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Belmont vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 83-66
38-26 45-40
Position#128
Record18-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game76.6
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#225
Record15-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Belmont v Evansville
25 Feb 2026
BELM98
EVAN64
02 Feb 2025
BELM75
EVAN80
03 Mar 2024
BELM83
EVAN66
15 Feb 2023
BELM95
EVAN63
13 Nov 2021
BELM81
EVAN43
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H27/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H01/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A03/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
96-78
96
78
+18
A10/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A18/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A22/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H24/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
83-61
83
61
+22
A29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-25
52-40
45-37
27-41
37-36
43-51
34-33
35-31
54-27
42-51
37-31
45-37
46-32
29-28
36-46
33-38
46-38
47-40
38-30
45-31
151.6Avg total
79.3Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.076.6154.6+1.360%
Season at home (14)78.670.4148.9+8.286%
Season away (16)77.482.1159.6-4.738%
Last 10 (10)79.372.3151.6+7.070%
Last 5 (5)80.470.2150.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.087.9162.9-12.914%
vs Similar (18)77.474.7152.2+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)81.870.0151.8+11.8100%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#240
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H01/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A03/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A18/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H25/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-21
31-33
37-30
40-30
30-32
33-30
32-27
41-43
27-32
43-41
37-37
38-41
36-44
43-42
36-36
43-52
26-24
27-41
31-40
36-45
141.5Avg total
69.4Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)72.673.8146.3-1.250%
Season at home (15)75.868.9144.7+6.967%
Season away (15)69.378.7148.0-9.333%
Last 10 (10)69.472.1141.5-2.740%
Last 5 (5)70.680.4151.0-9.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)68.879.8148.6-11.036%
vs Similar (10)70.673.1143.7-2.540%
vs Weaker (6)84.760.8145.5+23.8100%
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -2.3-2.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -2.3-2.3
BelmontEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H27/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A03/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
54-27
54
27
+27
A10/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A18/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H24/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A29/02
NCAA
73.0Avg total
39.5Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.536.675.1+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.434.074.4+6.479%-
Last 30 away (16)36.838.975.8-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)39.533.573.0+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)40.635.476.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.143.480.6-6.329%-
vs Similar (18)37.035.772.7+1.361%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)43.229.873.0+13.5100%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#240
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A03/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A10/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A18/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H29/02
NCAA
64.2Avg total
31.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.034.868.8-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.132.167.1+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)32.937.570.4-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)31.932.364.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.269.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)31.837.669.4-5.836%-
vs Similar (10)30.933.664.5-2.730%-
vs Weaker (6)44.230.374.5+13.883%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Belmont wins
0
Evansville wins
DateGameScore
16/02/23Belmont v Evansville95-63
26/01/23Evansville v Belmont64-73
13/11/21Belmont v Evansville81-43
22/12/20Evansville v Belmont63-72
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/24AMurray State83-61
24/02/24HMissouri State93-78
22/02/24ADrake69-84
18/02/24AIllinois (Chi.)75-60
15/02/24HSouthern Illinois82-68
10/02/24AValparaiso96-78
08/02/24HMurray State69-64
03/02/24AMissouri State80-87
01/02/24HIndiana State72-78
27/01/24HIllinois (Chi.)74-65
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/24HIndiana State67-85
25/02/24HSouthern Illinois53-65
22/02/24AIllinois (Chi.)79-88
18/02/24AIllinois State79-86
14/02/24HDrake75-78
10/02/24AMurray State70-73
08/02/24HBradley73-70
03/02/24AValparaiso63-62
01/02/24HIllinois (Chi.)77-60
27/01/24HIllinois State58-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLWWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %60%86%38%
Points / game78.078.677.4
Allowed / game76.670.482.1
Point differential+1.3+8.2-4.7
Avg total154.6148.9159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Evansville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeWWLLL67%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game72.675.869.3
Allowed / game73.868.978.7
Point differential-1.2+6.9-9.3
Avg total146.3144.7148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)80% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State3126584%84.572.0+12.5
2 Drake3125681%80.770.7+10.0
3 Bradley31211068%74.867.5+7.3
4 Southern Illinois31191261%72.467.7+4.6
5 Belmont30181260%78.076.6+1.3
6 Northern Iowa31181358%73.570.6+2.8
7 Evansville30151550%72.673.8-1.2
8 Illinois State31151648%66.967.9-1.0
9 Murray State31121939%70.970.2+0.6
10 Illinois (Chi.)31112035%70.671.1-0.5
11 Valparaiso3172423%67.875.2-7.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont384583
Evansville264066
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