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Hogsbo vs BC Lulea Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 66-106
21-33 16-26 14-20 15-27
Position#9
Record2-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game90.1
vs
Position#4
Record5-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game89.4
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Hogsbo v BC Lulea
10 Jan 2027
HOGS v LUL
upcoming
16 Feb 2026
HOGS78
LUL92
03 Nov 2025
HOGS66
LUL106
07 Mar 2025
HOGS80
LUL107
08 Oct 2024
HOGS90
LUL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Lulea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#5
W
104-98
104
98
+6
94avg 76
H24/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
78avg 76
H28/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
63avg 76
A19/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
109-111
109
111
-2
108avg 76
H23/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
83-86
83
86
-3
72avg 76
H27/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 76
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
104-95
104
95
+9
90avg 76
A10/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 76
H13/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 76
A17/10
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
93-80
93
80
+13
90avg 76
H23/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
21-29
31-19
26-29
26-22
13-19
22-24
19-19
19-27
24-22
18-25
16-15
31-27
24-32
34-21
20-31
26-28
12-20
23-21
22-17
21-30
26-20
15-16
19-19
23-22
28-20
28-26
25-27
13-19
25-17
15-23
26-28
21-21
27-28
23-13
8-26
21-19
33-11
15-28
24-22
179.2Avg total
88.9Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.190.1178.2-2.025%
Season at home (4)91.091.0182.0+0.025%
Season away (4)85.289.2174.5-4.025%
Last 10 (10)88.990.3179.2-1.430%
Last 5 (5)87.287.0174.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)82.594.7177.2-12.28%
vs Similar (2)98.587.5186.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker (3)90.085.3175.3+4.733%
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLulea
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
W
65-64
65
64
+1
58avg 81
H04/05
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
56-70
56
70
-14
43avg 81
A06/05
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
89-83
89
83
+6
83avg 81
H19/09
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
78-84
78
84
-6
71avg 81
A23/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
86-99
86
99
-13
79avg 81
H26/09
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
105-98 OT
105
98
+7
90avg 81
H03/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
W
96-87
96
87
+9
92avg 81
H07/10
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
77-73
77
73
+4
66avg 81
A14/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
79-78
79
78
+1
72avg 81
A23/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
82-113
82
113
-31
63avg 81
A01/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
13-15
10-11
22-20
11-12
17-17
16-17
12-24
33-17
17-21
12-19
27-26
22-20
14-21
25-21
17-22
20-31
21-23
20-19
25-26
25-15
22-23
14-23
27-27
22-23
29-25
25-22
20-17
20-19
13-29
19-13
25-12
12-27
30-19
21-20
16-12
22-33
25-25
11-23
24-32
166.2Avg total
81.3Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.589.4175.9-2.962%
Season at home (4)94.091.8185.8+2.275%
Season away (4)79.087.0166.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)81.384.9166.2-3.660%
Last 5 (5)87.889.8177.6-2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.590.5173.0-8.050%
vs Similar (11)79.980.5160.4-0.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)90.282.3172.5+7.959%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
HogsboBC Lulea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#5
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H24/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H23/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H27/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A10/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H13/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A17/10
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H23/10
Basketligan
91.4Avg total
46.0Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.345.788.0-3.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.343.183.4-2.933%-
Last 30 away (15)44.348.392.6-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)46.045.491.4+0.630%-
Last 5 (5)47.641.489.0+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)41.847.389.0-5.520%-
vs Similar (2)52.536.088.5+16.5100%-
vs Weaker (3)39.739.379.0+0.333%-
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H04/05
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A06/05
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H19/09
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A23/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H26/09
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H03/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H07/10
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A14/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A23/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A01/11
Basketligan
84.1Avg total
40.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.783.9+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.340.282.5+2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)42.243.285.4-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)40.843.384.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.047.691.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.048.094.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (11)39.739.979.6-0.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.442.185.5+1.347%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.0
50.8%
54.1%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.1
34.3%
35.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.817.0
78.0%
74.6%17.0
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Luleatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Lulea: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.0
51.2%
54.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.5
29.1%
35.8%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.116.2
76.8%
74.6%16.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
WLLWLLLLLW
BC Lulea
LWWWWLLWLW
#9
League position
#4
-1.3
Net rating
-4.1
111.0
Offensive rating
104.0
112.3
Defensive rating
108.1
51.1%
Effective FG%
48.3%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
14.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.3%
3-point %
29.1%
60.8%
Assist %
52.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 104.0Defence112.3 · 108.1Shooting51.1% · 48.3%3-point %34.3% · 29.1%Ball care14.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds27.5% · 29.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Hogsbo   ■ BC Lulea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hogsbo wins
2
BC Lulea wins
DateGameScore
07/03/25Hogsbo v BC Lulea80-107
03/01/25BC Lulea v Hogsbo85-67
08/10/24Hogsbo v BC Lulea90-81
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/25HUmea93-80
17/10/25AUppsala79-88
13/10/25HBoras79-87
10/10/25ANassjo104-95
02/10/25ASodertalje81-85
27/09/25HSloga Uppsala83-86
23/09/25HJamtland109-111
19/09/25ANorrkoping77-89
28/03/25HUppsala80-84
24/03/25HNassjo104-98
BC Lulealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25ANorrkoping82-113
23/10/25ASodertalje79-78
14/10/25AUmea77-73
07/10/25HJamtland96-87
03/10/25HBoras105-98 OT
26/09/25HUppsala86-99
23/09/25ANassjo78-84
19/09/25HKoping Stars89-83
06/05/25ABoras56-70
04/05/25HBoras65-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW25%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game88.191.085.2
Allowed / game90.191.089.2
Point differential-2.0+0.0-4.0
Avg total178.2182.0174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Lulea
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game86.594.079.0
Allowed / game89.491.887.0
Point differential-2.9+2.2-8.0
Avg total175.9185.8166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping87188%95.179.5+15.6
2 Boras86275%94.082.1+11.9
3 Jamtland85362%97.191.1+6.0
4 Sodertalje85362%77.675.4+2.2
5 BC Lulea85362%86.589.4-2.9
6 Nassjo95456%85.387.4-2.1
7 Uppsala84450%87.587.0+0.5
8 Umea93633%81.289.1-7.9
9 Hogsbo82625%88.190.1-2.0
10 Sloga Uppsala82625%78.891.4-12.6
11 Koping Stars81712%84.592.0-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo2116141566
BC Lulea33262027106
← all games of the day
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