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Belmont vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 80-65
34-30 46-35
Position#79
Record13-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game70.3
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#182
Record10-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game68.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Belmont v Murray State
31 Jan 2026
BELM103
MURR86
02 Mar 2025
BELM70
MURR60
07 Feb 2024
BELM69
MURR64
17 Jan 2023
BELM80
MURR65
15 Jan 2022
BELM60
MURR82
30 Dec 2020
BELM68
MURR55
07 Mar 2020
BELM76
MURR75
06 Feb 2020
BELM71
MURR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trevecca Nazarene
#511
W
83-53
83
53
+30
H07/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
75-85 OT
75
85
-10
H10/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
83-79 OT
83
79
+4
A18/12
NCAA
Samford
#78
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H22/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
45-63
45
63
-18
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A05/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H07/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-26
37-27
30-30
40-40
30-31
38-37
38-26
41-30
34-38
29-22
28-23
17-40
35-31
42-40
37-35
37-26
38-30
36-29
44-31
32-41
138.8Avg total
72.9Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.370.3144.6+4.168%
Season at home (10)77.368.2145.5+9.180%
Season away (9)71.072.6143.6-1.656%
Last 10 (10)72.965.9138.8+7.080%
Last 5 (5)69.265.2134.4+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.075.0135.0-15.033%
vs Similar (12)70.267.8138.1+2.458%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)79.567.2146.7+12.393%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#240
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A10/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H17/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A22/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A01/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H05/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A07/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-32
33-37
27-42
39-23
27-29
41-31
26-44
41-39
23-26
34-37
41-21
37-40
34-27
33-31
29-44
35-38
27-28
40-47
39-28
42-36
135.3Avg total
67.3Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)71.068.9139.9+2.156%
Season at home (8)71.062.6133.6+8.475%
Season away (10)71.073.9144.9-2.940%
Last 10 (10)67.368.0135.3-0.750%
Last 5 (5)71.468.0139.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)68.373.7142.0-5.333%
vs Similar (8)69.470.5139.9-1.150%
vs Weaker (16)74.861.6136.4+13.294%
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +1.6+1.6
BelmontMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trevecca Nazarene
#511
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H07/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H10/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A18/12
NCAA
Samford
#78
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H29/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A05/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H07/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H14/01
NCAA
66.1Avg total
36.0Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.231.966.1+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.131.166.2+4.062%-
Last 30 away (14)33.132.865.9+0.457%-
Last 10 (10)36.030.166.1+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)36.430.066.4+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.336.766.0-7.30%-
vs Similar (12)32.431.664.0+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)36.530.667.1+5.986%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#240
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H14/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H17/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A22/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A01/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H05/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A07/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H14/01
NCAA
61.9Avg total
29.8Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.531.064.6+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.229.165.3+7.160%-
Last 30 away (15)30.932.963.8-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)29.832.161.9-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.029.663.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)30.733.263.8-2.550%-
vs Similar (8)30.533.063.5-2.538%-
vs Weaker (16)36.129.265.4+6.950%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Belmont wins
3
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
25/02/22Murray State v Belmont76-43
15/01/22Belmont v Murray State60-82
31/01/21Murray State v Belmont71-72
31/12/20Belmont v Murray State68-55
08/03/20Belmont v Murray State76-75
07/02/20Belmont v Murray State71-64
24/01/20Murray State v Belmont85-75
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23HNorthern Iowa76-72
11/01/23AValparaiso74-59
07/01/23HMissouri State74-61
05/01/23AIllinois (Chi.)77-71
01/01/23ASouthern Illinois45-63
29/12/22HBradley63-60
22/12/22HSamford79-56
18/12/22AChattanooga Mocs83-79 OT
10/12/22HMiddle Tenn. St.75-85 OT
07/12/22HTrevecca Nazarene83-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)81-64
11/01/23ANorthern Iowa67-75
07/01/23ADrake64-82
05/01/23HBradley67-58
01/01/23AEvansville78-61
30/12/22HSouthern Illinois57-63
22/12/22AMiddle Tenn. St.67-83
17/12/22HAustin Peay68-60
14/12/22HChicago State66-65
10/12/22ABellarmine58-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW68%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%80%56%
Points / game74.377.371.0
Allowed / game70.368.272.6
Point differential+4.1+9.1-1.6
Avg total144.6145.5143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %11%10%11%
Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game71.071.071.0
Allowed / game68.962.673.9
Point differential+2.1+8.4-2.9
Avg total139.9133.6144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %11%12%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Illinois2015575%67.460.7+6.7
2 Drake1914574%73.463.6+9.8
3 Indiana State1913668%78.869.0+9.8
4 Belmont1913668%74.370.3+4.1
5 Bradley1912763%70.460.3+10.1
6 Murray State1810856%71.068.9+2.1
7 Northern Iowa189950%70.066.2+3.8
8 Illinois (Chi.)2091145%66.870.2-3.4
9 Illinois State1981142%66.468.2-1.8
10 Valparaiso2081240%68.573.3-4.8
11 Evansville2041620%61.974.2-12.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont344680
Murray State303565
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