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Valparaiso vs Belmont Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 78-96
27-54 51-42
Position#355
Record6-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Belmont 🏆
USA
Position#128
Record13-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game77.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valparaiso v Belmont
21 Jan 2027
VALP v BELM
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
VALP77
BELM78
12 Feb 2025
VALP101
BELM86
10 Feb 2024
VALP78
BELM96
10 Jan 2023
VALP59
BELM74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A14/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A18/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H20/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H27/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H03/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
61-101
61
101
-40
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-42
28-28
24-44
44-33
28-20
31-30
38-40
37-38
34-39
50-38
34-29
35-46
37-40
33-41
30-41
40-40
32-30
30-33
36-50
25-51
143.5Avg total
68.2Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)67.673.5141.0-5.925%
Season at home (13)69.070.8139.8-1.838%
Season away (11)65.976.6142.5-10.79%
Last 10 (10)68.275.3143.5-7.120%
Last 5 (5)66.480.2146.6-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)66.474.1140.5-7.721%
vs Similar (4)70.076.2146.2-6.225%
vs Weaker (2)78.063.5141.5+14.550%
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#15
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H11/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
64-94
64
94
-30
A13/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A20/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H27/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H01/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A03/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-29
45-36
34-34
33-26
32-48
32-46
40-39
32-44
34-44
38-51
30-41
37-36
22-25
52-40
45-37
27-41
37-36
43-51
34-33
35-31
149.2Avg total
72.4Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.777.9154.6-1.254%
Season at home (12)77.169.9147.0+7.283%
Season away (12)76.385.9162.2-9.625%
Last 10 (10)72.476.8149.2-4.440%
Last 5 (5)72.474.2146.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.987.0163.9-10.122%
vs Similar (14)75.877.0152.8-1.257%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.568.5153.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.6-4.61st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.6-4.61st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: -2.8-2.8
ValparaisoBelmont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
28-20
28
20
+8
A14/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H20/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H27/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H03/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A08/02
NCAA
70.4Avg total
32.9Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.335.567.8-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.533.465.9-0.938%-
Last 30 away (14)32.037.969.9-5.921%-
Last 10 (10)32.937.570.4-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.071.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)31.136.367.4-5.325%-
vs Similar (4)33.837.571.2-3.825%-
vs Weaker (2)43.522.065.5+21.5100%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#15
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H11/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A13/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A20/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H27/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A03/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H08/02
NCAA
71.6Avg total
35.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.075.9-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.235.977.2+5.369%-
Last 30 away (14)34.040.474.4-6.436%-
Last 10 (10)35.036.671.6-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.634.468.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.444.881.2-8.322%-
vs Similar (14)35.636.572.1-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.332.274.5+10.2100%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
3
Belmont wins
DateGameScore
02/12/23Belmont v Valparaiso77-68
11/01/23Valparaiso v Belmont59-74
02/12/22Belmont v Valparaiso76-64
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24AIndiana State61-101
03/02/24HEvansville62-63
01/02/24ADrake70-81
27/01/24HMissouri State70-81
25/01/24ASouthern Illinois69-75
20/01/24HIllinois (Chi.)84-77
18/01/24AEvansville75-78
14/01/24AIllinois State59-50
11/01/24HSouthern Illinois68-77
07/01/24AIllinois (Chi.)64-70
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24HMurray State69-64
03/02/24AMissouri State80-87
01/02/24HIndiana State72-78
27/01/24HIllinois (Chi.)74-65
24/01/24AIllinois State67-77
20/01/24ABradley72-95
18/01/24HNorthern Iowa72-83
13/01/24AIndiana State64-94
11/01/24HIllinois State67-60
07/01/24HDrake87-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayWLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %25%38%9%
Points / game67.669.065.9
Allowed / game73.570.876.6
Point differential-5.9-1.8-10.7
Avg total141.0139.8142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Belmont
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW54%
HomeWLWLW83%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %54%83%25%
Points / game76.777.176.3
Allowed / game77.969.985.9
Point differential-1.2+7.2-9.6
Avg total154.6147.0162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State2522388%85.671.9+13.7
2 Drake2419579%79.768.6+11.0
3 Bradley2417771%75.867.7+8.1
4 Southern Illinois2415962%73.266.4+6.9
5 Evansville2415962%73.172.4+0.7
6 Northern Iowa24131154%72.571.1+1.3
7 Belmont24131154%76.777.9-1.2
8 Illinois State24111346%65.467.5-2.1
9 Murray State2491538%70.267.8+2.3
10 Illinois (Chi.)2491538%69.168.2+0.9
11 Valparaiso2461825%67.673.5-5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso275178
Belmont544296
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