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Missouri State vs Belmont Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 87-80
36-37 51-43
Position#198
Record13-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game70.4
vs
Position#128
Record12-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game78.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Missouri State v Belmont
26 Feb 2025
MISS65
BELM74
03 Feb 2024
MISS87
BELM80
08 Feb 2023
MISS61
BELM59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belmont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Marys (CA)
#24
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A24/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H04/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A06/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
53-77
53
77
-24
H11/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A14/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A17/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
60-69
60
69
-9
H20/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A27/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-32
38-32
29-33
33-31
28-42
32-44
19-42
34-35
36-35
38-29
30-44
36-44
33-42
27-27
29-42
36-23
40-37
41-33
31-42
32-21
142.1Avg total
68.4Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.570.4141.8+1.159%
Season at home (11)74.168.1142.2+6.073%
Season away (11)68.872.6141.5-3.845%
Last 10 (10)68.473.7142.1-5.350%
Last 5 (5)73.276.4149.6-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.474.1140.5-7.850%
vs Similar ◀ (15)69.365.8135.1+3.560%
vs Weaker (7)74.966.0140.9+8.971%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#186
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A03/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H11/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
64-94
64
94
-30
A13/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A20/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H27/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-43
36-27
31-34
32-39
42-29
45-36
34-34
33-26
32-48
32-46
40-39
32-44
34-44
38-51
30-41
37-36
22-25
52-40
45-37
27-41
147.2Avg total
71.2Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.978.1155.0-1.255%
Season at home (11)77.870.5148.3+7.482%
Season away (11)76.085.8161.8-9.827%
Last 10 (10)71.276.0147.2-4.840%
Last 5 (5)71.479.6151.0-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.987.0163.9-10.122%
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.776.0150.7-1.354%
vs Weaker (7)85.369.4154.7+15.9100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -8.5-8.51st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -2.2-2.2
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -8.5-8.51st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -2.2-2.2
Missouri StateBelmont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Marys (CA)
#24
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A24/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H04/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A06/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
19-42
19
42
-23
H11/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A17/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H20/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H25/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A01/02
NCAA
69.7Avg total
30.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.732.866.5+0.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.532.167.6+3.573%-
Last 30 away (15)31.833.565.3-1.753%-
Last 10 (10)30.639.169.7-8.520%-
Last 5 (5)32.641.474.0-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.237.566.8-8.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.832.468.2+3.480%-
vs Weaker (7)34.128.362.4+5.986%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#186
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H11/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A13/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A20/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H27/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H01/02
NCAA
72.2Avg total
34.8Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.076.1+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.935.977.8+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)33.740.474.1-6.629%-
Last 10 (10)34.837.472.2-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)34.237.271.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.444.881.2-8.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.536.772.2-1.238%-
vs Weaker (7)42.632.374.9+10.3100%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Missouri State wins
1
Belmont wins
DateGameScore
09/02/23Missouri State v Belmont61-59
07/01/23Belmont v Missouri State74-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24ASouthern Illinois76-75 OT
27/01/24AValparaiso81-70
25/01/24HDrake83-80 OT
20/01/24HIllinois State60-69
17/01/24AIndiana State66-88
14/01/24AEvansville74-64
11/01/24HMurray State53-77
06/01/24ABradley60-86
04/01/24HNorthern Iowa62-64
24/12/23ASt. Marys (CA)69-64
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24HIndiana State72-78
27/01/24HIllinois (Chi.)74-65
24/01/24AIllinois State67-77
20/01/24ABradley72-95
18/01/24HNorthern Iowa72-83
13/01/24AIndiana State64-94
11/01/24HIllinois State67-60
07/01/24HDrake87-65
03/01/24ASouthern Illinois63-73
21/12/23HArkansas State74-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW59%
HomeWLLLW73%
AwayLWLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%73%45%
Points / game71.574.168.8
Allowed / game70.468.172.6
Point differential+1.1+6.0-3.8
Avg total141.8142.2141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%45%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %14%9%18%
Belmont
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL55%
HomeWWLWL82%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%82%27%
Points / game76.977.876.0
Allowed / game78.170.585.8
Point differential-1.2+7.4-9.8
Avg total155.0148.3161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%27%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech2216673%76.262.7+13.5
2 Western Kentucky2114767%80.475.3+5.1
3 Liberty2213959%75.664.5+11.2
4 Delaware2213959%75.570.1+5.4
5 Kennesaw State2213959%84.979.8+5.1
6 Missouri State2213959%71.570.4+1.1
7 Sam Houston St.2213959%71.871.2+0.6
8 UTEP22121055%73.869.4+4.5
9 Jacksonville State22111150%70.864.5+6.2
10 New Mexico State22101245%69.971.8-1.9
11 Middle Tenn. St.2181338%63.866.3-2.5
12 Florida International2271532%75.278.0-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State2219386%86.072.7+13.3
2 Drake2218482%79.767.5+12.2
3 Bradley2216673%76.267.8+8.4
4 Southern Illinois2214864%72.565.0+7.5
5 Evansville2213959%73.573.0+0.5
6 Northern Iowa22121055%73.871.4+2.4
7 Belmont22121055%76.978.1-1.2
8 Illinois State22111150%66.167.6-1.5
9 Murray State2281436%70.468.9+1.5
10 Illinois (Chi.)2281436%69.468.5+0.9
11 Valparaiso2261627%68.172.7-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State365187
Belmont374380
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