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BC Lulea vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 08 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 97-73
24-13 18-11 26-23 29-26
Position#4
Record9-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#9
Record3-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game91.9
SwedenBasketligan· Lulea Energi Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · BC Lulea v Hogsbo
29 Jan 2027
LUL v HOGS
upcoming
23 Oct 2026
LUL108
HOGS71
08 Dec 2025
LUL97
HOGS73
03 Jan 2025
LUL85
HOGS67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Lulea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC LuleaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLulea
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
W
105-98 OT
105
98
+7
90avg 82
H03/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
W
96-87
96
87
+9
92avg 82
H07/10
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
77-73
77
73
+4
66avg 82
A14/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
79-78
79
78
+1
72avg 82
A23/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
82-113
82
113
-31
63avg 82
A01/11
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
106-66
106
66
+40
106avg 82
A03/11
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
85-71
85
71
+14
75avg 82
A07/11
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
84-76
84
76
+8
71avg 82
A18/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
102-109
102
109
-7
94avg 82
A22/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
109-71
109
71
+38
110avg 82
A05/12
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
22-23
14-23
27-27
22-23
29-25
25-22
20-17
20-19
13-29
19-13
25-12
12-27
30-19
21-20
16-12
22-33
25-25
11-23
24-32
33-21
26-16
20-14
27-15
15-23
27-21
12-13
31-14
22-17
20-19
16-17
26-23
26-30
28-20
26-24
22-35
22-24
27-18
35-8
25-21
176.7Avg total
92.5Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.685.2175.8+5.469%
Season at home (4)94.091.8185.8+2.275%
Season away (9)89.182.3171.4+6.867%
Last 10 (10)92.584.2176.7+8.380%
Last 5 (5)97.278.6175.8+18.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0113.0195.0-31.00%
vs Similar (11)81.182.4163.5-1.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)94.681.1175.6+13.572%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#7
W
104-95
104
95
+9
90avg 75
A10/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 75
H13/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 75
A17/10
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
93-80
93
80
+13
90avg 75
H23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
66-106
66
106
-40
53avg 75
H03/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
100-109
100
109
-9
95avg 75
A07/11
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 75
H15/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
68avg 75
A19/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
67avg 75
H22/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
95-107
95
107
-12
84avg 75
A06/12
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
28-20
28-26
25-27
13-19
25-17
15-23
26-28
21-21
27-28
23-13
8-26
21-19
33-11
15-28
24-22
21-33
16-26
14-20
15-27
31-25
19-32
21-23
29-29
13-27
22-18
16-15
28-10
23-17
17-24
13-29
23-17
16-21
26-20
23-17
10-28
21-22
28-35
24-25
22-25
176.1Avg total
84.6Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.491.9177.3-6.421%
Season at home (7)83.489.4172.9-6.029%
Season away (7)87.494.3181.7-6.914%
Last 10 (10)84.691.5176.1-6.930%
Last 5 (5)85.091.8176.8-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)81.997.1179.0-15.25%
vs Similar (4)93.292.8186.0+0.550%
vs Weaker (4)87.281.5168.8+5.850%
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
BC LuleaHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC LuleaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H03/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H07/10
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A14/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A23/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A01/11
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
59-37
59
37
+22
A03/11
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A07/11
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A18/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A22/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A05/12
Basketligan
91.3Avg total
46.6Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.341.986.2+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.239.884.0+4.358%-
Last 30 away (18)44.443.287.6+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)46.644.791.3+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)49.241.891.0+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.058.0105.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (11)41.240.581.7+0.645%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.141.887.8+4.361%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A10/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H13/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A17/10
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
37-59
37
59
-22
H03/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A07/11
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H15/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A19/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A06/12
Basketligan
90.1Avg total
44.4Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.047.290.2-4.223%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.445.285.6-4.829%-
Last 30 away (16)45.248.994.2-3.719%-
Last 10 (10)44.445.790.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.248.291.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)42.849.292.0-6.518%-
vs Similar (4)48.842.591.2+6.250%-
vs Weaker (4)38.540.879.2-2.225%-
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Luleatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Lulea: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.7
52.9%
54.1%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.0
37.3%
35.8%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.114.5
75.9%
74.6%14.5
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.520.0
48.2%
54.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.4
32.7%
35.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.318.6
79.8%
74.6%18.6
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Lulea
WLWWWLWWWW
Hogsbo
LLLWLLWLLW
#4
League position
#9
+9.2
Net rating
-8.8
117.6
Offensive rating
107.2
108.5
Defensive rating
116.1
54.2%
Effective FG%
48.5%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
14.4%
Turnover %
15.0%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.3%
3-point %
32.7%
54.7%
Assist %
59.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.6 · 107.2Defence108.5 · 116.1Shooting54.2% · 48.5%3-point %37.3% · 32.7%Ball care14.4% · 15.0%Off. rebounds32.4% · 28.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ BC Lulea   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
BC Lulea wins
1
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
03/11/25Hogsbo v BC Lulea66-106
07/03/25Hogsbo v BC Lulea80-107
03/01/25BC Lulea v Hogsbo85-67
08/10/24Hogsbo v BC Lulea90-81
BC Lulealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25AKoping Stars109-71
22/11/25AJamtland102-109
18/11/25ASloga Uppsala84-76
07/11/25ASloga Uppsala85-71
03/11/25AHogsbo106-66
01/11/25ANorrkoping82-113
23/10/25ASodertalje79-78
14/10/25AUmea77-73
07/10/25HJamtland96-87
03/10/25HBoras105-98 OT
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25AJamtland95-107
22/11/25HSodertalje75-86
19/11/25AUmea76-87
15/11/25HSloga Uppsala79-70
07/11/25AKoping Stars100-109
03/11/25HBC Lulea66-106
23/10/25HUmea93-80
17/10/25AUppsala79-88
13/10/25HBoras79-87
10/10/25ANassjo104-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Lulea
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %69%75%67%
Points / game90.694.089.1
Allowed / game85.291.882.3
Point differential+5.4+2.2+6.8
Avg total175.8185.8171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %8%25%0%
Hogsbo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL21%
HomeLWLWL29%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%29%14%
Points / game85.483.487.4
Allowed / game91.989.494.3
Point differential-6.4-6.0-6.9
Avg total177.3172.9181.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping1411379%96.584.7+11.8
2 Boras1310377%94.882.1+12.7
3 BC Lulea139469%90.685.2+5.4
4 Uppsala138562%88.383.4+4.9
5 Sodertalje138562%81.679.8+1.8
6 Jamtland148657%98.194.1+4.0
7 Nassjo148657%86.889.7-2.9
8 Umea1441029%80.689.0-8.4
9 Sloga Uppsala1441029%78.188.6-10.4
10 Hogsbo1431121%85.491.9-6.4
11 Koping Stars1421214%84.194.8-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Lulea2418262997
Hogsbo1311232673
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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