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Prienai vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 66-91
16-24 18-20 22-22 10-25
Position#12
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game80.0
Prienai
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game71.0
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Prienai v Zalgiris Kaunas
03 Apr 2023
PRI57
ZAL94
29 Sep 2022
PRI66
ZAL91
13 Jan 2022
PRI71
ZAL88
12 Dec 2021
PRI78
ZAL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
W
88-81 OT
88
81
+7
no box
H07/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
59avg 65
A12/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
70-77
70
77
-7
62avg 65
H24/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
no box
A27/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
62-72
62
72
-10
51avg 65
H06/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
93-96
93
96
-3
83avg 65
A14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 65
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
70-86
70
86
-16
no box
A20/04
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
A27/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
74-80 OT
74
80
-6
no box
H24/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
17-26
19-18
26-18
18-24
8-29
23-17
24-12
23-21
12-19
11-18
24-19
20-15
24-23
22-28
26-26
13-20
13-19
21-17
15-16
27-19
24-27
14-31
28-19
18-27
25-20
17-27
26-23
22-16
19-25
12-19
17-26
20-24
20-24
29-25
15-27
14-19
15-14
22-12
16-22
167.9Avg total
80.2Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.080.0154.0-6.00%
Season at home (1)74.080.0154.0-6.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.287.7167.9-7.510%
Last 5 (5)81.491.8173.2-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)76.387.2163.5-10.912%
vs Similar (5)81.892.2174.0-10.420%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#5
W
89-60
89
60
+29
89avg 74
H11/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
71-70
71
70
+1
67avg 74
H14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
55-79
55
79
-24
50avg 74
A16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
69-73
69
73
-4
56avg 74
H19/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
73avg 74
A21/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
92-75
92
75
+17
98avg 74
H25/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
no box
A28/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
85-70
85
70
+15
92avg 74
H30/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
89-76
89
76
+13
no box
A03/06
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
79-71
79
71
+8
79avg 74
A26/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
16-13
33-17
17-16
16-19
18-17
21-20
16-14
16-20
11-28
16-14
12-17
21-18
22-14
10-16
16-25
17-15
15-28
25-24
18-19
28-18
29-21
14-19
21-17
26-17
17-18
17-27
20-18
24-15
27-20
14-18
20-17
23-26
21-14
23-15
22-21
20-18
25-16
19-19
15-18
153.9Avg total
79.4Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.474.5153.9+4.970%
Last 5 (5)87.075.4162.4+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.487.6170.0-5.240%
vs Similar (8)69.880.4150.1-10.612%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.573.9158.4+10.582%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
PrienaiZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H07/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
26-53
26
53
-27
A12/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H24/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H06/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A20/04
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A27/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H24/09
LKL
79.1Avg total
36.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.944.580.3-8.613%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.843.677.4-9.86%-
Last 30 away (14)38.245.483.6-7.221%-
Last 10 (10)36.642.579.1-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.083.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.043.678.6-8.612%-
vs Similar (5)40.249.089.2-8.820%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#5
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H11/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H19/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A21/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H25/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A28/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H30/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A03/06
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A26/09
LKL
78.4Avg total
41.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.177.5+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.236.379.5+6.964%-
Last 30 away (16)36.039.775.7-3.744%-
Last 10 (10)41.536.978.4+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)48.036.684.6+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.037.873.8-1.820%-
vs Similar (8)33.843.677.4-9.912%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.035.678.6+7.482%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.6
50.1%
54.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.8
31.5%
35.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.012.8
75.3%
74.2%12.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.2
50.4%
54.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.7
37.0%
35.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.315.0
82.0%
74.2%15.0
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Prienai
LLLLLLLLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWLLLWW
#12
League position
#1
-11.9
Net rating
+4.9
101.0
Offensive rating
112.6
112.9
Defensive rating
107.7
49.0%
Effective FG%
52.4%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.8%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.5%
3-point %
37.0%
56.2%
Assist %
72.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 112.6Defence112.9 · 107.7Shooting49.0% · 52.4%3-point %31.5% · 37.0%Ball care15.8% · 17.8%Off. rebounds22.5% · 31.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Prienai   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Prienai wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
13/01/22Prienai v Zalgiris Kaunas71-88
12/12/21Prienai v Zalgiris Kaunas78-81
31/10/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Prienai103-77
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/22HJonava74-80 OT
27/04/22AJonava84-100
20/04/22ARytas70-86
18/04/22HNevezis86-97
14/04/22ASiauliai93-96
06/04/22HAlytaus Dzukija62-72
27/03/22APieno Zvaigzdes102-106 OT
24/03/22HAlytaus Dzukija70-77
12/03/22ALietkabelis73-82
07/03/22HJuventus88-81 OT
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/22ANeptunas79-71
03/06/22ASiauliai89-76
30/05/22HSiauliai85-70
28/05/22ASiauliai90-85 OT
25/05/22HSiauliai92-75
21/05/22ALietkabelis75-86
19/05/22HLietkabelis69-73
16/05/22ALietkabelis55-79
14/05/22HLietkabelis71-70
11/05/22HNeptunas89-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game74.074.0-
Allowed / game80.080.0-
Point differential-6.0-6.0-
Avg total154.0154.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %100%100%-
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game79.0-79.0
Allowed / game71.0-71.0
Point differential+8.0-+8.0
Avg total150.0-150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%79.071.0+8.0
2 Lietkabelis220100%87.079.5+7.5
3 Jonava110100%80.074.0+6.0
4 BC Wolves110100%81.076.0+5.0
5 Rytas110100%90.088.0+2.0
6 Nevezis21150%80.582.5-2.0
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes21150%85.589.0-3.5
8 Juventus2020%86.087.5-1.5
9 Siauliai1010%85.088.0-3.0
10 Gargzdai1010%92.097.0-5.0
11 Prienai1010%74.080.0-6.0
12 Neptunas1010%71.079.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Prienai1618221066
Zalgiris Kaunas2420222591
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