PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Real Madrid vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Nov 2015
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 101-99
33-20 18-31 22-30 28-18
Position#12
Record1-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#14
Record2-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game65.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4
European cup2015
Meetings · Real Madrid v Bayern
15 Dec 2026
MAD v BAY
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
MAD93
BAY70
18 Apr 2025
MAD93
BAY71
03 Jan 2025
MAD88
BAY76
14 Dec 2023
MAD88
BAY73
06 Apr 2023
MAD79
BAY67
08 Apr 2022
MAD88
BAY97
29 Oct 2020
MAD100
BAY82
22 Feb 2019
MAD91
BAY78
05 Nov 2015
MAD101
BAY99
15 Jan 2014
MAD111
BAY87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#2
L
90-91
90
91
-1
A26/09
Intercontinental Cup
Bauru
#2
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H27/09
Intercontinental Cup
Unicaja
#2
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A02/10
Supercopa ACB
Valencia
#3
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H11/10
ACB
Khimki M.
#10
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A16/10
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#18
W
94-61
94
61
+33
A18/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#13
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H22/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#10
W
112-89
112
89
+23
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A30/10
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#12
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A01/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
15-11
25-29
28-32
24-15
25-25
17-17
25-22
17-17
20-29
15-26
27-22
20-17
17-28
25-15
20-28
14-21
18-22
17-18
21-23
22-26
34-12
13-7
25-16
22-6
34-14
26-21
16-30
26-18
28-22
29-23
29-26
18-20
14-19
24-24
10-14
17-17
23-23
24-16
24-24
168.4Avg total
87.0Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.077.3155.3+0.733%
Season at home (1)98.071.0169.0+27.0100%
Season away (2)68.080.5148.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)87.081.4168.4+5.650%
Last 5 (5)91.675.6167.2+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.077.0143.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)86.281.0167.2+5.267%
vs Weaker (22)88.479.2167.6+9.277%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A21/06
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H02/10
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#11
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A07/10
BBL
Bonn
#12
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H11/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#2
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A16/10
Euroleague
Mitteldeutscher
#16
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H19/10
BBL
Khimki M.
#10
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H22/10
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#13
W
94-65
94
65
+29
H25/10
BBL
Strasbourg
#20
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H30/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
W
114-73
114
73
+41
H01/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
17-23
14-14
34-25
20-12
24-10
21-17
17-17
21-30
24-27
29-8
23-17
22-22
28-23
17-24
17-22
20-10
19-20
20-22
8-22
29-21
21-21
22-20
20-22
22-16
23-15
14-20
10-9
16-16
24-18
26-14
28-17
18-12
13-17
23-18
22-14
21-15
30-19
25-17
38-22
159.3Avg total
85.9Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.765.0135.7+5.767%
Season at home (2)72.560.5133.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)67.074.0141.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)85.973.4159.3+12.570%
Last 5 (5)89.068.6157.6+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.067.0135.0+1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.783.1165.8-0.458%
vs Weaker (16)86.874.1160.9+12.875%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
Real MadridBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#2
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A26/09
Intercontinental Cup
Bauru
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H27/09
Intercontinental Cup
Unicaja
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A02/10
Supercopa ACB
Valencia
#3
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H11/10
ACB
Khimki M.
#10
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A16/10
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#18
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A18/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#13
W
56-20
56
20
+36
H22/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#10
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A30/10
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#12
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A01/11
ACB
81.1Avg total
43.0Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.180.6+4.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.536.982.4+8.675%-
Last 30 away (14)39.039.578.5-0.536%-
Last 10 (10)43.038.181.1+4.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.635.483.0+12.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.039.071.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.536.380.8+8.267%-
vs Weaker (22)42.638.280.8+4.559%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A21/06
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H02/10
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#11
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A07/10
BBL
Bonn
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H11/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#2
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A16/10
Euroleague
Mitteldeutscher
#16
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H19/10
BBL
Khimki M.
#10
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H22/10
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H25/10
BBL
Strasbourg
#20
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H30/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H01/11
BBL
80.4Avg total
43.1Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.580.8+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.436.280.6+8.188%-
Last 30 away (14)40.041.181.1-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)43.137.380.4+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)43.434.077.4+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.030.572.5+11.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.341.883.2-0.542%-
vs Weaker (16)43.137.080.1+6.181%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Real Madrid wins
1
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
13/03/14Bayern v Real Madrid85-83
15/01/14Real Madrid v Bayern111-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/15ATecnyconta Zaragoza88-80
30/10/15AFenerbahce66-77
25/10/15HTenerife112-89
22/10/15HCrvena zvezda98-71
18/10/15AGipuzkoa94-61
16/10/15AKhimki M.70-84
11/10/15HValencia82-88
02/10/15AUnicaja79-94
27/09/15HBauru91-79
26/09/15ABauru90-91
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/15HGottingen114-73
30/10/15HStrasbourg76-61
25/10/15HBayreuth94-65
22/10/15HKhimki M.69-60
19/10/15HMitteldeutscher92-84
16/10/15AFenerbahce67-74
11/10/15HBonn84-91
07/10/15APhoenix Hagen97-82
02/10/15HOldenburg82-56
21/06/15ABamberg84-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2015
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game78.098.068.0
Allowed / game77.371.080.5
Point differential+0.7+27.0-12.5
Avg total155.3169.0148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2015
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game70.772.567.0
Allowed / game65.060.574.0
Point differential+5.7+12.0-7.0
Avg total135.7133.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow440100%92.574.8+17.8
2 Unicaja330100%83.374.0+9.3
3 Lokomotiv Kuban330100%80.073.0+7.0
4 Khimki M.43175%80.863.5+17.2
5 Baskonia32167%93.079.3+13.7
6 Anadolu Efes32167%84.377.0+7.3
7 Barcelona32167%72.365.0+7.3
8 Bayern32167%70.765.0+5.7
9 Olympiacos32167%78.774.3+4.3
10 Zalgiris Kaunas32167%69.368.0+1.3
11 Fenerbahce32167%73.774.7-1.0
12 Bamberg42250%77.875.2+2.5
13 Real Madrid31233%78.077.3+0.7
14 Karsiyaka31233%70.071.7-1.7
15 Cedevita31233%74.078.3-4.3
16 Olimpia Milano31233%72.378.7-6.3
17 Panathinaikos31233%69.077.0-8.0
18 Crvena zvezda31233%68.382.7-14.3
19 Limoges31233%77.392.0-14.7
20 Darussafaka41325%75.880.2-4.5
21 Maccabi Tel Aviv41325%74.083.2-9.2
22 Strasbourg41325%68.278.8-10.5
23 Zielona Gora3030%69.775.7-6.0
24 Sassari3030%71.789.7-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid33182228101
Bayern2031301899
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.