PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Rostock vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 65-78
15-31 15-22 15-18 20-7
Position#8
Record6-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game93.2
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record10-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game76.0
GermanyBBLRound 13
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Rostock v Bayern
01 Nov 2026
ROS69
BAY67
31 Dec 2025
ROS67
BAY85
15 Dec 2024
ROS70
BAY80
07 Jan 2024
ROS85
BAY91
03 Jan 2023
ROS65
BAY78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
110-95 OT
110
95
+15
no box
H18/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
95-92
95
92
+3
97avg 80
A23/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
70-104
70
104
-34
57avg 80
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
86-97
86
97
-11
77avg 80
H06/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
87-97
87
97
-10
82avg 80
A19/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 80
H27/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
90-99
90
99
-9
no box
A11/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 80
H18/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
103-91
103
91
+12
99avg 80
A23/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
83-101
83
101
-18
62avg 80
A26/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
17-18
29-17
21-27
26-18
23-28
20-27
26-19
18-26
18-20
16-25
18-33
13-24
36-23
20-25
17-25
27-23
17-29
24-17
19-28
18-20
23-23
23-20
20-28
29-31
19-30
21-16
21-22
20-19
20-23
19-18
23-16
25-15
23-22
29-30
26-24
25-25
17-17
23-29
18-30
183.3Avg total
89.0Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.893.2182.9-3.450%
Season at home (6)86.290.5176.7-4.350%
Season away (6)93.395.8189.2-2.550%
Last 10 (10)89.094.3183.3-5.340%
Last 5 (5)88.491.6180.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)86.695.0181.6-8.440%
vs Similar (15)87.586.9174.4+0.767%
vs Weaker (10)92.383.0175.3+9.370%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#6
W
80-63
80
63
+17
no box
H04/12
German Cup
Oldenburg
#5
W
81-77
81
77
+4
72avg 72
H06/12
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
53-78
53
78
-25
43avg 72
A09/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
58avg 72
A11/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
64-68
64
68
-4
48avg 72
H13/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
97-92
97
92
+5
91avg 72
H15/12
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
97-78
97
78
+19
no box
H17/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
67-75
67
75
-8
58avg 72
A23/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
73avg 72
A27/12
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
77-83
77
83
-6
71avg 72
A29/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
34-16
13-14
20-19
26-20
18-11
18-19
19-27
10-17
20-27
12-11
11-23
16-23
18-18
14-21
20-16
22-21
17-21
11-12
14-14
23-26
20-13
26-26
28-27
22-20
31-23
18-19
26-16
21-26
14-18
13-16
19-15
23-25
27-26
17-18
20-14
14-19
15-22
20-18
28-24
154.6Avg total
77.1Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.676.0159.6+7.683%
Season at home (7)86.475.3161.7+11.1100%
Season away (5)79.677.0156.6+2.660%
Last 10 (10)77.177.5154.6-0.450%
Last 5 (5)85.082.2167.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.679.4152.0-6.820%
vs Similar (9)78.078.0156.0+0.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.774.0158.7+10.790%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
RostockBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H18/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A23/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H06/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A19/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H27/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A11/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H18/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A23/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A26/12
BBL
89.1Avg total
43.3Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.687.2+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.838.882.6+5.064%-
Last 30 away (16)45.345.991.2-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)43.345.889.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.088.8-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)45.450.896.2-5.440%-
vs Similar (15)42.941.984.9+1.047%-
vs Weaker (10)46.739.586.2+7.270%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#6
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H04/12
German Cup
Oldenburg
#5
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H06/12
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A09/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A11/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H13/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H15/12
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H17/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A23/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A27/12
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A29/12
Euroleague
81.0Avg total
40.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.178.6+2.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.338.881.1+3.650%-
Last 30 away (14)38.437.375.7+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.681.0-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.685.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.540.275.7-4.710%-
vs Similar (9)40.737.878.4+2.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.036.781.7+8.370%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.2
54.5%
54.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.4
36.3%
35.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws27.220.8
76.5%
75.8%20.8
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.616.4
47.4%
54.4%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.5
32.9%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.917.6
84.2%
75.8%17.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LWWLLLLLWW
Bayern
LWLWWLLLWW
#8
League position
#3
-7.6
Net rating
-1.1
111.9
Offensive rating
110.4
119.4
Defensive rating
111.5
54.5%
Effective FG%
48.3%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.1%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.3%
3-point %
32.9%
64.0%
Assist %
53.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 110.4Defence119.4 · 111.5Shooting54.5% · 48.3%3-point %36.3% · 32.9%Ball care17.5% · 17.1%Off. rebounds26.6% · 35.6%Free throws0.45 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Rostock   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rostock wins
0
Bayern wins
No previous meetings.
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/22AFrankfurt83-101
23/12/22ACrailsheim Merlins103-91
18/12/22HHamburg82-76
11/12/22AOldenburg90-99
27/11/22HHeidelberg84-91
19/11/22AWurzburg87-97
06/11/22HBamberg86-97
30/10/22HAlba Berlin70-104
23/10/22AGottingen95-92
18/10/22HBasketball Braunschweig110-95 OT
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22APartizan77-83
27/12/22AHeidelberg87-83
23/12/22AZalgiris Kaunas67-75
17/12/22HBasketball Braunschweig97-78
15/12/22HValencia97-92
13/12/22HReal Madrid64-68
11/12/22ABonn68-78
09/12/22ABaskonia53-78
06/12/22HOldenburg81-77
04/12/22HBayreuth80-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game89.886.293.3
Allowed / game93.290.595.8
Point differential-3.4-4.3-2.5
Avg total182.9176.7189.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %83%100%60%
Points / game83.686.479.6
Allowed / game76.075.377.0
Point differential+7.6+11.1+2.6
Avg total159.6161.7156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn1312192%90.075.5+14.5
2 Alba Berlin1211192%93.179.7+13.4
3 Bayern1210283%83.676.0+7.6
4 Ludwigsburg128467%88.184.2+3.9
5 Oldenburg128467%85.882.0+3.8
6 Gottingen128467%87.383.9+3.4
7 Chemnitz106460%88.185.4+2.7
8 Wurzburg126650%84.786.7-2.0
9 Rostock126650%89.893.2-3.4
10 Hamburg125742%84.885.8-1.0
11 Syntainics MBC125742%84.890.2-5.5
12 Ulm135838%88.289.3-1.2
13 Bamberg124833%85.285.8-0.5
14 Heidelberg124833%84.891.3-6.5
15 Crailsheim Merlins123925%86.293.1-6.9
16 Bayreuth1331023%80.586.8-6.2
17 Frankfurt1331023%78.885.4-6.6
18 Basketball Braunschweig1221017%77.286.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock1515152065
Bayern312218778
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.