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Canberra Capitals W vs Sydney W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 88-92 (OT)
30-28 15-16 19-19 16-17 8-12
Position#4
Record6-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game85.2
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
vs
Sydney W 🏆
Australia
Position#5
Record6-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game83.2
AustraliaNBL WRound 14· AIS Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W
27 Dec 2025
CANB61
SYDN91
15 Nov 2025
CANB96
SYDN56
09 Feb 2025
CANB71
SYDN86
30 Jan 2025
CANB88
SYDN92
08 Dec 2023
CANB70
SYDN72
10 Dec 2022
CANB80
SYDN92
28 Jan 2022
CANB86
SYDN54
05 Jan 2022
CANB v SYDN
upcoming
25 Nov 2020
CANB v SYDN
upcoming
26 Jan 2020
CANB82
SYDN66
02 Nov 2019
CANB91
SYDN66
04 Nov 2018
CANB84
SYDN79
07 Dec 2017
CANB67
SYDN73
04 Nov 2017
CANB72
SYDN81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Southside W
#7
L
78-89
78
89
-11
70avg 67
H04/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
63-87
63
87
-24
47avg 67
A12/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
67-68
67
68
-1
54avg 67
A15/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
48-81
48
81
-33
28avg 67
A21/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
66avg 67
H29/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 67
A03/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
89-69
89
69
+20
99avg 67
H05/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
86avg 67
H11/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
71-105
71
105
-34
59avg 67
A18/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
94-79
94
79
+15
86avg 67
H25/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
19-21
15-20
22-28
10-20
20-37
14-20
19-10
15-17
13-22
19-19
20-10
10-18
17-17
4-23
17-23
23-18
23-21
18-27
16-23
16-22
28-21
21-23
23-11
27-15
18-20
23-9
21-25
28-14
15-21
23-18
25-23
27-30
13-23
18-31
13-21
24-20
24-20
21-19
25-20
158.9Avg total
76.9Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.285.2163.4-7.135%
Season at home (8)84.984.1169.0+0.850%
Season away (9)72.286.2158.4-14.022%
Last 10 (10)76.982.0158.9-5.140%
Last 5 (5)86.681.2167.8+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)75.786.4162.0-10.724%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.984.1167.0-1.343%
vs Weaker (2)81.064.5145.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sydney WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#8
W
81-74
81
74
+7
76avg 71
A14/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
73-98
73
98
-25
58avg 71
A18/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
73-86
73
86
-13
57avg 71
H22/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
99-91
99
91
+8
100avg 71
H30/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
71-92
71
92
-21
64avg 71
H02/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
62-80
62
80
-18
52avg 71
A12/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
70-90
70
90
-20
63avg 71
A17/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
84-60
84
60
+24
79avg 71
H19/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 71
A22/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
83-105
83
105
-22
77avg 71
H25/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
22-20
21-23
13-19
13-33
15-30
28-23
17-12
25-18
18-13
19-21
11-34
29-31
24-15
20-19
26-26
24-31
17-25
12-26
18-10
21-28
13-17
14-24
14-11
27-22
19-24
16-32
8-12
30-9
15-18
23-19
16-14
14-25
20-33
15-13
26-18
24-28
23-24
10-39
26-14
163.6Avg total
77.1Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.183.2161.3-5.235%
Season at home (9)84.382.1166.4+2.256%
Season away (8)71.084.5155.5-13.512%
Last 10 (10)77.186.5163.6-9.430%
Last 5 (5)74.884.8159.6-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.986.1159.0-13.218%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.175.6155.7+4.553%
vs Weaker (4)82.871.0153.8+11.875%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
Canberra Capitals WSydney W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southside W
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H04/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
30-57
30
57
-27
A12/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A15/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A21/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H29/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A03/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H05/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H11/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A18/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/01
NBL W
80.9Avg total
39.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.143.983.9-3.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.541.785.2+1.864%-
Last 30 away (16)37.145.882.8-8.719%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.780.9-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.285.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)39.744.884.4-5.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.043.484.4-2.443%-
vs Weaker (2)41.036.077.0+5.050%-
This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#8
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A14/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
28-63
28
63
-35
A18/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H22/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H30/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H02/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A12/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A17/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H19/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A22/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H25/01
NBL W
87.4Avg total
41.8Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.780.9-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.639.180.7+2.561%-
Last 30 away (12)38.243.181.2-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.845.687.4-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.245.686.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.547.984.5-11.418%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.837.178.9+4.767%-
vs Weaker (4)44.534.278.8+10.275%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.723.2
46.7%
46.9%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.6
29.3%
32.2%19.8
🏀 Free throws14.99.9
66.4%
75.1%9.9
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydney Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney W: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.716.9
48.7%
46.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.0
35.3%
32.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws13.29.5
72.0%
75.1%9.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Canberra Capitals W
WLWWWLLLLL
Sydney W
LLWLLLWLLW
#4
League position
#5
-5.9
Net rating
-11.9
92.0
Offensive rating
94.7
98.0
Defensive rating
106.6
45.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
20.7%
Turnover %
23.1%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.20
29.3%
3-point %
35.3%
58.7%
Assist %
60.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.0 · 94.7Defence98.0 · 106.6Shooting45.8% · 50.7%3-point %29.3% · 35.3%Ball care20.7% · 23.1%Off. rebounds29.3% · 25.4%Free throws0.21 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Canberra Capitals W   ■ Sydney W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Canberra Capitals W wins
7
Sydney W wins
DateGameScore
03/11/24Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W102-85
19/01/24Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W90-65
08/12/23Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W70-72
15/11/23Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W86-81
30/12/22Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W81-70
23/12/22Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W87-72
10/12/22Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W80-92
28/01/22Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W86-54
05/12/21Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W55-58
21/11/20Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W63-68
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HSouthside W94-79
18/01/25ATownsville W71-105
11/01/25HAdelaide Lightning W91-76
05/01/25HGeelong United W89-69
03/01/25AAdelaide Lightning W88-77
29/12/24HPerth Lynx W80-89
21/12/24ATownsville W48-81
15/12/24AAdelaide Lightning W67-68
12/12/24APerth Lynx W63-87
04/12/24HSouthside W78-89
Sydney Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HPerth Lynx W83-105
22/01/25ATownsville W75-89
19/01/25HAdelaide Lightning W84-60
17/01/25AGeelong United W70-90
12/01/25ABendigo W62-80
02/01/25HBendigo W71-92
30/12/24HSouthside W99-91
22/12/24HAdelaide Lightning W73-86
18/12/24ATownsville W73-98
14/12/24AGeelong United W81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW35%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%50%22%
Points / game78.284.972.2
Allowed / game85.284.186.2
Point differential-7.1+0.8-14.0
Avg total163.4169.0158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL35%
HomeLWLWL56%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%56%12%
Points / game78.184.371.0
Allowed / game83.282.184.5
Point differential-5.2+2.2-13.5
Avg total161.3166.4155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W1917289%85.472.2+13.2
2 Perth Lynx W1814478%87.378.9+8.4
3 Townsville W1712571%80.571.9+8.6
4 Sydney W1761135%78.183.2-5.2
5 Canberra Capitals W1761135%78.285.2-7.1
6 Geelong United W1861233%71.782.0-10.3
7 Adelaide Lightning W1751229%71.476.1-4.6
8 Southside W1741324%80.384.9-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Canberra Capitals W30151916888
Sydney W281619171292
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