PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

BC Wolves vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 92-73
30-17 23-17 22-21 17-18
Position#3
Record12-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#6
Record8-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game83.8
LithuaniaLKL· Avia Solutions Group Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · BC Wolves v Neptunas
11 May 2025
WOL96
NEP84
07 Dec 2024
WOL102
NEP86
18 May 2024
WOL91
NEP80
13 May 2024
WOL91
NEP84
27 Jan 2024
WOL92
NEP73
15 Feb 2023
WOL79
NEP63
17 Nov 2022
WOL84
NEP90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
69avg 78
H23/12
LKL
Besiktas
#10
L
59-72
59
72
-13
56avg 78
A27/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
76-95
76
95
-19
71avg 78
H30/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
80-89
80
89
-9
69avg 78
A03/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
99-78
99
78
+21
99avg 78
A06/01
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
91-89
91
89
+2
80avg 78
H09/01
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
59avg 78
H13/01
LKL
Prometey
#7
L
64-91
64
91
-27
59avg 78
A17/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
82-82
82
82
+0
77avg 78
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Venezia
#12
W
75-57
75
57
+18
70avg 78
A24/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
14-24
21-12
18-19
9-18
14-25
15-15
21-14
13-28
25-22
16-17
22-28
18-26
26-21
16-23
20-19
30-20
32-19
21-15
16-24
27-23
19-21
20-21
25-24
18-17
16-28
18-24
20-20
15-29
14-20
23-21
12-21
26-23
22-21
18-21
16-17
15-15
17-16
15-19
28-7
159.1Avg total
77.1Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.077.7160.7+5.371%
Season at home (8)82.574.4156.9+8.175%
Season away (9)83.480.7164.1+2.867%
Last 10 (10)77.182.0159.1-4.930%
Last 5 (5)76.881.6158.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)78.186.6164.6-8.525%
vs Similar (6)78.582.3160.8-3.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.880.6169.4+8.175%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
80avg 80
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
88-76
88
76
+12
90avg 80
A27/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
86-83
86
83
+3
75avg 80
A03/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
69-64
69
64
+5
68avg 80
H10/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
68-70
68
70
-2
59avg 80
A17/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
70-77
70
77
-7
66avg 80
H23/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 80
H03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
71avg 80
H07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
100-81
100
81
+19
111avg 80
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
69avg 80
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
22-19
16-29
16-23
31-16
21-16
10-22
26-22
24-19
18-26
19-13
25-25
12-13
20-19
12-16
25-16
18-17
15-17
23-23
12-13
17-19
17-18
24-21
12-19
28-26
18-25
23-19
22-19
24-20
18-28
17-22
19-21
17-28
30-12
29-22
24-19
17-18
21-17
14-29
24-15
160.6Avg total
80.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.583.8168.4+0.747%
Season at home (9)85.282.2167.4+3.056%
Season away (8)83.885.6169.4-1.938%
Last 10 (10)80.480.2160.6+0.250%
Last 5 (5)83.083.4166.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)82.794.8177.4-12.111%
vs Similar (6)81.783.3165.0-1.750%
vs Weaker (15)90.482.0172.4+8.473%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
BC WolvesNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/12
LKL
Besiktas
#10
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A27/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H30/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A03/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
62-39
62
39
+23
A06/01
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/01
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H13/01
LKL
Prometey
#7
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A17/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Venezia
#12
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A24/01
Eurocup
82.9Avg total
39.0Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.682.7-2.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.144.184.2-3.940%-
Last 30 away (15)40.141.181.2-0.960%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.982.9-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.680.4-4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.243.881.0-6.631%-
vs Similar (6)39.241.380.5-2.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)46.841.087.8+5.875%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A27/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A03/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H10/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A17/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H23/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
80.6Avg total
41.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.185.1+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.144.186.2-2.031%-
Last 30 away (14)44.039.783.7+4.364%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.480.6+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.283.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.245.086.2-3.833%-
vs Similar (6)41.239.080.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker (15)44.841.586.3+3.353%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.6
52.7%
55.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.3
32.3%
34.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.714.0
74.9%
73.2%14.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.7
54.9%
55.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.7
35.7%
34.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws15.211.1
73.0%
73.2%11.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
WLLLWWLLLL
Neptunas
LWLWLLWWWL
#3
League position
#6
-7.5
Net rating
+0.6
103.5
Offensive rating
109.7
111.0
Defensive rating
109.2
50.9%
Effective FG%
54.3%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
21.1%
Turnover %
17.8%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.3%
3-point %
35.7%
62.8%
Assist %
72.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 109.7Defence111.0 · 109.2Shooting50.9% · 54.3%3-point %32.3% · 35.7%Ball care21.1% · 17.8%Off. rebounds33.1% · 29.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
BC Wolves wins
3
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
08/10/23Neptunas v BC Wolves66-98
07/05/23Neptunas v BC Wolves75-104
15/02/23BC Wolves v Neptunas79-63
17/11/22BC Wolves v Neptunas84-90
05/11/22Neptunas v BC Wolves100-80
20/10/22Neptunas v BC Wolves85-81
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24AVenezia75-57
21/01/24AZalgiris Kaunas82-82
17/01/24APrometey64-91
13/01/24HRytas72-89
09/01/24HCedevita Olimpija91-89
06/01/24ANevezis99-78
03/01/24AHapoel Tel-Aviv80-89
30/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas76-95
27/12/23ABesiktas59-72
23/12/23HLietkabelis73-78
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24ALietkabelis76-79
14/01/24HGargzdai100-81
07/01/24HJuventus78-91
03/01/24HLietkabelis91-89
23/12/23HRytas70-77
17/12/23AMazeikiai68-70
10/12/23HJonava69-64
03/12/23APieno Zvaigzdes86-83
27/11/23AZalgiris Kaunas88-76
23/11/23AJuventus78-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL71%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game83.082.583.4
Allowed / game77.774.480.7
Point differential+5.3+8.1+2.8
Avg total160.7156.9164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW47%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayWLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%56%38%
Points / game84.585.283.8
Allowed / game83.882.285.6
Point differential+0.7+3.0-1.9
Avg total168.4167.4169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1715288%82.370.5+11.8
2 Rytas1614288%91.877.8+13.9
3 Juventus1712571%89.277.2+12.0
4 BC Wolves1712571%83.077.7+5.3
5 Lietkabelis159660%84.182.2+1.9
6 Neptunas178947%84.583.8+0.7
7 Mazeikiai167944%77.580.6-3.1
8 Jonava1771041%81.483.3-1.9
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes1751229%85.593.5-7.9
10 Siauliai1741324%80.786.6-5.9
11 Nevezis1741324%82.892.4-9.6
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves3023221792
Neptunas1717211873
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.