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Bonn vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 99-71
22-15 32-18 26-22 19-16
Position#1
Record12-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game75.5
Bonn 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#8
Record6-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game92.0
GermanyBBLRound 14
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bonn v Rostock
05 May 2027
BON v ROS
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
BON77
ROS81
01 Mar 2025
BON83
ROS72
27 Apr 2024
BON112
ROS89
06 Jan 2023
BON99
ROS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#11
W
80-72
80
72
+8
74avg 79
H23/11
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
75avg 79
A26/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
91-74
91
74
+17
84avg 79
A02/12
BBL
Karsiyaka
#38
W
89-80
89
80
+9
90avg 79
A07/12
Champions League
Bayern
#3
W
78-68
78
68
+10
74avg 79
H11/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
99-83
99
83
+16
94avg 79
A17/12
BBL
Reggiana
#36
W
90-66
90
66
+24
85avg 79
A21/12
Champions League
Chemnitz
#12
W
80-73
80
73
+7
68avg 79
H26/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
89-66
89
66
+23
90avg 79
H29/12
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
101-92
101
92
+9
94avg 79
A03/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
20-21
24-12
17-22
26-20
23-24
20-23
11-17
11-18
25-18
30-23
25-15
19-21
24-12
26-18
20-29
23-16
18-18
21-14
16-20
32-12
19-24
27-19
21-28
23-15
21-25
19-15
27-11
19-13
20-16
21-26
20-18
22-14
18-13
28-20
21-19
25-18
27-25
30-25
19-24
163.5Avg total
87.7Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.075.5165.5+14.592%
Season at home (6)87.272.2159.3+15.0100%
Season away (7)92.478.3170.7+14.186%
Last 10 (10)87.775.8163.5+11.990%
Last 5 (5)91.876.0167.8+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)84.683.8168.3+0.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.875.7162.6+11.185%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
W
95-92
95
92
+3
97avg 78
A23/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
70-104
70
104
-34
57avg 78
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
86-97
86
97
-11
77avg 78
H06/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
87-97
87
97
-10
82avg 78
A19/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 78
H27/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
90-99
90
99
-9
no box
A11/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 78
H18/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
103-91
103
91
+12
99avg 78
A23/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
83-101
83
101
-18
62avg 78
A26/12
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
54avg 78
H03/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
23-28
20-27
26-19
18-26
18-20
16-25
18-33
13-24
36-23
20-25
17-25
27-23
17-29
24-17
19-28
18-20
23-23
23-20
20-28
29-31
19-30
21-16
21-22
20-19
20-23
19-18
23-16
25-15
23-22
29-30
26-24
25-25
17-17
23-29
18-30
15-31
15-22
15-18
20-7
177.1Avg total
84.5Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.892.0179.8-4.246%
Season at home (7)83.188.7171.9-5.643%
Season away (6)93.395.8189.2-2.550%
Last 10 (10)84.592.6177.1-8.130%
Last 5 (5)84.689.0173.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)83.092.2175.2-9.233%
vs Similar (14)87.487.0174.4+0.464%
vs Weaker (10)92.383.0175.3+9.370%
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
BonnRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H23/11
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A26/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/12
BBL
Karsiyaka
#38
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A07/12
Champions League
Bayern
#3
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H11/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A17/12
BBL
Reggiana
#36
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A21/12
Champions League
Chemnitz
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H26/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H29/12
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A03/01
BBL
79.4Avg total
43.4Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.539.282.7+4.370%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.938.280.1+3.764%-
Last 30 away (16)44.940.184.9+4.875%-
Last 10 (10)43.436.079.4+7.490%-
Last 5 (5)45.235.080.2+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)43.343.386.7+0.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.337.080.3+6.275%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A23/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H06/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A19/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H27/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A11/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H18/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A23/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A26/12
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H03/01
BBL
89.6Avg total
42.7Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.942.986.8+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.939.782.6+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)45.046.091.0-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)42.746.989.6-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.647.088.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.851.294.0-8.333%-
vs Similar (14)42.441.784.1+0.743%-
vs Weaker (10)46.739.586.2+7.270%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.2
55.3%
54.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.4
38.1%
35.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.714.9
75.6%
75.8%14.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.5
52.6%
54.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.3
35.2%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws25.719.2
74.7%
75.8%19.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
WWWWWWWWLW
Rostock
LLWWLLLLLW
#1
League position
#8
+15.6
Net rating
-9.4
119.2
Offensive rating
107.7
103.6
Defensive rating
117.1
56.1%
Effective FG%
52.7%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
18.1%
Turnover %
18.5%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.42
38.1%
3-point %
35.2%
59.5%
Assist %
62.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence119.2 · 107.7Defence103.6 · 117.1Shooting56.1% · 52.7%3-point %38.1% · 35.2%Ball care18.1% · 18.5%Off. rebounds35.8% · 26.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Bonn   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bonn wins
0
Rostock wins
No previous meetings.
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/23AUlm101-92
29/12/22HFrankfurt89-66
26/12/22HChemnitz80-73
21/12/22AReggiana90-66
17/12/22ACrailsheim Merlins99-83
11/12/22HBayern78-68
07/12/22AKarsiyaka89-80
02/12/22ASyntainics MBC91-74
26/11/22ALudwigsburg80-84
23/11/22HAEK Athens80-72
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/23HBayern65-78
26/12/22AFrankfurt83-101
23/12/22ACrailsheim Merlins103-91
18/12/22HHamburg82-76
11/12/22AOldenburg90-99
27/11/22HHeidelberg84-91
19/11/22AWurzburg87-97
06/11/22HBamberg86-97
30/10/22HAlba Berlin70-104
23/10/22AGottingen95-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %92%100%86%
Points / game90.087.292.4
Allowed / game75.572.278.3
Point differential+14.5+15.0+14.1
Avg total165.5159.3170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%50%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL46%
HomeLLLWL43%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%43%50%
Points / game87.883.193.3
Allowed / game92.088.795.8
Point differential-4.2-5.6-2.5
Avg total179.8171.9189.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn1312192%90.075.5+14.5
2 Alba Berlin1211192%93.179.7+13.4
3 Bayern1311285%83.275.2+8.0
4 Oldenburg139469%85.681.9+3.7
5 Gottingen139469%88.084.6+3.4
6 Ludwigsburg128467%88.184.2+3.9
7 Chemnitz116555%87.585.2+2.3
8 Hamburg136746%84.985.5-0.6
9 Wurzburg136746%83.886.1-2.3
10 Rostock136746%87.892.0-4.2
11 Bamberg135838%84.884.8+0.0
12 Ulm135838%88.289.3-1.2
13 Syntainics MBC135838%85.490.7-5.3
14 Crailsheim Merlins134931%87.392.9-5.6
15 Heidelberg134931%84.791.0-6.3
16 Bayreuth1331023%80.586.8-6.2
17 Frankfurt1331023%78.885.4-6.6
18 Basketball Braunschweig1321115%78.387.5-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn2232261999
Rostock1518221671
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