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Neptunas vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-81
25-18 26-27 16-18 18-18
Position#4
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Neptunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
BC Wolves
Lithuania
Position#6
Record-
FormLWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup
Other2022-23
Meetings · Neptunas v BC Wolves
15 Apr 2025
NEP85
WOL97
15 Feb 2025
NEP87
WOL83
12 Oct 2024
NEP89
WOL74
15 May 2024
NEP95
WOL76
01 May 2024
NEP85
WOL86
08 Oct 2023
NEP66
WOL98
07 May 2023
NEP75
WOL104
05 Nov 2022
NEP100
WOL80
20 Oct 2022
NEP85
WOL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
88-92
88
92
-4
86avg 75
A02/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
70-68
70
68
+2
66avg 75
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
65avg 75
A07/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
87-78
87
78
+9
89avg 75
H09/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
60-89
60
89
-29
53avg 75
A11/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
58avg 75
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
67-93
67
93
-26
60avg 75
A29/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
H03/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
64avg 75
A08/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
no box
A17/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
23-26
14-28
34-16
15-19
23-19
11-10
21-20
11-20
22-31
19-23
19-13
21-17
20-14
12-15
34-32
14-23
13-16
17-33
16-17
18-20
16-25
19-19
18-15
17-18
10-22
13-26
27-27
15-16
18-19
26-17
19-26
20-33
13-23
27-21
17-18
19-22
21-16
18-20
22-22
164.6Avg total
78.1Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.186.5164.6-8.430%
Last 5 (5)81.090.2171.2-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.582.8155.3-10.427%
vs Similar (12)76.879.8156.5-3.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)85.077.6162.6+7.457%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
A24/09
LKL
Aris
#39
W
83-72
83
72
+11
no box
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#35
L
76-91
76
91
-15
no box
H28/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#5
W
95-68
95
68
+27
97avg 68
H03/10
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
62-80
62
80
-18
51avg 68
A07/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
73-68
73
68
+5
59avg 68
A09/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
76-69
76
69
+7
67avg 68
H16/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
16-16
28-11
21-23
15-21
29-23
17-15
22-13
18-21
19-18
13-27
26-25
29-14
21-14
28-21
17-19
16-17
14-26
18-16
14-21
14-13
23-19
23-19
13-17
19-18
23-11
17-17
17-23
152.9Avg total
78.0Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (7)78.074.9152.9+3.171%
Last 5 (5)76.475.2151.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (6)77.275.3152.5+1.867%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
NeptunasBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A02/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A07/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H09/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A11/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A29/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H03/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A08/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/10
LKL
76.7Avg total
34.6Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.478.5-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.977.9+2.040%-
Last 30 away (15)38.340.979.2-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)34.642.176.7-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)33.442.876.2-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.240.977.1-4.718%-
vs Similar (12)40.140.880.8-0.742%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.134.776.9+7.471%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A24/09
LKL
Aris
#39
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#35
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H28/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#5
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H03/10
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A07/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A09/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H16/10
LKL
75.6Avg total
38.9Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)38.936.775.6+2.143%-
Last 30 at home (3)43.032.075.0+11.067%-
Last 30 away (4)35.840.276.0-4.525%-
Last 10 (7)38.936.775.6+2.143%-
Last 5 (5)39.234.273.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (6)38.035.573.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.117.9
54.1%
55.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.2
35.0%
34.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.315.0
64.4%
75.0%15.0
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.8
52.4%
55.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.4
33.3%
34.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.411.4
69.5%
75.0%11.4
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLLLLLWLWL
BC Wolves
WWLWLWW
#4
League position
#6
-10.9
Net rating
+6.1
105.1
Offensive rating
106.3
115.9
Defensive rating
100.2
53.5%
Effective FG%
51.4%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
22.2%
Turnover %
17.9%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.0%
3-point %
33.3%
69.0%
Assist %
63.1%
30%
Form (last 10/7)
71%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 106.3Defence115.9 · 100.2Shooting53.5% · 51.4%3-point %35.0% · 33.3%Ball care22.2% · 17.9%Off. rebounds32.8% · 31.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.26Form (last 10/7)30% · 71%
■ Neptunas   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
0
BC Wolves wins
No previous meetings.
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/22APrienai99-92 OT
08/10/22AJuventus77-95
03/10/22HPieno Zvaigzdes91-92 OT
29/09/22ARytas67-93
26/09/22HZalgiris Kaunas71-79
11/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas60-89
09/05/22HZalgiris Kaunas87-78
07/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas71-87
04/05/22HZalgiris Kaunas70-68
02/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas88-92
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/22HPieno Zvaigzdes76-69
09/10/22AGargzdai73-68
07/10/22AJonava62-80
03/10/22HJuventus95-68
28/09/22HRilski Sportist76-91
27/09/22AAris83-72
24/09/22ANevezis81-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
BC Wolves
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus110100%107.077.0+30.0
2 Siauliai110100%79.073.0+6.0
3 Jonava110100%82.080.0+2.0
4 Nevezis1010%80.082.0-2.0
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes1010%73.079.0-6.0
6 Prienai1010%77.0107.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2526161885
BC Wolves1827181881
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