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BC Wolves vs Prienai Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 95-70
33-13 20-19 19-23 23-15
Position#6
Record0-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#11
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game107.0
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup
Other2022-23
Meetings · BC Wolves v Prienai
19 Apr 2023
WOL94
PRI58
21 Nov 2022
WOL79
PRI70
26 Oct 2022
WOL95
PRI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
A24/09
LKL
Aris
#39
W
83-72
83
72
+11
no box
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#35
L
76-91
76
91
-15
no box
H28/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#5
W
95-68
95
68
+27
97avg 72
H03/10
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
62-80
62
80
-18
51avg 72
A07/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
73-68
73
68
+5
59avg 72
A09/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
76-69
76
69
+7
67avg 72
H16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
89-78
89
78
+11
85avg 72
H24/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
16-16
28-11
21-23
15-21
29-23
17-15
22-13
18-21
19-18
13-27
26-25
29-14
21-14
28-21
17-19
16-17
14-26
18-16
14-21
14-13
23-19
23-19
13-17
19-18
23-11
17-17
17-23
18-25
27-26
18-16
18-18
23-16
24-26
22-25
20-11
155.9Avg total
79.6Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
Last 10 (9)79.676.3155.9+3.267%
Last 5 (5)76.276.0152.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)78.975.7154.6+3.171%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 63
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
70-86
70
86
-16
no box
A20/04
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
A27/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
74-80 OT
74
80
-6
no box
H24/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
66-91
66
91
-25
49avg 63
H29/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
66-89
66
89
-23
49avg 63
H01/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
89-97
89
97
-8
78avg 63
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
92-99 OT
92
99
-7
no box
H17/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
77-107
77
107
-30
no box
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
110-115 OT
110
115
-5
no box
A23/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
25-20
17-27
26-23
22-16
19-25
12-19
17-26
20-24
20-24
29-25
15-27
14-19
15-14
22-12
16-22
16-24
18-20
22-22
10-25
21-25
14-17
7-22
24-25
25-25
22-25
22-21
20-26
22-19
16-21
20-18
22-22
19-26
10-28
27-30
21-23
23-27
21-24
26-17
20-22
177.5Avg total
81.4Scored
96.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)77.0107.0184.0-30.00%
Season at home (1)77.0107.0184.0-30.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.496.1177.5-14.70%
Last 5 (5)86.8101.4188.2-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)76.787.9164.6-11.212%
vs Similar (4)86.2101.0187.2-14.80%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -5.0-5.0
BC WolvesPrienai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A24/09
LKL
Aris
#39
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#35
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H28/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#5
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H03/10
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A07/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A09/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H24/10
LKL
79.3Avg total
40.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)40.438.979.3+1.644%-
Last 30 at home (4)44.034.578.5+9.575%-
Last 30 away (5)37.642.480.0-4.820%-
Last 10 (9)40.438.979.3+1.644%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.479.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.051.096.0-6.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.336.475.7+2.957%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A20/04
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A27/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H24/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H29/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H01/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
29-54
29
54
-25
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A23/10
LKL
83.0Avg total
38.0Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.044.380.4-8.310%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.043.777.7-9.76%-
Last 30 away (13)38.745.283.8-6.515%-
Last 10 (10)38.045.083.0-7.00%-
Last 5 (5)38.647.486.0-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)35.343.278.5-7.812%-
vs Similar (4)40.551.892.2-11.20%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.7 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.8
53.1%
55.2%39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.2
35.3%
34.6%27.5
🏀 Free throws15.711.2
71.3%
74.2%11.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.0
50.8%
55.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.6
29.8%
34.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.114.3
74.9%
74.2%14.3
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
WLWWLWLWW
Prienai
LLLLLLLLLL
#6
League position
#11
+8.1
Net rating
-17.2
108.9
Offensive rating
100.9
100.8
Defensive rating
118.1
53.0%
Effective FG%
48.3%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.2%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.3%
3-point %
29.8%
63.8%
Assist %
50.4%
67%
Form (last 9/10)
0%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 100.9Defence100.8 · 118.1Shooting53.0% · 48.3%3-point %35.3% · 29.8%Ball care17.4% · 16.2%Off. rebounds30.2% · 23.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 9/10)67% · 0%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Prienai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BC Wolves wins
0
Prienai wins
No previous meetings.
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/22HSiauliai89-78
20/10/22ANeptunas81-85
16/10/22HPieno Zvaigzdes76-69
09/10/22AGargzdai73-68
07/10/22AJonava62-80
03/10/22HJuventus95-68
28/09/22HRilski Sportist76-91
27/09/22AAris83-72
24/09/22ANevezis81-76
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/22APieno Zvaigzdes110-115 OT
19/10/22HJuventus77-107
17/10/22HNeptunas92-99 OT
10/10/22ASiauliai89-97
01/10/22HRytas66-89
29/09/22HZalgiris Kaunas66-91
24/09/22HJonava74-80 OT
27/04/22AJonava84-100
20/04/22ARytas70-86
18/04/22HNevezis86-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game85.0-85.0
Point differential-4.0--4.0
Avg total166.0-166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Prienai
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game77.077.0-
Allowed / game107.0107.0-
Point differential-30.0-30.0-
Avg total184.0184.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus110100%107.077.0+30.0
2 Jonava220100%81.575.0+6.5
3 Siauliai110100%79.073.0+6.0
4 Neptunas110100%85.081.0+4.0
5 Nevezis1010%80.082.0-2.0
6 BC Wolves1010%81.085.0-4.0
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes2020%71.580.0-8.5
8 Prienai1010%77.0107.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves3320192395
Prienai1319231570
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