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Prienai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 92-99 (OT)
22-19 16-21 20-18 22-22 12-19
Position#12
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game89.2
Prienai
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#7
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game89.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Prienai v Neptunas
25 Apr 2023
PRI84
NEP94
24 Nov 2022
PRI72
NEP105
17 Oct 2022
PRI92
NEP99
07 Feb 2022
PRI63
NEP73
15 Nov 2021
PRI62
NEP87
28 Oct 2021
PRI70
NEP84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
no box
A27/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
62-72
62
72
-10
51avg 63
H06/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
93-96
93
96
-3
83avg 63
A14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 63
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
70-86
70
86
-16
no box
A20/04
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
A27/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
74-80 OT
74
80
-6
no box
H24/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
66-91
66
91
-25
49avg 63
H29/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
66-89
66
89
-23
49avg 63
H01/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
89-97
89
97
-8
78avg 63
A10/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
24-23
22-28
26-26
13-20
13-19
21-17
15-16
27-19
24-27
14-31
28-19
18-27
25-20
17-27
26-23
22-16
19-25
12-19
17-26
20-24
20-24
29-25
15-27
14-19
15-14
22-12
16-22
16-24
18-20
22-22
10-25
21-25
14-17
7-22
24-25
25-25
22-25
22-21
20-26
170.6Avg total
79.2Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.889.2163.0-15.50%
Season at home (3)68.786.7155.3-18.00%
Season away (1)89.097.0186.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)79.291.4170.6-12.20%
Last 5 (5)75.891.4167.2-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)76.587.5164.0-11.012%
vs Similar (5)81.892.2174.0-10.420%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
W
93-88
93
88
+5
97avg 75
H28/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
88-92
88
92
-4
86avg 75
A02/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
70-68
70
68
+2
66avg 75
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
65avg 75
A07/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
87-78
87
78
+9
89avg 75
H09/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
60-89
60
89
-29
53avg 75
A11/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
58avg 75
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
67-93
67
93
-26
60avg 75
A29/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
H03/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
64avg 75
A08/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-14
22-22
23-20
18-32
17-22
23-26
14-28
34-16
15-19
23-19
11-10
21-20
11-20
22-31
19-23
19-13
21-17
20-14
12-15
34-32
14-23
13-16
17-33
16-17
18-20
16-25
19-19
18-15
17-18
10-22
13-26
27-27
15-16
18-19
26-17
19-26
20-33
13-23
27-21
17-18
163.6Avg total
77.5Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.589.8166.2-13.20%
Season at home (2)81.085.5166.5-4.50%
Season away (2)72.094.0166.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)77.586.1163.6-8.630%
Last 5 (5)73.289.6162.8-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.582.8155.3-10.427%
vs Similar (12)76.879.8156.5-3.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)83.476.3159.7+7.157%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
PrienaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H06/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A20/04
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A27/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H24/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H29/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H01/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A10/10
LKL
81.8Avg total
39.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.544.480.8-7.913%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.544.178.6-9.66%-
Last 30 away (14)38.744.683.4-5.921%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.881.8-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.480.4-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.743.479.2-7.712%-
vs Similar (5)40.249.089.2-8.820%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H28/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A02/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A07/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H09/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A11/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A29/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H03/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A08/10
LKL
77.7Avg total
35.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.579.0-0.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.977.9+2.040%-
Last 30 away (15)39.041.180.1-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.977.7-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)30.843.073.8-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.240.977.1-4.718%-
vs Similar (12)40.140.880.8-0.742%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.635.178.7+8.471%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.0
50.8%
54.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.6
29.8%
35.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.114.3
74.9%
74.2%14.3
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.117.9
54.1%
54.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.2
35.0%
35.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.315.0
64.4%
74.2%15.0
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Prienai
LLLLLLLLLL
Neptunas
LLLLLWLWLW
#12
League position
#7
-17.2
Net rating
-10.9
100.9
Offensive rating
105.1
118.1
Defensive rating
115.9
48.3%
Effective FG%
53.5%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
22.2%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.41
29.8%
3-point %
35.0%
50.4%
Assist %
69.0%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 105.1Defence118.1 · 115.9Shooting48.3% · 53.5%3-point %29.8% · 35.0%Ball care16.2% · 22.2%Off. rebounds23.5% · 32.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)0% · 30%
■ Prienai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Prienai wins
4
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
07/02/22Prienai v Neptunas63-73
03/02/22Neptunas v Prienai88-82
15/11/21Prienai v Neptunas62-87
28/10/21Prienai v Neptunas70-84
14/10/21Neptunas v Prienai76-79 OT
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/22ASiauliai89-97
01/10/22HRytas66-89
29/09/22HZalgiris Kaunas66-91
24/09/22HJonava74-80 OT
27/04/22AJonava84-100
20/04/22ARytas70-86
18/04/22HNevezis86-97
14/04/22ASiauliai93-96
06/04/22HAlytaus Dzukija62-72
27/03/22APieno Zvaigzdes102-106 OT
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/22AJuventus77-95
03/10/22HPieno Zvaigzdes91-92 OT
29/09/22ARytas67-93
26/09/22HZalgiris Kaunas71-79
11/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas60-89
09/05/22HZalgiris Kaunas87-78
07/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas71-87
04/05/22HZalgiris Kaunas70-68
02/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas88-92
28/04/22HRytas93-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.868.789.0
Allowed / game89.286.797.0
Point differential-15.5-18.0-8.0
Avg total163.0155.3186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%33%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.581.072.0
Allowed / game89.885.594.0
Point differential-13.2-4.5-22.0
Avg total166.2166.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas550100%85.267.4+17.8
2 Jonava550100%80.272.2+8.0
3 BC Wolves54180%77.472.2+5.2
4 Rytas53260%86.278.2+8.0
5 Lietkabelis53260%83.078.2+4.8
6 Nevezis42250%79.281.0-1.8
7 Siauliai42250%80.087.2-7.2
8 Juventus52340%84.486.2-1.8
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes52340%84.487.4-3.0
10 Gargzdai5050%76.285.0-8.8
11 Neptunas4040%76.589.8-13.2
12 Prienai4040%73.889.2-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Prienai221620221292
Neptunas192118221999
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