PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Canberra Capitals W vs Sydney W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 71-86
17-16 19-22 14-16 21-32
Position#4
Record7-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game85.2
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
vs
Sydney W 🏆
Australia
Position#5
Record7-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game83.5
AustraliaNBL WRound 11· AIS Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W
27 Dec 2025
CANB61
SYDN91
15 Nov 2025
CANB96
SYDN56
09 Feb 2025
CANB71
SYDN86
30 Jan 2025
CANB88
SYDN92
08 Dec 2023
CANB70
SYDN72
10 Dec 2022
CANB80
SYDN92
28 Jan 2022
CANB86
SYDN54
05 Jan 2022
CANB v SYDN
upcoming
25 Nov 2020
CANB v SYDN
upcoming
26 Jan 2020
CANB82
SYDN66
02 Nov 2019
CANB91
SYDN66
04 Nov 2018
CANB84
SYDN79
07 Dec 2017
CANB67
SYDN73
04 Nov 2017
CANB72
SYDN81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
67-68
67
68
-1
54avg 68
A15/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
48-81
48
81
-33
28avg 68
A21/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
66avg 68
H29/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 68
A03/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
89-69
89
69
+20
99avg 68
H05/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
86avg 68
H11/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
71-105
71
105
-34
59avg 68
A18/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
94-79
94
79
+15
86avg 68
H25/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
73avg 68
H30/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
91-77
91
77
+14
85avg 68
A01/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
13-22
19-19
20-10
10-18
17-17
4-23
17-23
23-18
23-21
18-27
16-23
16-22
28-21
21-23
23-11
27-15
18-20
23-9
21-25
28-14
15-21
23-18
25-23
27-30
13-23
18-31
13-21
24-20
24-20
21-19
25-20
30-28
15-16
19-19
16-17
28-25
18-16
24-13
21-23
162.0Avg total
80.7Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.485.2164.5-5.837%
Season at home (9)85.285.0170.2+0.244%
Season away (10)74.185.3159.4-11.230%
Last 10 (10)80.781.3162.0-0.650%
Last 5 (5)87.085.8172.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)74.787.8162.5-13.216%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.585.1168.6-1.638%
vs Weaker (3)84.368.7153.0+15.7100%
This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sydney WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#3
L
73-98
73
98
-25
58avg 72
A18/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
73-86
73
86
-13
57avg 72
H22/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
99-91
99
91
+8
100avg 72
H30/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
71-92
71
92
-21
64avg 72
H02/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
62-80
62
80
-18
52avg 72
A12/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
70-90
70
90
-20
63avg 72
A17/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
84-60
84
60
+24
79avg 72
H19/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 72
A22/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
83-105
83
105
-22
77avg 72
H25/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
80avg 72
A30/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-33
15-30
28-23
17-12
25-18
18-13
19-21
11-34
29-31
24-15
20-19
26-26
24-31
17-25
12-26
18-10
21-28
13-17
14-24
14-11
27-22
19-24
16-32
8-12
30-9
15-18
23-19
16-14
14-25
20-33
15-13
26-18
24-28
23-24
10-39
26-14
28-30
16-15
19-19
17-16
166.1Avg total
78.2Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.883.5162.3-4.739%
Season at home (9)84.382.1166.4+2.256%
Season away (9)73.384.9158.2-11.622%
Last 10 (10)78.287.9166.1-9.730%
Last 5 (5)80.886.4167.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.487.7163.1-12.320%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.976.4157.2+4.556%
vs Weaker (4)82.871.0153.8+11.875%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
Canberra Capitals WSydney W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A15/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A21/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H29/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A03/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H05/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H11/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A18/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H30/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A01/02
NBL W
81.6Avg total
41.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.144.484.5-4.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.542.986.4+0.562%-
Last 30 away (17)37.645.583.1-7.924%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.481.6+0.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.687.0+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.245.884.9-6.632%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.543.585.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (3)42.737.780.3+5.067%-
This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#3
L
28-63
28
63
-35
A18/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H22/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H30/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H02/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A12/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A17/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H19/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A22/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H25/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A30/01
NBL W
88.4Avg total
41.5Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.182.1-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.939.582.4+3.465%-
Last 30 away (13)38.643.281.8-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)41.546.988.4-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.688.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.249.487.6-11.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.937.679.6+4.362%-
vs Weaker (4)44.534.278.8+10.275%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.223.3
48.3%
46.9%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.2
30.6%
32.2%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.511.7
66.9%
75.1%11.7
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydney Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney W: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.6
49.4%
46.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.0
34.6%
32.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws12.79.2
72.4%
75.1%9.2
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Canberra Capitals W
WLWLWWWLLL
Sydney W
WLLWLLLWLL
#4
League position
#5
-0.5
Net rating
-12.2
95.0
Offensive rating
95.2
95.5
Defensive rating
107.3
47.6%
Effective FG%
50.6%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
20.4%
Turnover %
21.7%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.19
30.6%
3-point %
34.6%
58.0%
Assist %
59.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.0 · 95.2Defence95.5 · 107.3Shooting47.6% · 50.6%3-point %30.6% · 34.6%Ball care20.4% · 21.7%Off. rebounds28.2% · 24.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Canberra Capitals W   ■ Sydney W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Canberra Capitals W wins
8
Sydney W wins
DateGameScore
30/01/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W88-92 OT
03/11/24Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W102-85
19/01/24Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W90-65
08/12/23Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W70-72
15/11/23Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W86-81
30/12/22Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W81-70
23/12/22Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W87-72
10/12/22Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W80-92
28/01/22Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W86-54
05/12/21Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W55-58
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25AGeelong United W91-77
30/01/25HSydney W88-92 OT
25/01/25HSouthside W94-79
18/01/25ATownsville W71-105
11/01/25HAdelaide Lightning W91-76
05/01/25HGeelong United W89-69
03/01/25AAdelaide Lightning W88-77
29/12/24HPerth Lynx W80-89
21/12/24ATownsville W48-81
15/12/24AAdelaide Lightning W67-68
Sydney Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25ACanberra Capitals W92-88 OT
25/01/25HPerth Lynx W83-105
22/01/25ATownsville W75-89
19/01/25HAdelaide Lightning W84-60
17/01/25AGeelong United W70-90
12/01/25ABendigo W62-80
02/01/25HBendigo W71-92
30/12/24HSouthside W99-91
22/12/24HAdelaide Lightning W73-86
18/12/24ATownsville W73-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW37%
HomeLWWWL44%
AwayLLWLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%44%30%
Points / game79.485.274.1
Allowed / game85.285.085.3
Point differential-5.8+0.2-11.2
Avg total164.5170.2159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Sydney W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW39%
HomeLWLWL56%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%56%22%
Points / game78.884.373.3
Allowed / game83.582.184.9
Point differential-4.7+2.2-11.6
Avg total162.3166.4158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W2018290%85.772.2+13.5
2 Perth Lynx W2015575%86.879.2+7.6
3 Townsville W1914574%81.572.1+9.4
4 Sydney W1871139%78.883.5-4.7
5 Canberra Capitals W1971237%79.485.2-5.8
6 Adelaide Lightning W2061430%72.176.8-4.7
7 Geelong United W2061430%72.283.1-10.8
8 Southside W2051525%80.385.2-4.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra Capitals W1719142171
Sydney W1622163286
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.