PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bayern vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-80
19-23 22-15 11-18 35-24
Position#16
Record9-16
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game79.1
Bayern 🏆
vs
Crvena zvezda
Position#11
Record11-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26
European cup2022
Meetings · Bayern v Crvena zvezda
03 Feb 2027
BAY v CZV
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
BAY97
CZV88
15 Apr 2025
BAY97
CZV93
06 Mar 2025
BAY100
CZV82
01 Mar 2024
BAY74
CZV66
02 Mar 2023
BAY87
CZV80
01 Apr 2022
BAY82
CZV57
06 Nov 2020
BAY74
CZV59
12 Nov 2015
BAY79
CZV90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
W
105-74
105
74
+31
113avg 73
H29/01
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
73-82
73
82
-9
67avg 73
A31/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
70-72
70
72
-2
58avg 73
A02/02
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 73
H05/02
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
71-82
71
82
-11
58avg 73
H09/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
79-58
79
58
+21
74avg 73
A12/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 73
H14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H18/02
German Cup
Oldenburg
#2
W
90-78
90
78
+12
no box
H19/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
70avg 73
A23/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
28-17
26-19
28-16
14-16
18-17
24-28
17-21
14-21
19-13
14-17
23-21
15-27
21-12
19-22
18-16
19-19
14-20
12-21
26-22
23-7
19-21
21-18
16-12
19-35
15-18
23-16
13-20
21-17
19-21
20-13
23-26
24-16
19-19
22-19
25-24
18-18
26-21
23-22
15-29
157.5Avg total
79.6Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.679.1155.7-2.536%
Season at home (12)80.480.2160.7+0.250%
Season away (13)73.178.1151.2-5.023%
Last 10 (10)79.677.9157.5+1.740%
Last 5 (5)80.878.4159.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.779.7155.3-4.025%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.779.7161.4+2.057%
vs Weaker (11)84.677.1161.7+7.582%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#5
W
99-84
99
84
+15
97avg 76
A29/01
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 76
A31/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
68-74
68
74
-6
no box
A02/02
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
W
104-71
104
71
+33
112avg 76
H05/02
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
89-86
89
86
+3
83avg 76
A09/02
Euroleague
Zadar
#9
W
95-76
95
76
+19
97avg 76
A12/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#8
W
89-64
89
64
+25
no box
H16/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#3
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
A17/02
Korac cup
Mega Basket
#2
W
96-79
96
79
+17
no box
H18/02
Korac cup
Alba Berlin
#17
L
72-87
72
87
-15
56avg 76
H24/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
30-23
24-24
21-18
14-30
21-18
16-22
21-14
18-22
14-23
17-14
19-15
27-11
34-19
20-11
23-30
18-18
26-16
25-21
20-31
22-18
25-13
26-25
22-20
17-19
18-12
29-17
25-16
15-21
19-23
25-14
24-17
22-23
29-21
27-21
18-14
25-15
19-24
17-21
11-27
164.7Avg total
86.7Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.578.4153.9-3.044%
Season at home (12)76.276.2152.4+0.150%
Season away (13)74.880.5155.3-5.838%
Last 10 (10)86.778.0164.7+8.770%
Last 5 (5)87.076.2163.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.088.0169.0-7.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.575.5153.0+1.955%
vs Weaker (15)88.272.1160.3+16.193%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
BayernCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H29/01
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A31/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A02/02
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H05/02
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H09/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A12/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/02
German Cup
Oldenburg
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H19/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A23/02
Euroleague
76.5Avg total
38.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.881.0+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.439.182.6+4.369%-
Last 30 away (14)38.640.679.2-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)38.837.776.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.679.2+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.941.179.0-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.636.777.3+3.957%-
vs Weaker (11)45.140.585.5+4.673%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#5
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A29/01
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A31/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A02/02
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
W
61-30
61
30
+31
H05/02
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A09/02
Euroleague
Zadar
#9
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A12/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#8
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H16/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A17/02
Korac cup
Mega Basket
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H18/02
Korac cup
Alba Berlin
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H24/02
Euroleague
82.5Avg total
43.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.680.8+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.239.483.6+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)39.937.877.6+2.164%-
Last 10 (10)43.738.882.5+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.880.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.342.080.3-3.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.240.080.2+0.255%-
vs Weaker (15)44.937.582.4+7.587%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.5
49.7%
53.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.1
35.4%
36.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.315.7
77.3%
78.5%15.7
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.1
55.7%
53.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.8
38.3%
36.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.515.7
80.5%
78.5%15.7
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWLWLLLLW
Crvena zvezda
LWWWWWWLLW
#16
League position
#11
+2.1
Net rating
+4.6
113.3
Offensive rating
118.7
111.1
Defensive rating
114.1
51.1%
Effective FG%
56.4%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.7%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.4%
3-point %
38.3%
52.2%
Assist %
65.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 118.7Defence111.1 · 114.1Shooting51.1% · 56.4%3-point %35.4% · 38.3%Ball care15.5% · 17.7%Off. rebounds33.9% · 34.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayern wins
4
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
28/10/22Crvena zvezda v Bayern78-72
01/04/22Bayern v Crvena zvezda82-57
17/12/21Crvena zvezda v Bayern81-78
02/03/21Crvena zvezda v Bayern76-78
06/11/20Bayern v Crvena zvezda74-59
18/12/15Crvena zvezda v Bayern85-76
12/11/15Bayern v Crvena zvezda79-90
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv82-90
19/02/23HOldenburg90-78
18/02/23HAlba Berlin83-77
14/02/23HHamburg70-89
12/02/23AChemnitz79-58
09/02/23HPartizan71-82
05/02/23HBonn73-77
02/02/23ABarcelona70-72
31/01/23AValencia73-82
29/01/23HGottingen105-74
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23HAlba Berlin72-87
18/02/23HMega Basket96-79
17/02/23APartizan83-75
16/02/23HBorac Mozzart89-64
12/02/23AZadar95-76
09/02/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv89-86
05/02/23HIgokea104-71
02/02/23AOlimpia Milano68-74
31/01/23AVirtus Bologna72-84
29/01/23AFMP Beograd99-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeWWWWL50%
AwayLWLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %36%50%23%
Points / game76.680.473.1
Allowed / game79.180.278.1
Point differential-2.5+0.2-5.0
Avg total155.7160.7151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeLLWLL50%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game75.576.274.8
Allowed / game78.476.280.5
Point differential-3.0+0.1-5.8
Avg total153.9152.4155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)43% (7)83% (6)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2518772%85.675.8+9.8
2 Real Madrid2417771%84.577.1+7.4
3 Barcelona2517868%80.877.3+3.5
4 Fenerbahce2415962%84.481.3+3.1
5 Monaco25151060%83.282.7+0.5
6 Baskonia25131252%85.383.6+1.7
7 Partizan25131252%84.683.2+1.5
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv25131252%82.882.9-0.2
9 Valencia25131252%83.084.1-1.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas25131252%75.678.0-2.4
11 Anadolu Efes24121250%82.679.6+3.0
12 Virtus Bologna25121348%78.280.4-2.2
13 Crvena zvezda25111444%75.578.4-3.0
14 Olimpia Milano2491538%71.977.2-5.3
15 Bayern2591636%76.679.1-2.5
16 Panathinaikos2581732%79.483.1-3.7
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2581732%75.380.6-5.3
18 Alba Berlin2571828%80.985.2-4.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1922113587
Crvena zvezda2315182480
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.