79.682.776.9
Allowed / game82.382.382.3
Point differential-2.7+0.3-5.4
Avg total161.9165.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%25%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %15%17%14%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWLWLL54%
AwayLWLWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%54%23%
Points / game82.082.281.8
Allowed / game80.877.284.5
Point differential+1.2+5.1-2.7
Avg total162.9159.4166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%46%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (8)0% (2)0% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2722581%88.980.5+8.4
2 Barcelona2618869%83.078.5+4.5
3 Panathinaikos27171063%81.477.7+3.7
4 Virtus Bologna27171063%80.780.9-0.2
5 Monaco26161062%81.379.0+2.3
6 Olympiacos27161159%79.375.3+4.0
7 Fenerbahce27161159%83.781.4+2.2
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv27141352%87.187.8-0.6
9 Baskonia27141352%83.884.5-0.7
10 Partizan27131448%83.683.9-0.2
11 Valencia27131448%76.076.4-0.4
12 Bayern26111542%79.682.3-2.7
13 Olimpia Milano27111641%76.976.8+0.1
14 Zalgiris Kaunas27111641%80.181.3-1.1
15 Anadolu Efes27111641%84.888.0-3.1
16 Crvena zvezda26101638%82.080.8+1.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2762122%78.485.8-7.4
18 Alba Berlin2752219%75.985.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2012212174
Crvena zvezda198192066
← all games of the day
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