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Belgium W vs Sweden W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 93-78
23-24 20-20 23-21 27-13
Position#12
Record1-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game72.5
Belgium W 🏆
vs
Sweden W
Position#34
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game86.5
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 3· Dome Charleroi (Spiroudome)
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belgium W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sweden W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Belgium WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
97-24
97
24
+73
H06/02
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A09/02
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
W
81-52
81
52
+29
H19/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#19
W
87-53
87
53
+34
A20/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H22/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H25/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A27/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A29/06
European Championship Women
Finland W
#14
W
96-72
96
72
+24
H13/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#13
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A16/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-5
25-7
29-4
16-8
15-13
20-25
13-17
22-14
15-14
25-11
26-11
15-16
31-8
17-24
15-13
24-8
17-17
24-20
17-9
14-14
21-21
20-15
24-17
18-6
17-20
23-13
17-10
9-21
18-19
13-18
18-15
18-13
31-15
19-17
23-17
23-23
14-11
23-21
16-15
16-26
137.9Avg total
78.8Scored
59.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.572.5155.0+10.050%
Season at home (1)96.072.0168.0+24.0100%
Season away (1)69.073.0142.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)78.859.1137.9+19.790%
Last 5 (5)76.266.6142.8+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.083.0159.0-7.00%
vs Similar (2)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)83.059.0142.0+24.092%
This opponent (Sweden W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sweden WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denmark W
#28
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H12/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
82-52
82
52
+30
A07/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H10/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
98-72
98
72
+26
A06/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H09/02
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A19/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H20/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
75-78 OT
75
78
-3
H22/06
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#13
L
65-87
65
87
-22
H13/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#14
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A16/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
16-18
23-15
16-16
22-17
14-13
26-7
20-15
11-12
12-16
20-17
20-15
26-21
22-15
23-17
27-19
21-8
11-22
16-8
22-13
16-27
11-17
22-14
27-31
15-22
16-9
26-16
18-19
16-16
7-15
19-19
22-14
15-28
22-23
14-18
14-18
16-24
20-21
20-21
21-20
146.7Avg total
75.7Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.086.5157.5-15.50%
Season at home (1)65.087.0152.0-22.00%
Season away (1)77.086.0163.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)75.771.0146.7+4.760%
Last 5 (5)73.681.2154.8-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)62.875.5138.4-12.79%
vs Similar (7)61.067.1128.1-6.143%
vs Weaker (10)77.860.5138.3+17.380%
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.7+2.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.7+2.7
Belgium WSweden W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Belgium WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
52-12
52
12
+40
H06/02
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A09/02
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H19/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#19
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A20/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H22/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A27/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A29/06
European Championship Women
Finland W
#14
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H13/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#13
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A16/11
European Championship Women
72.9Avg total
41.5Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.032.173.0+8.973%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.832.875.6+10.080%-
Last 30 away (15)39.131.370.5+7.867%-
Last 10 (10)41.531.472.9+10.180%-
Last 5 (5)39.834.073.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.037.076.0+2.067%-
vs Similar (2)36.534.571.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.631.372.8+10.376%-
This opponent (Sweden W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sweden WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denmark W
#28
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A07/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H10/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A06/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H09/02
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A19/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H20/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H22/06
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#13
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H13/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#14
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A16/11
European Championship Women
69.4Avg total
33.0Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)31.932.864.8-0.946%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.832.565.3+0.347%-
Last 30 away (13)30.933.264.2-2.346%-
Last 10 (10)33.036.469.4-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)30.840.471.2-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)29.536.766.2-7.327%-
vs Similar (7)27.730.658.3-2.943%-
vs Weaker (10)37.630.167.7+7.570%-
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Belgium Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium W: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.9
54.6%
-43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.3
29.4%
-21.9
🏀 Free throws14.911.7
78.5%
-11.7
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sweden Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden W: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 23% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.115.8
44.9%
-31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.6
33.3%
-25.7
🏀 Free throws22.017.3
78.8%
-17.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Belgium W
LWWWWWWWWW
Sweden W
LLLWLWWWWW
#12
League position
#34
+26.1
Net rating
+12.0
106.9
Offensive rating
99.5
80.8
Defensive rating
87.5
50.6%
Effective FG%
47.1%
41.9%
Opp. effective FG%
44.3%
18.1%
Turnover %
20.0%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.4%
3-point %
33.3%
81.2%
Assist %
79.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Belgium W   ■ Sweden W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Belgium W wins
0
Sweden W wins
DateGameScore
09/02/20Sweden W v Belgium W53-61
Belgium Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25ALithuania W69-73
13/11/25HFinland W96-72
29/06/25ASpain W67-65
27/06/25AItaly W66-64
25/06/25HGermany W83-59
22/06/25HCzech Republic W72-60
20/06/25AMontenegro W87-53
19/06/25HPortugal W81-52
09/02/25ALithuania W70-69
06/02/25HAzerbaijan W97-24
Sweden Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25AFinland W77-86
13/11/25HLithuania W65-87
22/06/25HSpain W75-78 OT
20/06/25HGreat Britain W75-66
19/06/25AGermany W76-89
09/02/25HEstonia W70-51
06/02/25ADenmark W98-72
10/11/24HGreat Britain W63-60
07/11/24AEstonia W82-52
12/11/23HDenmark W76-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belgium W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game82.596.069.0
Allowed / game72.572.073.0
Point differential+10.0+24.0-4.0
Avg total155.0168.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sweden W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.065.077.0
Allowed / game86.587.086.0
Point differential-15.5-22.0-9.0
Avg total157.5152.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W110100%104.057.0+47.0
2 Poland W770100%78.152.1+26.0
3 Serbia W550100%81.661.6+20.0
4 Turkey W110100%79.062.0+17.0
5 Hungary W110100%70.064.0+6.0
6 Italy W110100%67.062.0+5.0
7 Spain W110100%73.071.0+2.0
8 Bulgaria W76186%92.160.0+32.1
9 Latvia W76186%79.963.4+16.4
10 Israel W76186%84.670.6+14.0
11 Great Britain W75271%77.469.3+8.1
12 Austria W75271%77.470.1+7.3
13 Lithuania W32167%78.070.0+8.0
14 Finland W32167%78.082.3-4.3
15 Montenegro W74357%76.662.9+13.7
16 Slovakia W74357%70.159.9+10.3
17 Greece W74357%88.378.4+9.9
18 Ukraine W74357%70.463.7+6.7
19 Croatia W74357%80.073.6+6.4
20 Slovenia W74357%76.671.0+5.6
21 Netherlands W74357%78.776.4+2.3
22 Belgium W21150%82.572.5+10.0
23 Denmark W73443%85.078.4+6.6
24 Luxembourg W73443%67.366.1+1.1
25 Portugal W52340%69.668.4+1.2
26 Switzerland W62433%69.773.2-3.5
27 Ireland W62433%73.580.3-6.8
28 Romania W62433%58.775.0-16.3
29 Iceland W41325%64.284.0-19.8
30 Bosnia & Herzegovina W61517%71.285.8-14.7
31 North Macedonia W61517%62.596.5-34.0
32 Czech Republic W1010%71.073.0-2.0
33 Germany W1010%64.070.0-6.0
34 Sweden W2020%71.086.5-15.5
35 Estonia W6060%62.086.8-24.8
36 Norway W6060%51.075.8-24.8
37 Cyprus W6060%54.280.2-26.0
38 Azerbaijan W6060%45.7105.0-59.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 38 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Belgium W2320232793
Sweden W2420211378
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