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Belmont vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 69-64
34-33 35-31
Position#128
Record12-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game78.5
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#296
Record9-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Belmont v Murray State
31 Jan 2026
BELM103
MURR86
02 Mar 2025
BELM70
MURR60
07 Feb 2024
BELM69
MURR64
17 Jan 2023
BELM80
MURR65
15 Jan 2022
BELM60
MURR82
30 Dec 2020
BELM68
MURR55
07 Mar 2020
BELM76
MURR75
06 Feb 2020
BELM71
MURR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#131
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A03/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H11/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
64-94
64
94
-30
A13/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A20/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H27/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H01/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-34
32-39
42-29
45-36
34-34
33-26
32-48
32-46
40-39
32-44
34-44
38-51
30-41
37-36
22-25
52-40
45-37
27-41
37-36
43-51
149.5Avg total
71.8Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.078.5155.6-1.552%
Season at home (11)77.870.5148.3+7.482%
Season away (12)76.385.9162.2-9.625%
Last 10 (10)71.877.7149.5-5.930%
Last 5 (5)73.080.4153.4-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.987.0163.9-10.122%
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.176.8151.9-1.750%
vs Weaker (6)84.568.5153.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H03/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A06/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
77-53
77
53
+24
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A25/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H27/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
71-43
71
43
+28
A03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-43
42-30
31-20
50-39
42-19
35-34
27-25
33-45
33-31
40-27
28-25
35-47
34-44
29-27
38-30
20-30
26-24
33-37
35-18
36-25
131.0Avg total
69.0Scored
62.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)70.467.8138.2+2.739%
Season at home (13)69.769.1138.8+0.638%
Season away (10)71.466.1137.5+5.340%
Last 10 (10)69.062.0131.0+7.050%
Last 5 (5)62.861.4124.2+1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)67.077.1144.1-10.18%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.163.7133.9+6.457%
vs Weaker (4)79.560.5140.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +1.2+1.2
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +1.2+1.2
BelmontMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#131
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H11/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A13/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A20/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H27/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A03/02
NCAA
71.4Avg total
34.7Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.175.9-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.736.177.9+5.667%-
Last 30 away (15)33.940.174.0-6.133%-
Last 10 (10)34.736.771.4-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)33.636.670.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.444.881.2-8.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.636.672.2-1.143%-
vs Weaker (6)42.332.274.5+10.2100%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
31-20
31
20
+11
A06/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
42-19
42
19
+23
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H27/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
35-18
35
18
+17
A03/02
NCAA
61.6Avg total
33.7Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.332.266.5+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.931.266.1+3.875%-
Last 30 away (14)33.533.466.9+0.143%-
Last 10 (10)33.727.961.6+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)32.228.260.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.837.271.1-3.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.628.962.5+4.671%-
vs Weaker (4)38.028.566.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Belmont wins
4
Murray State wins
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24AMissouri State80-87
01/02/24HIndiana State72-78
27/01/24HIllinois (Chi.)74-65
24/01/24AIllinois State67-77
20/01/24ABradley72-95
18/01/24HNorthern Iowa72-83
13/01/24AIndiana State64-94
11/01/24HIllinois State67-60
07/01/24HDrake87-65
03/01/24ASouthern Illinois63-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24ANorthern Iowa71-43
31/01/24HIllinois State59-61
27/01/24HSouthern Illinois58-60
25/01/24ABradley63-71
21/01/24HIndiana State63-72
18/01/24AIllinois (Chi.)73-58
14/01/24HNorthern Iowa60-70
11/01/24AMissouri State77-53
06/01/24AEvansville81-59
03/01/24HIllinois (Chi.)85-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL52%
HomeWWLWL82%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%82%25%
Points / game77.077.876.3
Allowed / game78.570.585.9
Point differential-1.5+7.4-9.6
Avg total155.6148.3162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%27%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Murray State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW39%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayWWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %39%38%40%
Points / game70.469.771.4
Allowed / game67.869.166.1
Point differential+2.7+0.6+5.3
Avg total138.2138.8137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%23%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (7)0% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %4%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State2421388%86.172.0+14.2
2 Drake2318578%79.167.8+11.3
3 Bradley2317674%76.067.4+8.6
4 Southern Illinois2315865%72.665.3+7.3
5 Evansville2314961%73.172.5+0.6
6 Northern Iowa23121152%72.571.4+1.1
7 Belmont23121152%77.078.5-1.5
8 Illinois State23111248%65.867.8-2.0
9 Murray State2391439%70.467.8+2.7
10 Illinois (Chi.)2381535%69.568.7+0.7
11 Valparaiso2461825%67.673.5-5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont343569
Murray State333164
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