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CD Povoa vs Oliveirense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 61-68
15-20 15-19 17-11 14-18
Position#10
Record5-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game81.4
CD Povoa
Portugal
vs
Oliveirense 🏆
Portugal
Position#4
Record12-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game79.7
PortugalLPBRound 21· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2024-25
Meetings · CD Povoa v Oliveirense
05 Dec 2026
CD P v OLIV
upcoming
19 Apr 2025
CD P61
OLIV68
14 May 2024
CD P85
OLIV84
13 Apr 2024
CD P90
OLIV81
18 Feb 2023
CD P71
OLIV61
29 Dec 2021
CD P76
OLIV70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oliveirense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
L
80-93
80
93
-13
73avg 62
A25/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
L
98-102
98
102
-4
81avg 62
H02/02
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
71-83
71
83
-12
26avg 62
A15/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
70-75
70
75
-5
60avg 62
H01/03
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
74-80
74
80
-6
60avg 62
H08/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
76avg 62
A15/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
57-84
57
84
-27
40avg 62
A29/03
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
81-71
81
71
+10
72avg 62
H05/04
LPB
Benfica
#4
L
85-106
85
106
-21
78avg 62
A09/04
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
65avg 62
A12/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
12-28
34-23
22-23
26-29
17-26
24-27
31-20
20-17
21-19
24-21
6-26
29-28
19-13
8-15
14-19
21-25
14-18
19-16
20-21
27-20
26-22
12-18
19-12
15-22
20-20
12-21
10-21
17-15
21-21
19-27
24-8
27-25
15-22
18-28
25-31
13-21
18-22
21-22
25-29
163.7Avg total
77.7Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.581.4154.9-7.925%
Season at home (10)75.980.8156.7-4.920%
Season away (10)71.282.0153.2-10.830%
Last 10 (10)77.786.0163.7-8.320%
Last 5 (5)76.885.4162.2-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)71.883.0154.8-11.124%
vs Similar (7)82.383.3165.6-1.029%
vs Weaker (1)82.088.0170.0-6.00%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Galomar
#7
W
89-61
89
61
+28
94avg 77
H02/02
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
79-71
79
71
+8
78avg 77
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 77
A15/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 77
H08/03
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
66-78
66
78
-12
56avg 77
A15/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
56avg 77
A22/03
Taca de Portugal
CA Queluz
#11
W
88-69
88
69
+19
85avg 77
H30/03
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
87avg 77
A05/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
71-82
71
82
-11
no box
H08/04
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
92-80
92
80
+12
95avg 77
H13/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
21-19
14-20
28-8
22-21
13-9
21-14
23-27
20-23
21-26
19-15
18-19
15-22
18-19
14-21
31-24
9-20
20-20
22-20
15-18
21-27
17-20
15-13
17-20
17-21
20-9
25-19
26-20
19-11
12-25
24-17
20-22
14-21
14-21
12-9
31-31
26-24
22-17
18-24
26-15
158.0Avg total
80.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.679.7165.3+5.960%
Season at home (10)87.175.5162.6+11.680%
Season away (10)84.183.9168.0+0.240%
Last 10 (10)80.377.7158.0+2.650%
Last 5 (5)82.679.6162.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.291.2160.4-22.00%
vs Similar (5)78.483.8162.2-5.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.675.7162.3+10.979%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.1+3.1
CD PovoaOliveirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A25/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H02/02
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A15/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H01/03
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H08/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A15/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A29/03
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/04
LPB
Benfica
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A09/04
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A12/04
LPB
82.2Avg total
39.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.179.3-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.340.980.2-1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)37.341.278.5-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.282.2-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.081.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.639.677.2-2.048%-
vs Similar (7)40.443.083.4-2.657%-
vs Weaker (1)44.053.097.0-9.00%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#7
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H02/02
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A15/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H08/03
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A15/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A22/03
Taca de Portugal
CA Queluz
#11
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H30/03
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A05/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H08/04
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H13/04
LPB
75.6Avg total
36.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.279.3-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.738.479.1+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)37.641.979.5-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)36.738.975.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.275.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.645.677.2-14.00%-
vs Similar (5)36.838.675.4-1.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.239.680.8+1.658%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.7
49.9%
51.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.3
29.1%
32.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.915.4
70.3%
69.2%15.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.213.4
53.2%
51.2%26.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.3
35.4%
32.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.919.0
79.5%
69.2%19.0
They take 51.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
LLWLWLLLLL
Oliveirense
WLWWLLLLWW
#10
League position
#4
-11.3
Net rating
+2.6
101.7
Offensive rating
108.5
112.9
Defensive rating
105.8
47.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
18.2%
Turnover %
22.1%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.46
29.1%
3-point %
35.4%
47.8%
Assist %
75.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 108.5Defence112.9 · 105.8Shooting47.4% · 53.1%3-point %29.1% · 35.4%Ball care18.2% · 22.1%Off. rebounds31.0% · 32.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.46Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Oliveirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
CD Povoa wins
6
Oliveirense wins
DateGameScore
29/12/24Oliveirense v CD Povoa92-53
17/05/24Oliveirense v CD Povoa78-69
14/05/24CD Povoa v Oliveirense85-84
11/05/24Oliveirense v CD Povoa78-65
13/04/24CD Povoa v Oliveirense90-81
14/02/24Oliveirense v CD Povoa86-83 OT
01/12/23Oliveirense v CD Povoa104-75
18/02/23CD Povoa v Oliveirense71-61
03/12/22Oliveirense v CD Povoa74-70
29/12/21CD Povoa v Oliveirense76-70
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25ABenfica77-94
09/04/25ABenfica85-106
05/04/25HVitoria81-71
29/03/25ASporting CP57-84
15/03/25AGalomar84-72
08/03/25HGalitos Barreiro74-80
01/03/25HGalitos Barreiro70-75
15/02/25AOvarense71-83
02/02/25HCA Queluz98-102
25/01/25AEsgueira80-93
Oliveirenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25HGalitos Barreiro92-80
08/04/25HOvarense71-82
05/04/25AOvarense92-87 OT
30/03/25HCA Queluz88-69
22/03/25ASporting CP70-80
15/03/25AEsgueira66-78
08/03/25HFC Porto78-86
15/02/25AImortal78-83
09/02/25AGalitos Barreiro79-71
02/02/25HGalomar89-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL25%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%20%30%
Points / game73.575.971.2
Allowed / game81.480.882.0
Point differential-7.8-4.9-10.8
Avg total154.9156.7153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)0% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Oliveirense
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLWLWW80%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game85.687.184.1
Allowed / game79.775.583.9
Point differential+5.9+11.6+0.2
Avg total165.3162.6168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica2120195%91.076.5+14.5
2 FC Porto2017385%88.278.5+9.7
3 Sporting CP2114767%86.078.7+7.3
4 Oliveirense2012860%85.679.7+5.9
5 Ovarense2012860%79.779.5+0.2
6 Galitos Barreiro2091145%79.480.5-1.1
7 Esgueira2091145%82.386.7-4.4
8 Imortal2091145%78.985.0-6.2
9 Vitoria2191243%82.283.6-1.4
10 CD Povoa2051525%73.581.4-7.8
11 CA Queluz2041620%81.089.8-8.8
12 Galomar2121910%74.483.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa1515171461
Oliveirense2019111868
← all games of the day
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