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BC Lulea vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 85-67
19-16 23-23 19-18 24-10
Position#3
Record9-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#9
Record4-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game90.1
SwedenBasketligan· Lulea Energi Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · BC Lulea v Hogsbo
29 Jan 2027
LUL v HOGS
upcoming
23 Oct 2026
LUL108
HOGS71
08 Dec 2025
LUL97
HOGS73
03 Jan 2025
LUL85
HOGS67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Lulea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC LuleaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLulea
Date
Competition
Umea
#10
W
97-92
97
92
+5
91avg 85
A02/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
80-97
80
97
-17
66avg 85
A09/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
90-74
90
74
+16
93avg 85
H12/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
91-94
91
94
-3
79avg 85
A16/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
93-83
93
83
+10
90avg 85
H29/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
79avg 85
A03/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
95-91
95
91
+4
94avg 85
A07/12
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
94-104
94
104
-10
90avg 85
H17/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
91-86
91
86
+5
85avg 85
A27/12
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
106-65
106
65
+41
108avg 85
H30/12
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
22-19
19-21
33-25
18-21
22-30
14-24
26-22
29-20
15-17
23-17
23-20
23-27
28-19
23-26
17-22
15-19
42-11
17-27
19-26
23-25
24-22
21-19
18-29
19-19
24-30
30-26
22-16
17-22
24-28
29-29
24-25
26-24
17-20
22-27
26-15
23-19
34-16
20-22
29-8
180.4Avg total
92.3Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)92.086.4178.4+5.660%
Season at home (6)95.578.0173.5+17.583%
Season away (9)89.792.0181.7-2.344%
Last 10 (10)92.388.1180.4+4.260%
Last 5 (5)94.488.2182.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.588.0169.5-6.538%
vs Similar (3)84.389.3173.7-5.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)94.183.9178.0+10.179%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#7
L
81-94 OT
81
94
-13
75avg 85
H01/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
82avg 85
H08/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
103-111
103
111
-8
91avg 85
A12/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 85
H16/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 85
A28/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
84-104
84
104
-20
68avg 85
H02/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
90-99
90
99
-9
83avg 85
A08/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
87-95 OT
87
95
-8
73avg 85
H14/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
84-70
84
70
+14
74avg 85
H27/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
90-96
90
96
-6
88avg 85
A30/12
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
25-18
18-29
15-10
26-19
11-17
19-21
29-22
17-24
18-22
29-25
39-40
16-23
21-18
24-20
14-19
19-24
14-24
28-22
15-12
10-29
24-30
32-23
18-22
24-25
22-24
26-24
18-26
15-18
24-17
22-24
18-20
21-11
21-13
14-19
28-27
40-24
15-26
19-24
16-22
176.5Avg total
85.5Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.990.1174.0-6.327%
Season at home (8)84.188.0172.1-3.938%
Season away (7)83.692.6176.1-9.014%
Last 10 (10)85.591.0176.5-5.520%
Last 5 (5)87.092.8179.8-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)83.890.9174.7-7.121%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (16)94.281.5175.7+12.775%
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
BC LuleaHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC LuleaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Umea
#10
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A02/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A09/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H12/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A16/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
57-30
57
30
+27
H29/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A03/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A07/12
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H17/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A27/12
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H30/12
Basketligan
90.3Avg total
46.8Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.841.285.9+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.738.584.2+7.277%-
Last 30 away (17)44.143.287.3+0.841%-
Last 10 (10)46.843.590.3+3.340%-
Last 5 (5)46.245.091.2+1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.241.984.1+0.438%-
vs Similar (3)42.737.380.0+5.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.241.587.6+4.763%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H01/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H08/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A12/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A28/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
34-59
34
59
-25
H02/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A08/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H14/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H27/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A30/12
Basketligan
82.4Avg total
40.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.440.885.2+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.737.481.1+6.380%-
Last 30 away (15)45.144.389.3+0.840%-
Last 10 (10)40.042.482.4-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.486.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.642.682.1-3.036%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (16)48.639.387.9+9.381%-
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Luleatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Lulea: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.0
56.6%
52.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.0
39.7%
34.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.217.0
76.6%
76.2%17.0
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.417.9
49.2%
52.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.7
36.0%
34.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.317.0
76.2%
76.2%17.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Lulea
WWLWLWLWLW
Hogsbo
LWLLLLLLWL
#3
League position
#9
+4.6
Net rating
-6.2
119.9
Offensive rating
106.8
115.3
Defensive rating
113.0
57.9%
Effective FG%
51.4%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
14.6%
Turnover %
14.6%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
20.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
39.7%
3-point %
36.0%
62.5%
Assist %
65.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence119.9 · 106.8Defence115.3 · 113.0Shooting57.9% · 51.4%3-point %39.7% · 36.0%Ball care14.6% · 14.6%Off. rebounds26.2% · 20.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ BC Lulea   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BC Lulea wins
1
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
08/10/24Hogsbo v BC Lulea90-81
BC Lulealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/24HUmea106-65
27/12/24AUppsala91-86
17/12/24HNassjo94-104
07/12/24AJamtland95-91
03/12/24AKoping Stars86-95
29/11/24HNorrkoping93-83
16/11/24AJamtland91-94
12/11/24HSodertalje90-74
09/11/24ANorrkoping80-97
02/11/24AUmea97-92
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/24AKoping Stars90-96
27/12/24HJamtland84-70
14/12/24HBoras87-95 OT
08/12/24AUppsala90-99
02/12/24HNassjo84-104
28/11/24ASodertalje76-82
16/11/24HUppsala75-80
12/11/24ANassjo103-111
08/11/24HUmea85-79
01/11/24HJamtland81-94 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Lulea
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %60%83%44%
Points / game92.095.589.7
Allowed / game86.478.092.0
Point differential+5.6+17.5-2.3
Avg total178.4173.5181.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%83%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeWLLLW38%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%38%14%
Points / game83.984.183.6
Allowed / game90.188.092.6
Point differential-6.3-3.9-9.0
Avg total174.0172.1176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %13%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boras1512380%84.775.3+9.4
2 Norrkoping1310377%90.979.4+11.5
3 BC Lulea159660%92.086.4+5.6
4 Koping Stars159660%88.586.9+1.5
5 Uppsala148657%78.481.0-2.6
6 Nassjo158753%91.995.9-4.0
7 Sodertalje157847%71.874.6-2.8
8 Jamtland156940%85.183.6+1.5
9 Hogsbo1541127%83.990.1-6.3
10 Umea140140%78.191.6-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Lulea1923192485
Hogsbo1623181067
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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