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Belmont vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 76-75
33-32 43-43
Position#30
Record21-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game68.3
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Murray State
USA
Position#47
Record20-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game64.8
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Belmont v Murray State
31 Jan 2026
BELM103
MURR86
02 Mar 2025
BELM70
MURR60
07 Feb 2024
BELM69
MURR64
17 Jan 2023
BELM80
MURR65
15 Jan 2022
BELM60
MURR82
30 Dec 2020
BELM68
MURR55
07 Mar 2020
BELM76
MURR75
06 Feb 2020
BELM71
MURR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#242
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Murray State
#47
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H07/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
74-51
74
51
+23
H14/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
W
101-84
101
84
+17
H15/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#291
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A21/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
83-70
83
70
+13
A23/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#301
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H28/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A01/03
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-31
41-33
32-26
39-38
32-30
39-33
34-28
40-23
48-38
53-46
34-25
46-42
42-30
41-40
38-30
27-32
40-30
32-35
30-21
30-29
139.5Avg total
75.5Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.168.3146.4+9.875%
Season at home (13)79.261.4140.6+17.892%
Season away (15)77.174.3151.5+2.860%
Last 10 (10)75.564.0139.5+11.5100%
Last 5 (5)72.062.8134.8+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.071.0128.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)72.074.2146.2-2.233%
vs Weaker (21)78.667.2145.8+11.386%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
74-55
74
55
+19
H02/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A07/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A09/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A14/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#291
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H15/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H28/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H01/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-26
39-29
26-32
38-39
33-29
40-36
34-35
34-36
45-32
40-25
32-17
28-46
36-19
23-39
29-29
45-33
36-33
39-28
36-29
37-32
132.9Avg total
70.5Scored
62.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.664.8139.3+9.874%
Season at home (15)76.160.9137.1+15.287%
Season away (12)72.669.6142.2+3.058%
Last 10 (10)70.562.4132.9+8.170%
Last 5 (5)68.261.0129.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)73.067.8140.8+5.260%
vs Weaker (23)74.765.1139.9+9.674%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +2.0+2.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +2.0+2.0
BelmontMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#242
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Murray State
#47
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H07/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H08/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H14/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H15/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#291
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A21/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A23/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#301
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A01/03
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H07/03
NCAA
65.6Avg total
36.7Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.830.967.7+5.987%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.028.865.8+8.292%-
Last 30 away (17)36.632.669.2+4.182%-
Last 10 (10)36.728.965.6+7.8100%-
Last 5 (5)36.827.264.0+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)26.030.056.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.231.867.0+3.3100%-
vs Weaker (21)37.331.068.3+6.386%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H02/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A07/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A14/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#291
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H15/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
W
32-17
32
17
+15
A21/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A22/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H28/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H07/03
NCAA
62.3Avg total
34.2Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.929.965.8+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.230.268.4+8.176%-
Last 30 away (13)32.929.562.5+3.462%-
Last 10 (10)34.228.162.3+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)33.825.459.2+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)32.632.865.4-0.240%-
vs Weaker (23)36.329.365.6+7.074%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Belmont wins
1
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
07/02/20Belmont v Murray State71-64
24/01/20Murray State v Belmont85-75
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HEastern Kentucky60-50
01/03/20ATennessee State72-65
28/02/20HTennessee Tech65-62
23/02/20AEastern Kentucky83-70
21/02/20AMorehead State80-67
15/02/20HJacksonville State101-84
14/02/20HTennessee State74-51
08/02/20HAustin Peay71-63
07/02/20HMurray State71-64
01/02/20AJacksonville State78-64
Murray Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HAustin Peay73-61
01/03/20HAustin Peay75-61
28/02/20HEastern Kentucky74-62
22/02/20ASiu Edwardsville59-58
21/02/20AEastern Illinois60-63
15/02/20HMorehead State85-57
14/02/20AAustin Peay68-71
09/02/20ATennessee State73-65
07/02/20ABelmont64-71
02/02/20HSiu Edwardsville74-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %75%92%60%
Points / game78.179.277.1
Allowed / game68.361.474.3
Point differential+9.8+17.8+2.8
Avg total146.4140.6151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayLWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %74%87%58%
Points / game74.676.172.6
Allowed / game64.860.969.6
Point differential+9.8+15.2+3.0
Avg total139.3137.1142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%80%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (1)50% (8)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa2519676%75.665.6+10.0
2 Belmont2821775%78.168.3+9.8
3 Murray State2720774%74.664.8+9.8
4 Indiana State2618869%68.664.8+3.8
5 Bradley29191066%70.866.2+4.6
6 Drake30171357%68.068.5-0.5
7 Illinois (Chi.)29161355%70.868.4+2.3
8 Southern Illinois26141254%62.462.0+0.4
9 Valparaiso30161453%71.770.7+1.1
10 Illinois State2882029%65.470.1-4.7
11 Evansville2862221%66.375.0-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont334376
Murray State324375
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