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Nassjo vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 111-103
24-17 22-18 25-29 40-39
Position#5
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game101.0
Nassjo 🏆
Sweden
vs
Position#9
Record3-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game87.9
SwedenBasketligan· Nassjo Sporthall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nassjo v Hogsbo
05 Feb 2027
NASS v HOGS
upcoming
04 Dec 2026
NASS v HOGS
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
NASS111
HOGS98
10 Oct 2025
NASS95
HOGS104
13 Mar 2025
NASS121
HOGS80
12 Nov 2024
NASS111
HOGS103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nassjo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NassjoSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNassjo
Date
Competition
BC Lulea
#3
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
74avg 78
A03/04
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
74-90
74
90
-16
67avg 78
A05/04
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
87-100
87
100
-13
77avg 78
H08/04
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
74-99
74
99
-25
64avg 78
A04/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
74avg 78
H08/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
75-92
75
92
-17
65avg 78
A12/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
95-109
95
109
-14
84avg 78
H18/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
77-109
77
109
-32
71avg 78
A26/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
97-112
97
112
-15
90avg 78
H01/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
98-97
98
97
+1
98avg 78
A07/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
21-22
21-27
21-12
18-26
19-21
25-12
12-31
19-24
20-29
25-22
23-25
21-22
21-25
22-25
10-27
23-18
20-27
19-16
24-28
17-19
15-30
20-20
23-23
26-28
24-26
25-22
20-33
23-35
15-26
20-24
19-24
31-29
18-26
26-27
22-30
26-27
18-20
28-27
26-23
184.5Avg total
85.3Scored
99.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.0101.0187.0-15.014%
Season at home (3)92.7103.3196.0-10.70%
Season away (4)81.099.2180.2-18.225%
Last 10 (10)85.399.2184.5-13.910%
Last 5 (5)88.4103.8192.2-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)81.594.1175.6-12.66%
vs Similar (6)88.393.3181.7-5.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)94.985.0179.9+9.986%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
100-61
100
61
+39
92avg 87
H24/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
80-95
80
95
-15
58avg 87
A26/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
86-66
86
66
+20
81avg 87
H28/04
Superettan
Norrkoping
#1
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 87
A04/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 87
H08/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
63-90
63
90
-27
46avg 87
A11/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
81avg 87
H19/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
72-81
72
81
-9
71avg 87
A25/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
81-94 OT
81
94
-13
75avg 87
H01/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
82avg 87
H08/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
31-19
23-12
23-18
13-25
15-23
26-22
26-25
32-15
15-21
24-13
15-17
19-19
19-26
27-18
26-26
21-16
16-21
26-15
27-29
18-17
18-30
9-17
18-26
20-21
19-14
21-37
27-29
23-18
18-26
16-17
15-20
17-18
25-18
18-29
15-10
26-19
11-17
19-21
29-22
167.2Avg total
83.5Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.387.9169.1-6.643%
Season at home (4)85.888.8174.5-3.050%
Season away (3)75.386.7162.0-11.333%
Last 10 (10)83.583.7167.2-0.250%
Last 5 (5)77.689.0166.6-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.789.3170.0-8.733%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (24)94.079.7173.7+14.379%
This opponent (Nassjo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
NassjoHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NassjoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Lulea
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A03/04
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A05/04
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H08/04
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A04/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H08/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A12/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H18/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
38-61
38
61
-23
A26/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H01/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A07/11
Basketligan
91.3Avg total
41.3Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.147.590.6-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.045.789.7-1.736%-
Last 30 away (16)42.249.191.3-6.819%-
Last 10 (10)41.350.091.3-8.70%-
Last 5 (5)42.653.295.8-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.247.687.9-7.418%-
vs Similar (6)43.546.590.0-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)49.648.097.6+1.643%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H24/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A26/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H28/04
Superettan
Norrkoping
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A04/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A11/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H19/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A25/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H01/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H08/11
Basketligan
79.4Avg total
39.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.839.485.2+6.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.035.582.5+11.593%-
Last 30 away (15)44.743.387.9+1.440%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.579.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.678.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.840.779.5-1.833%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (24)47.639.186.7+8.575%-
This opponent (Nassjo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nassjotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nassjo: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.1
53.0%
52.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.7
32.6%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.913.2
73.7%
76.2%13.2
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.3
50.4%
52.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.9
34.1%
34.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
76.2%16.4
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nassjo
WLLLLLLLLL
Hogsbo
WLLLLWWWLW
#5
League position
#9
-18.8
Net rating
+0.3
110.2
Offensive rating
106.3
129.0
Defensive rating
106.0
51.2%
Effective FG%
50.8%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
13.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.6%
3-point %
34.1%
61.4%
Assist %
68.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 106.3Defence129.0 · 106.0Shooting51.2% · 50.8%3-point %32.6% · 34.1%Ball care13.3% · 15.0%Off. rebounds27.5% · 22.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Nassjo   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nassjo wins
0
Hogsbo wins
No previous meetings.
Nassjolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24AJamtland98-97
01/11/24HKoping Stars97-112
26/10/24ANorrkoping77-109
18/10/24HBC Lulea95-109
12/10/24ASodertalje75-92
08/10/24HUppsala86-89
04/10/24ABoras74-99
08/04/24HBC Lulea87-100
05/04/24ABC Lulea74-90
03/04/24ABC Lulea90-95 OT
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/24HUmea85-79
01/11/24HJamtland81-94 OT
25/10/24ASodertalje72-81
19/10/24HKoping Stars87-101
11/10/24ABoras63-90
08/10/24HBC Lulea90-81
04/10/24ANorrkoping91-89
28/04/24HSloga Uppsala86-66
26/04/24ASloga Uppsala80-95
24/04/24HSloga Uppsala100-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nassjo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%0%25%
Points / game86.092.781.0
Allowed / game101.0103.399.2
Point differential-15.0-10.7-18.2
Avg total187.0196.0180.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW43%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game81.385.875.3
Allowed / game87.988.886.7
Point differential-6.6-3.0-11.3
Avg total169.1174.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boras87188%86.175.2+10.9
2 Norrkoping54180%95.682.4+13.2
3 Koping Stars75271%91.489.0+2.4
4 Uppsala64267%74.876.2-1.3
5 BC Lulea74357%90.686.3+4.3
6 Sodertalje63350%74.276.0-1.8
7 Hogsbo73443%81.387.9-6.6
8 Jamtland83538%85.183.8+1.4
9 Nassjo71614%86.0101.0-15.0
10 Umea7070%82.988.7-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nassjo24222540111
Hogsbo17182939103
← all games of the day
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