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Bayreuth vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 97-78
28-14 24-27 22-19 23-18
Position#10
Record7-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#5
Record16-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game83.6
GermanyBBLRound 22
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Bayreuth v Crailsheim Merlins
10 Jan 2027
BAR v CME
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
BAR63
CME79
21 Sep 2024
BAR103
CME106
23 Oct 2022
BAR99
CME77
23 Oct 2021
BAR74
CME86
05 Mar 2021
BAR97
CME78
12 Nov 2020
BAR77
CME81
03 Apr 2020
BAR v CME
upcoming
29 Dec 2018
BAR102
CME85
06 Feb 2016
BAR78
CME70
02 Oct 2014
BAR80
CME71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
71avg 78
A09/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
71avg 78
A16/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
78-98
78
98
-20
71avg 78
H23/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
83-61
83
61
+22
80avg 78
A30/01
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
no box
A05/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
78avg 78
H10/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
64avg 78
A12/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
78avg 78
H14/02
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
92-97
92
97
-5
90avg 78
A27/02
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
91-76
91
76
+15
92avg 78
A02/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
20-17
18-15
20-31
19-17
16-19
21-27
21-19
21-24
22-25
19-26
16-23
17-15
23-15
22-25
21-6
25-17
21-24
21-27
19-18
20-17
14-21
30-27
16-17
20-21
18-26
14-21
16-12
16-20
26-22
19-26
21-23
19-22
21-24
28-25
24-26
30-24
18-18
21-17
22-17
165.8Avg total
81.9Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.586.4168.9-3.933%
Season at home (9)83.088.0171.0-5.022%
Season away (12)82.185.2167.2-3.142%
Last 10 (10)81.983.9165.8-2.030%
Last 5 (5)82.685.2167.8-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.587.8163.3-12.310%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.978.4161.3+4.467%
vs Weaker (11)93.593.3186.8+0.336%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#7
L
72-89
72
89
-17
65avg 82
A10/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
82-77
82
77
+5
79avg 82
H16/01
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 82
A24/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
105-103 OT
105
103
+2
no box
A31/01
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
101-82
101
82
+19
96avg 82
A06/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
77-101
77
101
-24
70avg 82
H09/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
71avg 82
H12/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
109-81
109
81
+28
111avg 82
A14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
62-100
62
100
-38
44avg 82
A28/02
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
84-94
84
94
-10
81avg 82
H03/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
20-27
13-18
24-18
17-19
19-16
27-21
19-21
16-13
26-17
21-27
30-27
21-22
23-24
21-26
27-20
29-17
32-13
21-23
19-29
19-28
25-24
24-26
9-23
14-22
31-14
15-13
15-20
26-16
22-20
30-29
31-16
8-24
17-25
16-26
21-25
21-28
20-18
19-21
24-27
174.0Avg total
86.0Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.583.6172.0+4.976%
Season at home (10)85.281.7166.9+3.580%
Season away (11)91.585.3176.7+6.273%
Last 10 (10)86.088.0174.0-2.060%
Last 5 (5)81.489.0170.4-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.091.8171.8-11.833%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.590.0175.5-4.550%
vs Weaker (13)89.978.3168.2+11.685%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
BayreuthCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A09/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A16/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H23/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A30/01
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A05/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H10/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A12/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H14/02
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A27/02
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A02/03
BBL
80.6Avg total
40.1Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.185.1-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.442.985.4-0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)41.643.284.8-1.744%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.580.6-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.083.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.843.482.2-4.630%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.040.781.7+0.344%-
vs Weaker (11)45.644.890.5+0.855%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#7
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A10/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H16/01
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A24/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A31/01
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
61-30
61
30
+31
A06/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H09/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H12/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A28/02
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H03/03
BBL
83.4Avg total
42.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.084.4+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.241.381.5-1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)44.742.787.4+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.141.383.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.884.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.945.484.3-6.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.146.187.2-5.038%-
vs Weaker (13)45.837.082.8+8.869%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.6
56.6%
54.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.7
38.7%
37.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.511.7
70.9%
78.0%11.7
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.5
53.8%
54.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.4
37.1%
37.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.614.7
75.0%
78.0%14.7
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayreuth
WLLLLWWLLL
Crailsheim Merlins
LLWWLWWWWL
#10
League position
#5
-5.1
Net rating
-2.4
106.6
Offensive rating
104.6
111.7
Defensive rating
107.0
57.1%
Effective FG%
54.6%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
20.4%
Turnover %
19.6%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.7%
3-point %
37.1%
62.5%
Assist %
57.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 104.6Defence111.7 · 107.0Shooting57.1% · 54.6%3-point %38.7% · 37.1%Ball care20.4% · 19.6%Off. rebounds24.5% · 27.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Bayreuth   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayreuth wins
6
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/21ABonn91-76
27/02/21AGiessen92-97
14/02/21HOldenburg82-91
12/02/21AAlba Berlin68-80
10/02/21HGottingen80-82
05/02/21AHamburg95-92 OT
30/01/21AChemnitz83-61
23/01/21HBayern78-98
16/01/21ACrailsheim Merlins77-82
09/01/21AOldenburg73-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg84-94
28/02/21AAlba Berlin62-100
14/02/21AGottingen109-81
12/02/21HBasketball Braunschweig75-69
09/02/21HAlba Berlin77-101
06/02/21AGiessen101-82
31/01/21ABayern105-103 OT
24/01/21ABonn93-84
16/01/21HBayreuth82-77
10/01/21AHamburg72-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayWWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %33%22%42%
Points / game82.583.082.1
Allowed / game86.488.085.2
Point differential-3.9-5.0-3.1
Avg total168.9171.0167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%11%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL76%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayWWWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%80%73%
Points / game88.585.291.5
Allowed / game83.681.785.3
Point differential+4.9+3.5+6.2
Avg total172.0166.9176.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%40%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg1918195%88.377.2+11.1
2 Alba Berlin1816289%85.774.1+11.6
3 Oldenburg2016480%93.083.8+9.3
4 Bayern1915479%87.577.4+10.2
5 Crailsheim Merlins2116576%88.583.6+4.9
6 Ulm2114767%88.178.1+10.0
7 Hamburg1910953%83.879.4+4.4
8 Bamberg21101148%82.580.7+1.9
9 Chemnitz1871139%81.488.4-7.1
10 Frankfurt2181338%77.081.4-4.5
11 Bonn1971237%81.884.5-2.7
12 s.Oliver Wurzburg1971237%80.686.2-5.6
13 Basketball Braunschweig1761135%85.490.5-5.1
14 Gottingen2071335%82.091.4-9.4
15 Bayreuth2171433%82.586.4-3.9
16 Syntainics MBC1961332%84.890.1-5.2
17 Giessen2141719%85.095.9-10.9
18 Vechta2131814%78.987.0-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth2824222397
Crailsheim Merlins1427191878
← all games of the day
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