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Bayreuth vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 85-72
17-17 15-18 23-21 30-16
Position#10
Record9-14
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#14
Record7-13
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game89.0
GermanyBBLRound 24
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Bayreuth v Chemnitz
18 Apr 2023
BAR86
CHE102
13 Apr 2022
BAR69
CHE83
21 Mar 2021
BAR85
CHE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Bayern
#4
L
78-98
78
98
-20
71avg 79
H23/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
83-61
83
61
+22
80avg 79
A30/01
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
no box
A05/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
78avg 79
H10/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
64avg 79
A12/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
78avg 79
H14/02
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
92-97
92
97
-5
90avg 79
A27/02
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
91-76
91
76
+15
92avg 79
A02/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
97-78
97
78
+19
98avg 79
H05/03
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
90-75
90
75
+15
no box
A15/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
22-25
19-26
16-23
17-15
23-15
22-25
21-6
25-17
21-24
21-27
19-18
20-17
14-21
30-27
16-17
20-21
18-26
14-21
16-12
16-20
26-22
19-26
21-23
19-22
21-24
28-25
24-26
30-24
18-18
21-17
22-17
28-14
24-27
22-19
23-18
19-18
21-22
24-12
26-23
168.6Avg total
85.6Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.485.5169.0-2.139%
Season at home (10)84.487.0171.4-2.630%
Season away (13)82.784.4167.1-1.746%
Last 10 (10)85.683.0168.6+2.650%
Last 5 (5)90.483.4173.8+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.587.8163.3-12.310%
vs Similar (9)84.178.8162.9+5.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)93.391.0184.3+2.345%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bayern
#4
L
76-77
76
77
-1
67avg 75
A10/01
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
no box
H15/01
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
63-102
63
102
-39
59avg 75
A24/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
61-83
61
83
-22
59avg 75
H30/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
65-83
65
83
-18
56avg 75
A07/02
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
89-77
89
77
+12
95avg 75
H10/02
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
85-82
85
82
+3
76avg 75
H12/02
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
85-83
85
83
+2
83avg 75
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
60-96
60
96
-36
no box
A09/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
77-93
77
93
-16
67avg 75
A14/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
16-13
24-18
19-20
23-13
21-19
26-26
14-26
8-23
17-25
21-29
17-25
15-17
15-23
25-22
6-21
6-17
21-17
22-26
16-23
15-17
27-18
23-21
24-21
32-27
11-22
18-16
24-17
28-21
18-24
13-26
26-12
19-25
17-36
17-16
7-19
19-24
21-26
10-17
27-26
162.2Avg total
75.4Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.189.0169.1-9.035%
Season at home (10)83.687.2170.8-3.650%
Season away (10)76.690.9167.5-14.320%
Last 10 (10)75.486.8162.2-11.440%
Last 5 (5)79.286.2165.4-7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.691.4169.0-13.929%
vs Similar (6)86.083.5169.5+2.550%
vs Weaker (10)98.783.9182.6+14.890%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
BayreuthChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H23/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A30/01
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A05/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H10/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A12/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H14/02
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A27/02
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A02/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H05/03
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A15/03
BBL
83.9Avg total
42.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.185.1-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.843.185.9-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)41.443.184.4-1.744%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.683.9+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.286.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.843.482.2-4.630%-
vs Similar (9)41.641.082.6+0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.444.589.9+0.855%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A10/01
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H15/01
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A24/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H30/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A07/02
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/02
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H12/02
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
36-61
36
61
-25
A09/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A14/03
BBL
79.9Avg total
36.6Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.884.2-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.741.384.9+2.453%-
Last 30 away (15)39.244.383.5-5.140%-
Last 10 (10)36.643.379.9-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.448.089.4-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.644.982.4-7.329%-
vs Similar (6)41.841.283.0+0.750%-
vs Weaker (10)46.640.887.4+5.870%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.4
57.4%
54.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.79.2
42.4%
37.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.812.8
71.9%
78.0%12.8
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.7
54.0%
54.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.9
37.6%
37.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.513.2
80.0%
78.0%13.2
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayreuth
WWWLLLLWWL
Chemnitz
LLWWWLLLWL
#10
League position
#14
+2.4
Net rating
-13.6
111.5
Offensive rating
102.2
109.1
Defensive rating
115.8
59.7%
Effective FG%
55.0%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
18.5%
Turnover %
24.3%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
42.4%
3-point %
37.6%
54.2%
Assist %
49.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 102.2Defence109.1 · 115.8Shooting59.7% · 55.0%3-point %42.4% · 37.6%Ball care18.5% · 24.3%Off. rebounds23.8% · 29.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Bayreuth   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bayreuth wins
0
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
30/01/21Chemnitz v Bayreuth61-83
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/21As.Oliver Wurzburg90-75
05/03/21HCrailsheim Merlins97-78
02/03/21ABonn91-76
27/02/21AGiessen92-97
14/02/21HOldenburg82-91
12/02/21AAlba Berlin68-80
10/02/21HGottingen80-82
05/02/21AHamburg95-92 OT
30/01/21AChemnitz83-61
23/01/21HBayern78-98
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/21ABasketball Braunschweig77-93
09/03/21ALudwigsburg60-96
14/02/21HBayern85-83
12/02/21HBamberg85-82
10/02/21HVechta89-77
07/02/21AAlba Berlin65-83
30/01/21HBayreuth61-83
24/01/21AUlm63-102
15/01/21HBonn93-92 OT
10/01/21ABayern76-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW39%
HomeLLLLW30%
AwayWLLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %39%30%46%
Points / game83.484.482.7
Allowed / game85.587.084.4
Point differential-2.1-2.6-1.7
Avg total169.0171.4167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Chemnitz
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL35%
HomeWLWWW50%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%50%20%
Points / game80.183.676.6
Allowed / game89.087.290.9
Point differential-8.9-3.6-14.3
Avg total169.2170.8167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg2321291%87.576.5+11.0
2 Alba Berlin2219386%86.074.5+11.5
3 Bayern2319483%88.578.2+10.3
4 Oldenburg2418675%93.384.7+8.6
5 Crailsheim Merlins2317674%87.183.0+4.1
6 Hamburg2213959%84.378.7+5.6
7 Ulm24141058%86.779.1+7.6
8 Bamberg23121152%83.481.1+2.3
9 Frankfurt23101343%77.981.7-3.8
10 Bayreuth2391439%83.485.5-2.1
11 Bonn2281436%81.783.9-2.1
12 Basketball Braunschweig2281436%84.689.0-4.4
13 s.Oliver Wurzburg2281436%79.785.7-6.0
14 Chemnitz2071335%80.189.0-8.9
15 Gottingen2271532%81.291.4-10.1
16 Syntainics MBC2471729%84.990.8-5.9
17 Vechta2442017%79.087.5-8.4
18 Giessen2442017%83.894.2-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth1715233085
Chemnitz1718211672
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