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Beroe vs Lok. Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 95-98 (OT)
21-24 19-15 28-26 19-22 8-11
Position#9
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#6
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game73.0
BulgariaNBLRound 2· Municipal Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Beroe v Lok. Plovdiv
17 Oct 2026
BERO95
LOK.98
27 Oct 2025
BERO86
LOK.89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lok. Plovdiv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
83-96
83
96
-13
75avg 73
A22/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
79-92
79
92
-13
65avg 73
A25/03
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
81-98
81
98
-17
no box
H29/03
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
82-87
82
87
-5
72avg 73
A04/04
NBL
Levski
#10
W
92-76
92
76
+16
83avg 73
H10/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
76-117
76
117
-41
60avg 73
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 73
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
54avg 73
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 73
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
86-90
86
90
-4
76avg 73
A11/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
24-23
15-16
26-28
23-22
19-27
12-13
25-30
22-26
16-19
26-25
17-28
25-19
16-21
18-22
23-25
30-17
24-15
16-14
22-30
21-32
20-29
11-37
24-19
27-27
23-24
19-22
20-23
19-22
15-22
17-22
18-23
14-19
25-23
18-23
23-25
30-22
22-24
9-21
25-23
174.8Avg total
81.7Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.090.0176.0-4.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)86.090.0176.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)81.793.1174.8-11.410%
Last 5 (5)80.096.4176.4-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)79.994.1174.0-14.211%
vs Similar ◀ (6)87.385.0172.3+2.350%
vs Weaker (5)87.683.0170.6+4.660%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
99-88
99
88
+11
97avg 83
H17/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
92-87
92
87
+5
78avg 83
A20/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
64avg 83
A25/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
84avg 83
A27/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
82-77
82
77
+5
75avg 83
H30/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 83
H01/06
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
75avg 83
A05/06
NBL
VEF Riga
#11
L
83-106
83
106
-23
72avg 83
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
85avg 83
A11/10
NBL
CSM Oradea
#17
W
79-69
79
69
+10
73avg 83
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
31-19
28-21
18-26
24-21
26-16
17-28
25-22
23-19
16-24
18-23
16-22
28-19
19-27
22-20
12-15
23-23
19-14
18-22
22-18
22-18
20-25
26-19
16-16
18-20
21-18
19-22
22-21
27-27
14-26
17-28
25-25
21-15
23-19
29-18
19-21
17-20
26-18
20-15
16-16
169.4Avg total
85.3Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)92.073.0165.0+19.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)92.073.0165.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.384.1169.4+1.260%
Last 5 (5)83.681.4165.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)84.587.1171.7-2.647%
vs Similar ◀ (2)84.076.0160.0+8.050%
vs Weaker (13)93.082.7175.7+10.377%
This opponent (Beroe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
BeroeLok. Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A22/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A25/03
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/03
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A04/04
NBL
Levski
#10
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H10/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A11/10
NBL
89.5Avg total
43.3Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.744.286.9-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.141.385.4+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)41.447.188.5-5.727%-
Last 10 (10)43.346.289.5-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)43.248.892.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)41.146.287.2-5.121%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.242.586.7+1.767%-
vs Weaker (5)47.438.886.2+8.680%-
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H17/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A20/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A25/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A27/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H30/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H01/06
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A05/06
NBL
VEF Riga
#11
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/10
NBL
CSM Oradea
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
85.0Avg total
44.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.842.288.0+3.670%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.240.686.8+5.677%-
Last 30 away (17)45.543.588.9+2.065%-
Last 10 (10)44.041.085.0+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.283.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)43.142.385.4+0.760%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)44.035.579.5+8.5100%-
vs Weaker (13)49.243.292.4+6.177%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀16%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.625.3
54.3%
55.5%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.54.5
22.0%
29.8%13.5
🏀 Free throws25.318.3
72.3%
71.2%18.3
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.9
53.9%
55.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.2
35.0%
29.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.217.9
80.6%
71.2%17.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beroe
LLLLLWLLLL
Lok. Plovdiv
WWLLWWLLWW
#9
League position
#6
-6.3
Net rating
+1.6
94.7
Offensive rating
98.0
101.1
Defensive rating
96.4
47.8%
Effective FG%
53.3%
59.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
12.9%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.35
22.0%
3-point %
35.0%
61.4%
Assist %
58.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.7 · 98.0Defence101.1 · 96.4Shooting47.8% · 53.3%3-point %22.0% · 35.0%Ball care12.9% · 13.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Beroe   ■ Lok. Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Beroe wins
3
Lok. Plovdiv wins
DateGameScore
22/03/26Lok. Plovdiv v Beroe96-83
04/01/26Lok. Plovdiv v Beroe117-88
27/10/25Beroe v Lok. Plovdiv86-89
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26ABotev Academic86-90
02/05/26HRilski Sportist80-90
30/04/26ARilski Sportist69-89
20/04/26HBalkan89-96
16/04/26ACherno More76-117
10/04/26HLevski92-76
04/04/26AMinyor82-87
29/03/26HRilski Sportist81-98
25/03/26ASpartak Pleven79-92
22/03/26ALok. Plovdiv83-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26HCSM Oradea79-69
11/10/26ASpartak Pleven92-73
07/10/26AVEF Riga83-106
05/06/26ABalkan80-81
01/06/26HBalkan84-78
30/05/26HBalkan82-77
27/05/26ABalkan89-94 OT
25/05/26ABalkan73-88
20/05/26ARilski Sportist92-87
17/05/26HRilski Sportist99-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beroe
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game86.0-86.0
Allowed / game90.0-90.0
Point differential-4.0--4.0
Avg total176.0-176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game92.0-92.0
Allowed / game73.0-73.0
Point differential+19.0-+19.0
Avg total165.0-165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist110100%96.064.0+32.0
2 Minyor110100%123.0101.0+22.0
3 Balkan220100%96.074.5+21.5
4 Lok. Plovdiv110100%92.073.0+19.0
5 Cherno More110100%93.076.0+17.0
6 CSKA Sofia110100%100.095.0+5.0
7 Botev Academic110100%90.086.0+4.0
8 Shumen21150%94.0103.5-9.5
9 Beroe1010%86.090.0-4.0
10 Polytechnica1010%95.0100.0-5.0
11 Botev 20122020%75.089.0-14.0
12 Levski2020%79.597.0-17.5
13 Spartak Pleven1010%73.092.0-19.0
14 Yambol1010%64.096.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Beroe21192819895
Lok. Plovdiv241526221198
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