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Hogsbo vs Nassjo Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 84-104
10-29 24-30 32-23 18-22
Position#9
Record3-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Nassjo 🏆
Sweden
Position#5
Record4-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game98.5
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hogsbo v Nassjo
09 Oct 2026
HOGS85
NASS81
06 Feb 2026
HOGS93
NASS75
24 Mar 2025
HOGS104
NASS98
02 Dec 2024
HOGS84
NASS104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nassjo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#1
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 86
A04/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 86
H08/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
63-90
63
90
-27
46avg 86
A11/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
81avg 86
H19/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
72-81
72
81
-9
71avg 86
A25/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
81-94 OT
81
94
-13
75avg 86
H01/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
82avg 86
H08/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
103-111
103
111
-8
91avg 86
A12/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 86
H16/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 86
A28/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
19-26
27-18
26-26
21-16
16-21
26-15
27-29
18-17
18-30
9-17
18-26
20-21
19-14
21-37
27-29
23-18
18-26
16-17
15-20
17-18
25-18
18-29
15-10
26-19
11-17
19-21
29-22
17-24
18-22
29-25
39-40
16-23
21-18
24-20
14-19
19-24
14-24
28-22
15-12
171.1Avg total
82.3Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.388.8171.1-6.530%
Season at home (5)83.687.0170.6-3.440%
Season away (5)81.090.6171.6-9.620%
Last 10 (10)82.388.8171.1-6.530%
Last 5 (5)84.089.2173.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)82.089.9171.9-7.922%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (21)94.579.6174.1+14.981%
This opponent (Nassjo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NassjoSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNassjo
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
L
74-99
74
99
-25
64avg 80
A04/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
74avg 80
H08/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
75-92
75
92
-17
65avg 80
A12/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
95-109
95
109
-14
84avg 80
H18/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
77-109
77
109
-32
71avg 80
A26/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
97-112
97
112
-15
90avg 80
H01/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
98-97
98
97
+1
98avg 80
A07/11
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
111-103
111
103
+8
111avg 80
H12/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
93-76
93
76
+17
88avg 80
A16/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
105-99
105
99
+6
100avg 80
H29/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-25
22-25
10-27
23-18
20-27
19-16
24-28
17-19
15-30
20-20
23-23
26-28
24-26
25-22
20-33
23-35
15-26
20-24
19-24
31-29
18-26
26-27
22-30
26-27
18-20
28-27
26-23
24-17
22-18
25-29
40-39
28-17
32-15
10-25
23-19
30-25
18-22
28-24
29-28
189.6Avg total
91.1Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.198.5189.6-7.440%
Season at home (5)98.8102.4201.2-3.640%
Season away (5)83.494.6178.0-11.240%
Last 10 (10)91.198.5189.6-7.440%
Last 5 (5)100.897.4198.2+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)82.094.4176.4-12.47%
vs Similar (7)90.794.1184.9-3.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)97.286.8184.0+10.588%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.8-3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.8-3.8
HogsboNassjo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A04/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A11/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H19/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A25/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H01/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H08/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A12/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A28/11
Basketligan
79.0Avg total
37.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.339.785.0+5.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.935.781.5+10.287%-
Last 30 away (15)44.843.788.5+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)37.541.579.0-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.478.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.642.179.7-4.622%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (21)48.738.787.3+10.081%-
This opponent (Nassjo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NassjoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A04/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H08/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A12/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H18/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
38-61
38
61
-23
A26/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H01/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A07/11
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H12/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
60-32
60
32
+28
A16/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H29/11
Basketligan
92.4Avg total
45.2Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.146.991.0-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.145.590.6-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)43.148.391.5-5.220%-
Last 10 (10)45.247.292.4-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)49.443.292.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.548.789.2-8.113%-
vs Similar (7)44.146.690.7-2.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)50.943.994.8+7.062%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.717.5
49.0%
52.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.2
36.4%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws24.418.9
77.5%
76.2%18.9
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nassjotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nassjo: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.2
56.2%
52.1%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.3
35.8%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.017.2
78.2%
76.2%17.2
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LLLWLLLLWW
Nassjo
WWWWLLLLLL
#9
League position
#5
-8.1
Net rating
-9.5
105.2
Offensive rating
115.9
113.3
Defensive rating
125.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
55.1%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
16.8%
Turnover %
15.2%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.4%
3-point %
35.8%
66.7%
Assist %
60.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 115.9Defence113.3 · 125.4Shooting51.3% · 55.1%3-point %36.4% · 35.8%Ball care16.8% · 15.2%Off. rebounds20.5% · 27.6%Free throws0.40 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Nassjo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hogsbo wins
1
Nassjo wins
DateGameScore
12/11/24Nassjo v Hogsbo111-103
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24ASodertalje76-82
16/11/24HUppsala75-80
12/11/24ANassjo103-111
08/11/24HUmea85-79
01/11/24HJamtland81-94 OT
25/10/24ASodertalje72-81
19/10/24HKoping Stars87-101
11/10/24ABoras63-90
08/10/24HBC Lulea90-81
04/10/24ANorrkoping91-89
Nassjolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24HJamtland105-99
16/11/24AUmea93-76
12/11/24HHogsbo111-103
07/11/24AJamtland98-97
01/11/24HKoping Stars97-112
26/10/24ANorrkoping77-109
18/10/24HBC Lulea95-109
12/10/24ASodertalje75-92
08/10/24HUppsala86-89
04/10/24ABoras74-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game82.383.681.0
Allowed / game88.887.090.6
Point differential-6.5-3.4-9.6
Avg total171.1170.6171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Nassjo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW40%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game91.198.883.4
Allowed / game98.5102.494.6
Point differential-7.4-3.6-11.2
Avg total189.6201.2178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boras109190%87.174.9+12.2
2 Uppsala97278%77.776.3+1.3
3 BC Lulea106460%90.885.5+5.3
4 Koping Stars106460%87.488.6-1.2
5 Norrkoping74357%90.082.7+7.3
6 Sodertalje94544%74.677.6-3.0
7 Jamtland104640%87.486.6+0.8
8 Nassjo104640%91.198.5-7.4
9 Hogsbo103730%82.388.8-6.5
10 Umea9090%81.288.8-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo1024321884
Nassjo29302322104
← all games of the day
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