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BC Roma vs Basket Napoli Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 13 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record2-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game98.0
BC Roma
Italy
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Basket Napoli
Italy
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game86.6
ItalyLega ARound 11
Domestic2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Roma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Balkan
#32
W
77-72 OT
77
72
+5
69avg 86
H13/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#9
L
98-104
98
104
-6
92avg 86
H17/10
Lega A
Manresa
#8
L
88-108
88
108
-20
78avg 86
A20/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
L
103-110 OT
103
110
-7
95avg 86
A24/10
Lega A
KK Bosna
#23
L
80-85
80
85
-5
70avg 86
H27/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
103-90
103
90
+13
101avg 86
H31/10
Lega A
PAOK
#7
L
111-113
111
113
-2
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#7
L
100-116
100
116
-16
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Ulm
#15
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Verona
#10
L
88-89
88
89
-1
no box
H14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-12
16-21
18-12
22-24
29-24
26-22
13-24
30-34
21-32
25-25
24-25
18-26
28-32
17-17
22-17
28-29
21-16
20-27
26-20
13-22
25-29
26-24
27-23
25-14
22-29
38-32
26-31
25-21
32-28
24-30
26-34
18-24
11-15
24-19
27-16
21-28
31-29
19-23
19-21
19-16
189.6Avg total
93.1Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)98.698.0196.6+0.625%
Season at home (4)99.288.2187.5+11.050%
Season away (4)98.0107.8205.8-9.80%
Last 10 (10)93.196.5189.6-3.430%
Last 5 (5)97.097.2194.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)94.2107.0201.2-12.80%
vs Similar (7)91.695.9187.4-4.314%
vs Weaker (4)95.079.8174.8+15.2100%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Cantu
#16
W
99-80
99
80
+19
90avg 83
A11/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
86-82
86
82
+4
84avg 83
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
82-98
82
98
-16
72avg 83
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
99avg 83
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#12
W
92-90
92
90
+2
86avg 83
A25/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#26
W
94-85
94
85
+9
98avg 83
A28/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#9
W
99-81
99
81
+18
100avg 83
H01/11
Lega A
Trento
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
91-89
91
89
+2
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
W
112-90
112
90
+22
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
29-22
17-20
33-19
22-18
18-19
21-24
25-21
25-18
13-23
23-25
21-32
29-20
24-22
20-24
20-27
19-26
22-21
26-17
25-26
24-20
23-25
24-20
23-20
19-16
25-22
30-20
25-23
24-21
13-18
28-15
25-25
22-19
15-28
27-28
27-14
24-22
35-19
20-28
33-21
182.5Avg total
95.0Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.786.6180.3+7.186%
Season at home (3)93.390.7184.0+2.767%
Season away (4)94.083.5177.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)95.087.5182.5+7.590%
Last 5 (5)97.284.8182.0+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.694.2171.8-16.60%
vs Similar (14)86.985.1172.1+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)94.583.6178.1+10.8100%
This opponent (BC Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
BC RomaBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#32
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H13/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#9
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H17/10
Lega A
Manresa
#8
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A20/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A24/10
Lega A
KK Bosna
#23
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H27/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H31/10
Lega A
PAOK
#7
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A03/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#7
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A08/11
Lega A
Ulm
#15
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H11/11
Eurocup
Verona
#10
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H14/11
Lega A
95.4Avg total
46.8Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)47.148.195.3-1.033%-
Last 30 at home (8)45.042.987.9+2.150%-
Last 30 away (7)49.654.1103.7-4.614%-
Last 10 (10)46.848.695.4-1.820%-
Last 5 (5)50.451.6102.0-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)50.055.2105.2-5.20%-
vs Similar (7)46.947.694.4-0.743%-
vs Weaker (4)44.842.086.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#16
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#12
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A25/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#26
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H01/11
Lega A
Trento
#27
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H03/11
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A08/11
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A11/11
Eurocup
86.3Avg total
44.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.083.4+1.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.737.878.5+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)43.943.887.8+0.169%-
Last 10 (10)44.541.886.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.842.086.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.243.482.6-4.260%-
vs Similar (14)40.939.980.9+1.064%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.841.387.1+4.573%-
This opponent (BC Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Roma: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.722.2
60.5%
54.3%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.2
34.3%
34.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.716.7
80.7%
74.6%16.7
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.5
59.1%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.5
41.7%
34.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws24.717.8
72.1%
74.6%17.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Roma
LWLLWLLLLW
Basket Napoli
WWWWWWWLWW
#13
League position
#2
+0.8
Net rating
+8.2
100.1
Offensive rating
106.6
99.3
Defensive rating
98.4
56.5%
Effective FG%
60.6%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.40
34.3%
3-point %
41.7%
59.0%
Assist %
68.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 106.6Defence99.3 · 98.4Shooting56.5% · 60.6%3-point %34.3% · 41.7%Ball care16.6% · 15.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ BC Roma   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BC Roma wins
0
Basket Napoli wins
No previous meetings.
BC Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HVerona88-89
11/11/26HUlm83-78
08/11/26ATrieste100-116
03/11/26APAOK111-113
31/10/26HScafati103-90
27/10/26HKK Bosna80-85
24/10/26AVarese103-110 OT
20/10/26AManresa88-108
17/10/26HVenezia98-104
13/10/26HBalkan77-72 OT
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AChemnitz112-90
08/11/26AScafati91-89
03/11/26HTrento90-79
01/11/26HVenezia99-81
28/10/26ANeptunas94-85
25/10/26ATortona92-90
21/10/26HTofas105-101 OT
18/10/26HOlimpia Milano82-98
14/10/26ASlask Wroclaw86-82
11/10/26ACantu99-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Roma
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game98.699.298.0
Allowed / game98.088.2107.8
Point differential+0.6+11.0-9.8
Avg total196.6187.5205.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game93.793.394.0
Allowed / game86.690.783.5
Point differential+7.1+2.7+10.5
Avg total180.3184.0177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
3 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
4 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
5 Treviso75271%90.788.6+2.1
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
8 Udine74357%81.380.3+1.0
9 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati71614%81.692.0-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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