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Bayreuth vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-92
13-21 23-18 23-25 24-28
Position#18
Record3-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game88.9
vs
Rostock 🏆
Germany
Position#8
Record6-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game92.7
GermanyBBLRound 16
Domestic2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
76-77
76
77
-1
68avg 73
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
83-96
83
96
-13
68avg 73
A26/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
63-80
63
80
-17
no box
A04/12
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
82avg 73
A10/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
77-84
77
84
-7
69avg 73
A16/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
89-100
89
100
-11
75avg 73
A22/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
92-86
92
86
+6
85avg 73
H26/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
73-95
73
95
-22
68avg 73
H29/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
83-99
83
99
-16
76avg 73
H08/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
no box
A15/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-8
17-22
16-18
19-29
18-23
22-30
27-23
16-20
14-13
16-34
14-13
19-20
20-27
29-13
18-21
16-30
19-22
19-28
14-21
25-13
14-18
21-26
20-33
34-23
24-30
19-19
25-15
24-22
17-31
16-22
13-22
27-20
31-24
22-26
16-24
14-25
11-20
25-28
20-19
27-16
173.5Avg total
82.0Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.188.9171.0-6.920%
Season at home (7)83.687.3170.9-3.743%
Season away (8)80.890.4171.1-9.60%
Last 10 (10)82.091.5173.5-9.510%
Last 5 (5)87.697.4185.0-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.587.4165.8-8.99%
vs Similar (7)78.689.4168.0-10.914%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
L
86-97
86
97
-11
77avg 76
H06/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
87-97
87
97
-10
82avg 76
A19/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 76
H27/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
90-99
90
99
-9
no box
A11/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 76
H18/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
103-91
103
91
+12
99avg 76
A23/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
83-101
83
101
-18
62avg 76
A26/12
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
54avg 76
H03/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
71-99
71
99
-28
66avg 76
A06/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
81-96
81
96
-15
69avg 76
H18/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
36-23
20-25
17-25
27-23
17-29
24-17
19-28
18-20
23-23
23-20
20-28
29-31
19-30
21-16
21-22
20-19
20-23
19-18
23-16
25-15
23-22
29-30
26-24
25-25
17-17
23-29
18-30
15-31
15-22
15-18
20-7
15-22
18-32
22-26
16-19
20-26
22-24
22-22
17-24
175.7Avg total
83.2Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.392.7179.0-6.540%
Season at home (8)82.989.6172.5-6.838%
Season away (7)90.196.3186.4-6.143%
Last 10 (10)83.292.5175.7-9.320%
Last 5 (5)80.693.0173.6-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.293.5174.8-12.225%
vs Similar (14)87.487.0174.4+0.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.181.6172.8+9.575%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
BayreuthRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A26/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A04/12
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A10/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A22/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H29/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H08/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A15/01
BBL
86.2Avg total
39.8Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.044.484.4-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.643.584.1-2.936%-
Last 30 away (16)39.645.284.8-5.625%-
Last 10 (10)39.846.486.2-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.048.888.8-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.743.683.3-3.932%-
vs Similar (7)41.447.188.6-5.729%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H06/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A19/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H27/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A11/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H18/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A23/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A26/12
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H03/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A06/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H18/01
BBL
89.8Avg total
41.7Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.943.686.5-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.040.582.5+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)43.846.790.5-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.748.189.8-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.047.286.2-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.551.492.9-9.925%-
vs Similar (14)42.441.784.1+0.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.139.184.2+6.062%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.315.7
48.6%
54.4%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.0
36.5%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.717.1
75.3%
75.8%17.1
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.2
50.1%
54.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.3
34.6%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws27.320.5
75.1%
75.8%20.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayreuth
LLLWLLLLLL
Rostock
LLLLWWLLLL
#18
League position
#8
-14.1
Net rating
-10.9
106.6
Offensive rating
106.2
120.8
Defensive rating
117.0
51.4%
Effective FG%
50.9%
58.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
19.1%
Turnover %
18.7%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.45
36.5%
3-point %
34.6%
63.8%
Assist %
62.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 106.2Defence120.8 · 117.0Shooting51.4% · 50.9%3-point %36.5% · 34.6%Ball care19.1% · 18.7%Off. rebounds30.1% · 26.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Bayreuth   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayreuth wins
0
Rostock wins
No previous meetings.
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23AHeidelberg101-107 OT
08/01/23HWurzburg83-99
29/12/22HGottingen73-95
26/12/22HBamberg92-86
22/12/22AGottingen89-100
16/12/22AChemnitz77-84
10/12/22AAlba Berlin83-91
04/12/22ABayern63-80
26/11/22ASyntainics MBC83-96
19/11/22HBasketball Braunschweig76-77
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/23HChemnitz81-96
06/01/23ABonn71-99
03/01/23HBayern65-78
26/12/22AFrankfurt83-101
23/12/22ACrailsheim Merlins103-91
18/12/22HHamburg82-76
11/12/22AOldenburg90-99
27/11/22HHeidelberg84-91
19/11/22AWurzburg87-97
06/11/22HBamberg86-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %20%43%0%
Points / game82.183.680.8
Allowed / game88.987.390.4
Point differential-6.9-3.7-9.6
Avg total171.0170.9171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %13%14%12%
Rostock
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayLLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%38%43%
Points / game86.382.990.1
Allowed / game92.789.696.3
Point differential-6.5-6.8-6.1
Avg total179.0172.5186.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1413193%91.379.4+11.9
2 Bonn1513287%89.775.5+14.1
3 Bayern1511473%81.976.9+5.0
4 Oldenburg1510567%86.681.5+5.1
5 Gottingen1510567%87.384.0+3.3
6 Ludwigsburg149564%88.183.4+4.7
7 Chemnitz138562%88.284.5+3.8
8 Wurzburg158753%85.385.7-0.5
9 Bamberg167944%84.984.7+0.2
10 Ulm156940%87.387.8-0.5
11 Hamburg156940%83.485.5-2.1
12 Crailsheim Merlins156940%88.391.5-3.2
13 Rostock156940%86.392.7-6.5
14 Syntainics MBC156940%82.789.7-7.0
15 Heidelberg1551033%86.792.4-5.7
16 Frankfurt1541127%78.384.9-6.6
17 Bayreuth1531220%82.188.9-6.9
18 Basketball Braunschweig1631319%78.285.6-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth1323232483
Rostock2118252892
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