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Lietkabelis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 79-76
18-17 17-21 29-14 15-24
Position#7
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Position#3
Record6-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game86.0
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - Quarter-finals· Kalnapilio arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Neptunas
21 Apr 2027
LIE v NEP
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
LIE99
NEP79
13 Jun 2026
LIE82
NEP91
08 Jun 2026
LIE80
NEP68
26 Apr 2026
LIE83
NEP80
20 Sep 2025
LIE84
NEP96
30 Apr 2025
LIE84
NEP79
02 Nov 2024
LIE81
NEP89
04 Mar 2024
LIE76
NEP78
21 Jan 2024
LIE79
NEP76
14 Jan 2023
LIE73
NEP81
26 Nov 2022
LIE80
NEP73
15 Jan 2022
LIE80
NEP80
18 Sep 2021
LIE83
NEP62
13 May 2021
LIE94
NEP93
08 Apr 2021
LIE82
NEP77
03 Oct 2020
LIE87
NEP82
02 May 2020
LIE v NEP
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
LIE102
NEP64
22 Apr 2019
LIE69
NEP73
24 Nov 2018
LIE76
NEP100
17 Jun 2018
LIE78
NEP89
12 Jun 2018
LIE69
NEP71
18 Apr 2018
LIE89
NEP94
04 Oct 2017
LIE88
NEP76
01 Apr 2017
LIE74
NEP61
05 Oct 2016
LIE93
NEP74
17 Apr 2016
LIE72
NEP80
25 Oct 2015
LIE75
NEP80
16 Apr 2015
LIE81
NEP83
09 Oct 2014
LIE65
NEP78
10 Apr 2014
LIE69
NEP83
16 Jan 2013
LIE65
NEP81
21 Jan 2012
LIE103
NEP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#13
L
81-83
81
83
-2
74avg 78
H06/12
Eurocup
Aris
#11
L
60-69
60
69
-9
57avg 78
A12/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
L
94-106
94
106
-12
94avg 78
A17/12
LKL
Ulm
#9
W
94-90
94
90
+4
94avg 78
H19/12
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#3
W
78-73
78
73
+5
69avg 78
A23/12
LKL
Trento
#16
L
70-76
70
76
-6
64avg 78
A27/12
Eurocup
Neptunas
#3
L
89-91
89
91
-2
85avg 78
A03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Gran Canaria
#6
L
84-92
84
92
-8
78avg 78
H10/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 78
H13/01
LKL
JL Bourg
#2
L
71-104
71
104
-33
67avg 78
A17/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
16-21
17-22
27-22
16-18
8-17
20-12
16-22
26-25
23-32
19-22
26-27
18-19
25-28
25-18
26-25
23-20
24-14
12-21
19-18
17-20
10-15
19-19
24-22
26-28
25-18
19-23
19-22
13-23
25-22
20-18
26-29
16-19
23-11
15-24
18-19
17-22
19-25
24-24
11-33
165.0Avg total
79.3Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.091.0180.0-2.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)89.091.0180.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)79.385.7165.0-6.420%
Last 5 (5)77.287.2164.4-10.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)83.590.8174.3-7.333%
vs Similar (8)77.578.5156.0-1.038%
vs Weaker (7)89.680.0169.6+9.686%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
97-74
97
74
+23
106avg 81
H20/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
80avg 81
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
88-76
88
76
+12
90avg 81
A27/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
86-83
86
83
+3
75avg 81
A03/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
69-64
69
64
+5
68avg 81
H10/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
68-70
68
70
-2
59avg 81
A17/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
70-77
70
77
-7
66avg 81
H23/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 81
H03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
71avg 81
H07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
100-81
100
81
+19
111avg 81
H14/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
24-14
28-15
26-21
24-21
22-19
16-29
16-23
31-16
21-16
10-22
26-22
24-19
18-26
19-13
25-25
12-13
20-19
12-16
25-16
18-17
15-17
23-23
12-13
17-19
17-18
24-21
12-19
28-26
18-25
23-19
22-19
24-20
18-28
17-22
19-21
17-28
30-12
29-22
24-19
162.2Avg total
82.5Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.186.0177.1+5.186%
Season at home (4)94.084.2178.2+9.8100%
Season away (3)87.388.3175.7-1.067%
Last 10 (10)82.579.7162.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)81.481.6163.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.794.8177.4-12.111%
vs Similar (6)81.783.3165.0-1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.682.3173.9+9.380%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
LietkabelisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H06/12
Eurocup
Aris
#11
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A12/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A17/12
