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Bayern vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 100-82
20-22 32-15 25-18 23-27
Position#7
Record16-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game86.5
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record16-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28· SAP Garden
European cup2024
Meetings · Bayern v Crvena zvezda
03 Feb 2027
BAY v CZV
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
BAY97
CZV88
15 Apr 2025
BAY97
CZV93
06 Mar 2025
BAY100
CZV82
01 Mar 2024
BAY74
CZV66
02 Mar 2023
BAY87
CZV80
01 Apr 2022
BAY82
CZV57
06 Nov 2020
BAY74
CZV59
12 Nov 2015
BAY79
CZV90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#15
W
84-82
84
82
+2
77avg 79
H26/01
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
97-82
97
82
+15
99avg 79
A30/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
W
99-86 OT
99
86
+13
92avg 79
H02/02
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
87-70
87
70
+17
87avg 79
H04/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
76-67
76
67
+9
74avg 79
H06/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
65-79
65
79
-14
54avg 79
A09/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
70-56
70
56
+14
65avg 79
H11/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
93-95
93
95
-2
85avg 79
H15/02
German Cup
Paris
#9
L
88-93
88
93
-5
81avg 79
A27/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
W
94-72
94
72
+22
88avg 79
A02/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
18-20
21-15
28-26
22-18
23-13
26-28
26-23
17-17
21-24
24-15
18-24
17-16
20-20
31-19
19-15
23-18
15-12
20-17
18-20
13-20
20-19
16-23
16-17
14-22
28-13
20-9
8-12
20-22
23-26
30-25
20-22
15-23
23-24
30-24
20-22
12-17
30-25
29-14
23-16
163.5Avg total
85.3Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.186.5172.7-0.459%
Season at home (13)90.283.2173.5+7.085%
Season away (14)82.489.6171.9-7.236%
Last 10 (10)85.378.2163.5+7.170%
Last 5 (5)82.079.0161.0+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.496.0175.4-16.620%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.984.4171.3+2.657%
vs Weaker (11)85.473.3158.6+12.182%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
W
73-71
73
71
+2
72avg 82
A31/01
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
W
92-82
92
82
+10
84avg 82
A02/02
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
73-66
73
66
+7
69avg 82
H04/02
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
77-71
77
71
+6
70avg 82
A06/02
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
81avg 82
H10/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#7
W
104-70
104
70
+34
113avg 82
H12/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
W
84-63
84
63
+21
87avg 82
H14/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
no box
H15/02
Korac cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 82
H27/02
Euroleague
Zadar
#10
W
87-76
87
76
+11
89avg 82
H02/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
21-19
13-16
18-18
20-32
28-22
23-10
21-18
19-18
17-13
20-17
17-18
15-13
25-22
19-20
18-16
11-19
25-23
21-21
23-17
30-21
25-23
23-10
26-16
22-16
19-18
22-21
21-8
16-20
24-17
18-20
19-20
22-23
21-21
17-23
20-19
20-10
19-31
19-13
29-22
161.2Avg total
84.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.980.2162.1+1.759%
Season at home (13)84.979.4164.3+5.562%
Season away (14)79.180.9160.0-1.957%
Last 10 (10)84.876.4161.2+8.480%
Last 5 (5)88.875.6164.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)89.084.0173.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.684.8167.3-2.250%
vs Weaker (16)87.774.8162.5+12.994%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +4.0+4.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +4.0+4.0
BayernCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H26/01
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A30/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H02/02
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H04/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H06/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A09/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H15/02
German Cup
Paris
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A02/03
BBL
78.1Avg total
39.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.182.9+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.539.180.5+2.453%-
Last 30 away (15)42.243.185.3-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.078.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.281.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.845.087.8-2.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.440.981.3-0.643%-
vs Weaker (11)43.339.582.7+3.855%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A31/01
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A02/02
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H04/02
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A06/02
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H10/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#7
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H12/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H14/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H15/02
Korac cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H27/02
Euroleague
Zadar
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/03
ABA League
81.9Avg total
42.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.482.0+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.939.081.9+3.959%-
Last 30 away (13)42.140.082.1+2.162%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.981.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.083.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.051.0101.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.240.480.7-0.242%-
vs Weaker (16)43.037.780.7+5.375%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.6
55.4%
54.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.4
36.5%
36.2%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.313.3
76.9%
78.0%13.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.9
53.8%
54.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.9
34.9%
36.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.619.7
80.1%
78.0%19.7
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLLWLWWWWW
Crvena zvezda
WLWWWLWWWW
#7
League position
#10
+10.8
Net rating
+12.5
117.4
Offensive rating
114.9
106.6
Defensive rating
102.3
55.1%
Effective FG%
53.2%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.0%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.41
36.5%
3-point %
34.9%
66.0%
Assist %
74.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 114.9Defence106.6 · 102.3Shooting55.1% · 53.2%3-point %36.5% · 34.9%Ball care17.0% · 16.0%Off. rebounds34.6% · 31.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Bayern   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bayern wins
5
Crvena zvezda wins
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25AChemnitz94-72
27/02/25AParis88-93
15/02/25HSyntainics MBC93-95
11/02/25HFrankfurt70-56
09/02/25AVechta65-79
06/02/25HLyon-Villeurbanne76-67
04/02/25HOlimpia Milano87-70
02/02/25HAlba Berlin99-86 OT
30/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas97-82
26/01/25HBamberg84-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HZadar87-76
27/02/25HZalgiris Kaunas80-86
15/02/25HPartizan89-83 OT
14/02/25HFMP Beograd84-63
12/02/25HBorac Mozzart104-70
10/02/25HBuducnost89-96 OT
06/02/25AAlba Berlin77-71
04/02/25HLyon-Villeurbanne73-66
02/02/25AIgokea92-82
31/01/25APartizan73-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL59%
HomeLWLWW85%
AwayLLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%85%36%
Points / game86.190.282.4
Allowed / game86.583.289.6
Point differential-0.4+7.0-7.2
Avg total172.7173.5171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%31%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL59%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayWWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%62%57%
Points / game81.984.979.1
Allowed / game80.279.480.9
Point differential+1.7+5.5-1.9
Avg total162.1164.3160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)0% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %7%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2720774%88.081.9+6.1
2 Fenerbahce2718967%81.880.5+1.3
3 Panathinaikos27171063%87.483.4+4.0
4 Monaco28171161%86.582.8+3.7
5 Crvena zvezda27161159%81.980.2+1.7
6 Bayern27161159%86.186.5-0.4
7 Paris28161257%85.485.0+0.3
8 Partizan27151256%83.479.1+4.2
9 Olimpia Milano27151256%85.685.3+0.3
10 Barcelona27141352%87.284.6+2.7
11 Real Madrid27141352%84.982.9+2.0
12 Anadolu Efes27131448%85.282.7+2.5
13 Zalgiris Kaunas27131448%77.978.5-0.6
14 Baskonia27111641%81.082.7-1.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne27111641%80.884.6-3.7
16 Virtus Bologna2772026%79.884.7-4.9
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2772026%84.689.8-5.1
18 Alba Berlin2742315%78.691.1-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern20322523100
Crvena zvezda2215182782
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