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Bayern vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 97-93 (OT)
21-23 18-23 32-15 13-23 13-9
Position#7
Record19-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game87.8
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record18-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game81.1
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Semi-finals· BMW Park
European cup2024Neutral venue
Meetings · Bayern v Crvena zvezda
03 Feb 2027
BAY v CZV
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
BAY97
CZV88
15 Apr 2025
BAY97
CZV93
06 Mar 2025
BAY100
CZV82
01 Mar 2024
BAY74
CZV66
02 Mar 2023
BAY87
CZV80
01 Apr 2022
BAY82
CZV57
06 Nov 2020
BAY74
CZV59
12 Nov 2015
BAY79
CZV90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#14
L
89-112
89
112
-23
82avg 80
A20/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
W
91-66
91
66
+25
89avg 80
H22/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
W
102-101
102
101
+1
90avg 80
A25/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
89-74
89
74
+15
85avg 80
H27/03
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
80avg 80
A29/03
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
90-93
90
93
-3
82avg 80
A03/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
94-72
94
72
+22
91avg 80
H06/04
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
94-109
94
109
-15
92avg 80
A08/04
BBL
Fenerbahce
#1
L
77-89
77
89
-12
69avg 80
H10/04
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
W
94-83
94
83
+11
85avg 80
A13/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
27-25
23-33
18-29
29-13
27-14
18-13
17-26
30-28
26-27
20-22
26-24
21-23
21-21
23-19
24-11
28-19
23-10
14-19
16-27
22-17
22-31
30-13
16-32
18-19
31-18
22-16
23-19
16-28
35-29
24-28
19-24
13-28
18-18
21-22
25-21
16-20
38-22
21-21
19-20
177.5Avg total
90.1Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)87.287.8175.0-0.656%
Season at home (17)90.183.8173.8+6.376%
Season away (17)84.491.8176.1-7.435%
Last 10 (10)90.187.4177.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)89.889.2179.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.298.0181.2-14.825%
vs Similar ◀ (14)89.086.3175.3+2.757%
vs Weaker (12)84.572.9157.4+11.683%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
76avg 81
H13/03
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#9
W
81-72
81
72
+9
73avg 81
H17/03
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
W
81-73
81
73
+8
83avg 81
A20/03
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
98-72
98
72
+26
104avg 81
A23/03
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
88-52
88
52
+36
91avg 81
H26/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
72-78
72
78
-6
58avg 81
H28/03
Euroleague
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
77-78
77
78
-1
63avg 81
H31/03
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
96-97 OT
96
97
-1
89avg 81
H04/04
Euroleague
Cibona
#16
W
107-81
107
81
+26
100avg 81
A07/04
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
104-111 OT
104
111
-7
97avg 81
A11/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
21-25
19-20
16-14
33-18
16-18
17-13
15-23
20-8
23-19
15-28
23-18
27-18
24-20
25-16
22-18
28-11
23-16
18-10
19-15
9-22
18-20
18-13
27-23
22-14
19-20
21-30
15-14
24-16
27-28
13-22
24-22
30-25
24-19
29-11
24-26
26-23
23-24
28-30
19-19
168.0Avg total
88.4Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)82.881.1163.9+1.653%
Season at home (17)84.778.9163.6+5.853%
Season away (17)80.883.4164.2-2.553%
Last 10 (10)88.479.6168.0+8.850%
Last 5 (5)91.289.0180.2+2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.688.3173.9-2.731%
vs Weaker (16)87.472.1159.4+15.381%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
BayernCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#14
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A20/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
W
56-27
56
27
+29
H22/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A25/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H27/03
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A29/03
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A03/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H06/04
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A08/04
BBL
Fenerbahce
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H10/04
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A13/04
BBL
91.7Avg total
48.2Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.683.8+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.338.579.8+2.850%-
Last 30 away (14)45.542.988.4+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)48.243.591.7+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.846.091.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.547.086.5-7.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.342.184.4+0.236%-
vs Weaker (12)45.736.782.3+9.075%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H13/03
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H17/03
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A20/03
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A23/03
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H26/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H28/03
Euroleague
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H31/03
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H04/04
Euroleague
Cibona
#16
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A07/04
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A11/04
Euroleague
84.8Avg total
46.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.439.983.3+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.739.181.8+3.758%-
Last 30 away (11)44.541.585.9+3.064%-
Last 10 (10)46.138.784.8+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.286.6+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.242.783.9-1.538%-
vs Weaker (16)44.437.481.8+6.975%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.218.2
60.3%
54.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.812.7
39.9%
36.2%38.1
🏀 Free throws18.314.4
78.7%
78.0%14.4
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.8
54.6%
54.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.4
36.6%
36.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.614.8
75.5%
78.0%14.8
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLLWLWWWWL
Crvena zvezda
LWLLLWWWWL
#7
League position
#10
+3.1
Net rating
+12.3
119.1
Offensive rating
117.0
116.1
Defensive rating
104.7
60.1%
Effective FG%
54.7%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
19.0%
Turnover %
13.6%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.9%
3-point %
36.6%
60.2%
Assist %
69.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.1 · 117.0Defence116.1 · 104.7Shooting60.1% · 54.7%3-point %39.9% · 36.6%Ball care19.0% · 13.6%Off. rebounds30.5% · 27.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Bayern   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bayern wins
4
Crvena zvezda wins
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25AOldenburg94-83
10/04/25HFenerbahce77-89
08/04/25AUlm94-109
06/04/25HBasketball Braunschweig94-72
03/04/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv90-93
29/03/25AWurzburg81-75
27/03/25HPartizan89-74
25/03/25ABarcelona102-101
22/03/25HRostock91-66
20/03/25ABaskonia89-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25APanathinaikos104-111 OT
07/04/25ACibona107-81
04/04/25HAnadolu Efes96-97 OT
31/03/25HSpartak Subotica77-78
28/03/25HReal Madrid72-78
26/03/25HVirtus Bologna88-52
23/03/25ABorac Mozzart98-72
20/03/25AOlympiacos81-73
17/03/25HMega Basket81-72
13/03/25HOlimpia Milano80-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL56%
HomeWWLWL76%
AwayWLLWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %56%76%35%
Points / game87.290.184.4
Allowed / game87.883.891.8
Point differential-0.6+6.3-7.4
Avg total175.0173.8176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%35%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)83% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL53%
HomeLLWLL53%
AwayWWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %53%53%53%
Points / game82.884.780.8
Allowed / game81.178.983.4
Point differential+1.6+5.8-2.5
Avg total163.9163.6164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)0% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %12%18%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos34241071%86.981.8+5.1
2 Fenerbahce34231168%83.281.2+2.0
3 Panathinaikos34221265%88.483.9+4.5
4 Monaco34211362%86.382.9+3.4
5 Anadolu Efes34201459%86.882.2+4.5
6 Barcelona34201459%88.184.4+3.7
7 Real Madrid34201459%85.182.7+2.4
8 Paris34191556%86.585.6+0.9
9 Bayern34191556%87.287.8-0.6
10 Crvena zvezda34181653%82.881.1+1.6
11 Olimpia Milano34171750%85.486.7-1.2
12 Partizan34161847%81.880.1+1.6
13 Zalgiris Kaunas34151944%77.479.0-1.6
14 Baskonia34142041%82.683.6-1.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne34132138%80.985.3-4.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv34112332%85.989.8-3.9
17 Virtus Bologna3492526%79.283.7-4.5
18 Alba Berlin3452915%78.791.3-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bayern211832131397
Crvena zvezda23231523993
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