LKL
Ulm
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H19/12
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#3
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A23/12
LKL
Trento
#16
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A27/12
Eurocup
Neptunas
#3
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Gran Canaria
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H10/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H13/01
LKL
JL Bourg
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A17/01
Eurocup
80.6Avg total
39.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.380.8+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.340.182.4+2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)38.940.579.4-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.580.6-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.678.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.941.481.3-1.540%-
vs Similar (8)37.438.075.4-0.638%-
vs Weaker (7)45.340.786.0+4.671%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H20/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A27/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A03/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H10/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A17/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H23/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H14/01
LKL
81.4Avg total
41.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.686.0+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.144.186.2-2.031%-
Last 30 away (14)44.940.885.6+4.157%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.781.4+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.082.4-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.245.086.2-3.833%-
vs Similar (6)41.239.080.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.642.588.1+3.147%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.315.0
53.0%
56.9%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.8
40.0%
34.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.015.9
75.7%
74.5%15.9
They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.4
57.3%
56.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.8
36.0%
34.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.911.7
73.6%
74.5%11.7
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LLLLLWWLLL
Neptunas
WLWLLWWWLW
#7
League position
#3
-9.2
Net rating
+4.7
109.0
Offensive rating
113.2
118.2
Defensive rating
108.5
56.4%
Effective FG%
55.9%
59.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
22.4%
Turnover %
18.2%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.0%
3-point %
36.0%
71.3%
Assist %
73.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 113.2Defence118.2 · 108.5Shooting56.4% · 55.9%3-point %40.0% · 36.0%Ball care22.4% · 18.2%Off. rebounds29.3% · 32.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lietkabelis wins
4
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24AJL Bourg71-104
13/01/24HJuventus72-73
10/01/24HGran Canaria84-92
03/01/24ANeptunas89-91
27/12/23ATrento70-76
23/12/23ABC Wolves78-73
19/12/23HUlm94-90
17/12/23ANevezis94-106
12/12/23AAris60-69
06/12/23HBuducnost81-83
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HGargzdai100-81
07/01/24HJuventus78-91
03/01/24HLietkabelis91-89
23/12/23HRytas70-77
17/12/23AMazeikiai68-70
10/12/23HJonava69-64
03/12/23APieno Zvaigzdes86-83
27/11/23AZalgiris Kaunas88-76
23/11/23AJuventus78-92
20/11/23HNevezis97-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game89.0-89.0
Allowed / game91.0-91.0
Point differential-2.0--2.0
Avg total180.0-180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game91.194.087.3
Allowed / game86.084.288.3
Point differential+5.1+9.8-1.0
Avg total177.1178.2175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas220100%101.076.5+24.5
2 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%95.076.0+19.0
3 Siauliai87188%91.081.9+9.1
4 Neptunas76186%91.186.0+5.1
5 Juventus105550%87.886.8+1.0
6 Nevezis84450%91.090.0+1.0
7 BC Olimpas Palanga63350%76.279.0-2.8
8 Gargzdai62433%79.785.7-6.0
9 Mazeikiai61517%84.393.0-8.7
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes61517%85.294.3-9.2
11 Lietkabelis1010%89.091.0-2.0
12 Jonava2020%74.581.5-7.0
13 BC Wolves1010%76.095.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1817291579
Neptunas1721142476
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