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Hogsbo vs BC Lulea Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 80-107
25-35 17-14 16-33 22-25
Position#9
Record5-20
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game90.9
vs
Position#3
Record16-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game82.7
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hogsbo v BC Lulea
10 Jan 2027
HOGS v LUL
upcoming
16 Feb 2026
HOGS78
LUL92
03 Nov 2025
HOGS66
LUL106
07 Mar 2025
HOGS80
LUL107
08 Oct 2024
HOGS90
LUL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Lulea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
BC Lulea
#3
L
67-85
67
85
-18
65avg 78
A03/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
73-113
73
113
-40
60avg 78
H09/01
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
77-87
77
87
-10
57avg 78
A17/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
64avg 78
H25/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
78avg 78
A04/02
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
110-83
110
83
+27
104avg 78
A07/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
71-75
71
75
-4
60avg 78
H11/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
98-114
98
114
-16
98avg 78
A15/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
59-63
59
63
-4
43avg 78
H28/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
85-110
85
110
-25
76avg 78
A04/03
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
23-23
18-19
10-24
19-33
13-27
13-29
28-24
15-22
17-15
22-24
23-26
24-21
11-30
10-22
29-16
17-23
22-24
16-29
32-25
22-18
27-15
35-26
26-24
22-17
20-15
12-22
17-21
24-21
29-33
21-33
24-27
14-16
16-16
14-17
15-14
23-36
21-23
22-28
19-23
172.1Avg total
80.1Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.490.9173.2-8.520%
Season at home (12)79.287.0166.2-7.825%
Season away (13)85.394.5179.8-9.215%
Last 10 (10)80.192.0172.1-11.910%
Last 5 (5)84.689.0173.6-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)81.292.0173.2-10.714%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (8)91.179.5170.6+11.662%
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLulea
Date
Competition
Hogsbo
#9
W
85-67
85
67
+18
77avg 81
H03/01
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
75-100
75
100
-25
63avg 81
A10/01
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
91-70
91
70
+21
93avg 81
H17/01
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
75avg 81
H24/01
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 81
H03/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
89-88 OT
89
88
+1
88avg 81
H07/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
74-81
74
81
-7
64avg 81
H10/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
70-76
70
76
-6
61avg 81
A13/02
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
83-68
83
68
+15
82avg 81
A28/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
71-67
71
67
+4
73avg 81
H04/03
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
23-23
19-18
24-10
16-31
21-23
16-32
22-14
17-20
22-16
38-20
14-14
22-18
27-21
16-13
17-25
21-22
24-23
25-14
18-18
22-23
16-20
18-11
25-27
19-20
16-21
12-20
27-20
16-22
19-19
14-20
21-15
23-16
22-22
19-9
19-21
16-22
15-19
20-15
20-11
157.9Avg total
80.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)87.582.7170.2+4.864%
Season at home (13)88.776.5165.2+12.285%
Season away (12)86.289.3175.6-3.142%
Last 10 (10)80.877.1157.9+3.770%
Last 5 (5)77.476.0153.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.586.0166.5-5.538%
vs Similar (3)80.392.0172.3-11.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.081.2170.2+7.868%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.2+3.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.2+3.2
HogsboBC Lulea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Lulea
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A03/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
32-60
32
60
-28
H09/01
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A17/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H25/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A04/02
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A07/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H11/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A15/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H28/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A04/03
Basketligan
84.2Avg total
39.5Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.283.1-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.739.178.9+0.660%-
Last 30 away (15)42.145.387.4-3.120%-
Last 10 (10)39.544.784.2-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.085.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.544.283.7-4.827%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (8)45.036.681.6+8.475%-
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hogsbo
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H03/01
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A10/01
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H17/01
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H24/01
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H03/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H07/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H10/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A13/02
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A28/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H04/03
Basketligan
81.3Avg total
39.6Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.485.4+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.639.382.9+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)42.545.588.0-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.781.3-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.877.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.142.085.1+1.138%-
vs Similar (3)40.046.786.7-6.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.541.985.4+1.647%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.3
49.6%
52.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.0
30.9%
34.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.016.5
75.0%
76.2%16.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Luleatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Lulea: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.4
52.2%
52.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.0
30.4%
34.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.217.1
77.0%
76.2%17.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LLLLWLLLLL
BC Lulea
WWLLWWWWLW
#9
League position
#3
-15.1
Net rating
+6.3
98.5
Offensive rating
105.8
113.6
Defensive rating
99.6
48.3%
Effective FG%
49.8%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.9%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.9%
3-point %
30.4%
61.9%
Assist %
59.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 105.8Defence113.6 · 99.6Shooting48.3% · 49.8%3-point %30.9% · 30.4%Ball care17.9% · 16.9%Off. rebounds21.5% · 26.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Hogsbo   ■ BC Lulea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hogsbo wins
1
BC Lulea wins
DateGameScore
03/01/25BC Lulea v Hogsbo85-67
08/10/24Hogsbo v BC Lulea90-81
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/25AUppsala85-110
28/02/25HBoras59-63
15/02/25AJamtland98-114
11/02/25HSodertalje71-75
07/02/25AUmea110-83
04/02/25AKoping Stars87-101
25/01/25HNorrkoping74-89
17/01/25AUmea77-87
09/01/25HNorrkoping73-113
03/01/25ABC Lulea67-85
BC Lulealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/25HKoping Stars71-67
28/02/25ANorrkoping83-68
13/02/25ASodertalje70-76
10/02/25HUppsala74-81
07/02/25HBoras89-88 OT
03/02/25HNassjo88-77
24/01/25HJamtland82-77
17/01/25HSodertalje91-70
10/01/25ABoras75-100
03/01/25HHogsbo85-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLWLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %20%25%15%
Points / game82.479.285.3
Allowed / game90.987.094.5
Point differential-8.5-7.8-9.2
Avg total173.2166.2179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
BC Lulea
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayWWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %64%85%42%
Points / game87.588.786.2
Allowed / game82.776.589.3
Point differential+4.8+12.2-3.1
Avg total170.2165.2175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%62%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boras2519676%85.776.3+9.4
2 Norrkoping2518772%93.881.4+12.4
3 BC Lulea2516964%87.582.7+4.8
4 Koping Stars26161062%88.985.7+3.2
5 Uppsala25141156%81.381.6-0.2
6 Nassjo26141254%89.291.4-2.2
7 Sodertalje25131252%74.976.2-1.3
8 Jamtland26111542%87.186.8+0.3
9 Hogsbo2552020%82.490.9-8.5
10 Umea261254%75.893.1-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo2517162280
BC Lulea35143325107
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