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Belmont vs Middle Tenn. St. Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#119
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game62.2
vs
Position#137
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game76.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Belmont v Middle Tenn. St.
05 Dec 2026
BELM v MIDD
upcoming
07 Dec 2024
BELM82
MIDD79
10 Dec 2022
BELM75
MIDD85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H13/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H22/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
98-64
98
64
+34
H26/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
79-100
79
100
-21
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#299
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H03/11
NCAA
Centre College
#415
W
75-45
75
45
+30
H06/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#181
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Furman
#79
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-45
46-41
24-39
63-31
39-25
48-45
44-29
54-35
40-38
34-43
41-48
38-52
27-14
45-40
33-26
42-19
32-40
43-48
30-33
42-29
153.0Avg total
81.0Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.562.2135.8+11.275%
Season at home (3)73.053.7126.7+19.3100%
Season away (1)75.088.0163.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)81.072.0153.0+9.070%
Last 5 (5)74.669.8144.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.062.0134.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (8)79.269.9149.1+9.488%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.277.7161.9+6.570%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H21/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H27/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A06/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A12/03
NCAA
Fisk
#477
W
117-73
117
73
+44
H02/11
NCAA
Kansas
#10
L
45-89
45
89
-44
A07/11
NCAA
Evansville
#230
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#223
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-20
47-46
34-26
43-41
36-42
40-34
33-34
40-33
37-27
38-36
25-39
44-41
52-32
65-41
14-36
31-53
27-20
46-48
50-32
38-43
151.4Avg total
78.1Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.876.2157.0+4.575%
Season at home (3)92.772.0164.7+20.7100%
Season away (1)45.089.0134.0-44.00%
Last 10 (10)78.173.3151.4+4.880%
Last 5 (5)78.477.0155.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)65.677.0142.6-11.433%
vs Similar (14)74.670.9145.5+3.657%
vs Weaker (6)85.574.3159.8+11.267%
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +1.6+1.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +1.6+1.6
BelmontMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H13/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#299
W
27-14
27
14
+13
H03/11
NCAA
Centre College
#415
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H06/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#181
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A11/11
NCAA
Furman
#79
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H15/11
NCAA
69.2Avg total
35.5Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.572.1+3.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.935.073.9+3.969%-
Last 30 away (14)36.134.070.1+2.179%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.769.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.632.264.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.033.063.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (8)37.233.871.0+3.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.435.473.7+3.075%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H21/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H27/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A12/03
NCAA
Fisk
#477
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H02/11
NCAA
Kansas
#10
L
14-36
14
36
-22
A07/11
NCAA
Evansville
#230
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H11/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#223
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H14/11
NCAA
64.7Avg total
33.9Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.668.3+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.231.967.1+3.450%-
Last 30 away (14)33.935.669.6-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)33.930.864.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)33.631.865.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)31.937.068.9-5.122%-
vs Similar (14)35.133.268.3+1.936%-
vs Weaker (6)38.529.367.8+9.2100%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Belmont wins
1
Middle Tenn. St. wins
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HFurman72-62
11/11/26ALipscomb75-88
06/11/26HCentre College75-45
03/11/26HSouthern Indiana72-54
06/03/26HDrake79-100
01/03/26AIllinois State74-81
26/02/26HEvansville98-64
22/02/26HIndiana State87-70
15/02/26AMurray State87-70
13/02/26HNorthern Iowa91-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSoutheast Missouri State88-75
11/11/26HEvansville73-68
07/11/26AKansas45-89
02/11/26HFisk117-73
12/03/26ALouisiana Tech69-80
07/03/26AMissouri State75-63
06/03/26AFlorida International73-67
28/02/26HNew Mexico State86-85 OT
27/02/26HUTEP77-67
21/02/26HDelaware78-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game73.573.075.0
Allowed / game62.253.788.0
Point differential+11.2+19.3-13.0
Avg total135.8126.7163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game80.892.745.0
Allowed / game76.272.089.0
Point differential+4.5+20.7-44.0
Avg total157.0164.7134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State440100%95.564.8+30.8
2 Missouri State330100%85.361.3+24.0
3 Florida International330100%91.771.0+20.7
4 Western Kentucky43175%84.263.5+20.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.876.2+4.5
6 Liberty32167%81.364.0+17.3
7 UTEP32167%71.767.3+4.3
8 Delaware42250%73.561.5+12.0
9 Louisiana Tech42250%69.863.2+6.5
10 Jacksonville State42250%80.075.5+4.5
11 Sam Houston St.42250%86.885.0+1.8
12 New Mexico State31233%66.378.3-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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