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Belgium W vs Australia W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 81-85
19-20 17-17 25-23 20-25
Position#7
Record4-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game72.9
Belgium W
vs
Australia W 🏆
Position#3
Record6-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game68.0
EuropeOlympic Games WomenOlympic Games Women - 3rd place· Accor Arena
Women2024
Meetings · Belgium W v Australia W
11 Aug 2024
BELG81
AUST85
29 Sep 2022
BELG69
AUST86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belgium W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Australia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Belgium WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Poland W
#15
L
62-67
62
67
-5
54avg 83
H08/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
136-28
136
28
+108
145avg 83
A12/11
European Championship Women
USA W
#1
L
79-81
79
81
-2
73avg 83
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
97-66
97
66
+31
97avg 83
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
78-61
78
61
+17
78avg 83
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
L
69-83
69
83
-14
63avg 83
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
74-87
74
87
-13
64avg 83
H01/08
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
85-58
85
58
+27
90avg 83
A04/08
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
79-66
79
66
+13
86avg 83
A07/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
80avg 83
A09/08
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
10-18
20-13
18-18
25-6
38-4
39-6
34-12
19-15
24-19
23-23
13-24
23-15
19-18
31-11
24-22
22-11
18-18
23-13
15-19
11-25
14-21
17-14
27-23
23-23
15-23
15-14
21-27
19-7
20-16
22-16
24-19
26-26
22-11
19-12
12-17
17-14
19-17
15-17
15-18
151.2Avg total
83.4Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.572.9152.4+6.650%
Season at home (3)83.071.3154.3+11.767%
Season away (5)77.473.8151.2+3.640%
Last 10 (10)83.467.8151.2+15.650%
Last 5 (5)76.475.0151.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.383.9155.1-12.60%
vs Similar ◀ (1)66.043.0109.0+23.0100%
vs Weaker (22)86.257.1143.3+29.191%
This opponent (Australia W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Australia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
China W
#1
L
60-74
60
74
-14
no box
A01/07
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
81-59
81
59
+22
no box
H02/07
Asia Cup Women
Brazil W
#15
W
60-55
60
55
+5
53avg 71
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
W
85-52
85
52
+33
83avg 71
H10/02
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 71
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
L
62-75
62
75
-13
58avg 71
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
70-65
70
65
+5
73avg 71
H01/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
W
79-72
79
72
+7
83avg 71
H04/08
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
85-67
85
67
+18
88avg 71
A07/08
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
64-85
64
85
-21
51avg 71
A09/08
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
21-17
11-18
17-21
22-14
17-14
24-17
18-14
19-16
14-7
16-24
11-8
24-10
30-14
21-21
10-7
12-22
23-12
16-14
24-25
17-18
11-23
19-10
15-24
18-16
20-16
13-12
19-21
19-17
15-17
25-16
20-22
26-19
22-13
24-16
13-19
16-20
11-25
13-21
24-19
139.8Avg total
72.1Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.568.0140.5+4.575%
Season at home (3)78.063.0141.0+15.0100%
Season away (5)69.271.0140.2-1.860%
Last 10 (10)72.167.7139.8+4.470%
Last 5 (5)72.072.8144.8-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.276.3142.5-10.217%
vs Similar ◀ (2)65.069.5134.5-4.550%
vs Weaker (22)81.960.5142.4+21.386%
This opponent (Belgium W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +8.5+8.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +8.5+8.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
Belgium WAustralia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Belgium WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland W
#15
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H08/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
63-10
63
10
+53
A12/11
European Championship Women
USA W
#1
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H01/08
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A04/08
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A07/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A09/08
Olympic Games Women
72.3Avg total
39.8Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.831.672.4+9.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.232.975.1+9.367%-
Last 30 away (15)39.530.369.7+9.267%-
Last 10 (10)39.832.572.3+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.673.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.340.675.9-5.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)41.027.068.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker (22)42.629.071.5+13.677%-
This opponent (Australia W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Australia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China W
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/07
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H02/07
Asia Cup Women
Brazil W
#15
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H10/02
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H01/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H04/08
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A07/08
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A09/08
Olympic Games Women
69.6Avg total
36.8Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.132.273.2+8.973%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.431.172.5+10.475%-
Last 30 away (14)40.633.474.1+7.271%-
Last 10 (10)36.832.869.6+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.871.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.038.371.3-5.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)35.033.568.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (22)43.830.474.2+13.591%-
This opponent (Belgium W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Belgium Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium W: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.125.1
58.2%
45.1%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.7
31.3%
30.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws12.39.1
74.0%
74.5%9.1
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Australia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia W: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.719.5
47.9%
45.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.2
32.9%
30.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws14.610.9
74.7%
74.5%10.9
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Aug 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Belgium W
LWWLLWWLWL
Australia W
LWWWLWWWWL
#7
League position
#3
+19.5
Net rating
+6.7
105.5
Offensive rating
95.7
86.1
Defensive rating
89.0
54.1%
Effective FG%
48.4%
43.4%
Opp. effective FG%
43.0%
19.8%
Turnover %
21.6%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.3%
3-point %
32.9%
82.9%
Assist %
68.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 95.7Defence86.1 · 89.0Shooting54.1% · 48.4%3-point %31.3% · 32.9%Ball care19.8% · 21.6%Off. rebounds28.9% · 27.7%Free throws0.18 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Belgium W   ■ Australia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Belgium W wins
1
Australia W wins
DateGameScore
29/09/22Belgium W v Australia W69-86
27/07/21Australia W v Belgium W70-85
Belgium Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/08/24AFrance W75-81 OT
07/08/24ASpain W79-66
04/08/24AJapan W85-58
01/08/24HUSA W74-87
29/07/24AGermany W69-83
11/02/24HNigeria W78-61
09/02/24HSenegal W97-66
08/02/24AUSA W79-81
12/11/23AAzerbaijan W136-28
08/11/23HPoland W62-67
Australia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/08/24AUSA W64-85
07/08/24ASerbia W85-67
04/08/24HFrance W79-72
01/08/24HCanada W70-65
29/07/24ANigeria W62-75
11/02/24ASerbia W75-73
10/02/24HGermany W85-52
08/02/24ABrazil W60-55
02/07/23HNew Zealand W81-59
01/07/23AChina W60-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belgium W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game79.583.077.4
Allowed / game72.971.373.8
Point differential+6.6+11.7+3.6
Avg total152.4154.3151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Australia W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %75%100%60%
Points / game72.578.069.2
Allowed / game68.063.071.0
Point differential+4.5+15.0-1.8
Avg total140.5141.0140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USA W880100%91.465.0+26.4
2 France W87188%81.457.8+23.6
3 Australia W86275%72.568.0+4.5
4 Spain W75271%71.072.1-1.1
5 Germany W74357%70.775.1-4.4
6 China W63350%79.571.2+8.3
7 Belgium W84450%79.572.9+6.6
8 Canada W94544%69.065.0+4.0
9 Serbia W73443%68.468.9-0.4
10 Nigeria W73443%65.976.9-11.0
11 Hungary W31233%69.371.7-2.3
12 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
13 Japan W62433%74.283.3-9.2
14 Puerto Rico W93633%62.974.9-12.0
15 Brazil W3030%63.768.3-4.7
16 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
17 Senegal W3030%56.790.0-33.3
18 New Zealand W3030%51.085.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Belgium W1917252081
Australia W2017232585
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