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Bigua vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 81-95
22-26 23-25 17-20 19-24
Position#6
Record7-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
Position#2
Record11-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game79.7
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Arena Bigua
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bigua v Aguada
09 Oct 2025
BIGU87
AGUA90
07 Apr 2025
BIGU90
AGUA95
28 Jan 2025
BIGU81
AGUA95
05 Dec 2023
BIGU81
AGUA94
18 Dec 2022
BIGU94
AGUA93
11 Mar 2022
BIGU91
AGUA84
03 May 2021
BIGU108
AGUA104
06 Feb 2020
BIGU69
AGUA83
11 Feb 2019
BIGU91
AGUA86
10 Jan 2018
BIGU64
AGUA81
07 Jan 2017
BIGU75
AGUA71
07 Oct 2016
BIGU87
AGUA81
01 Dec 2015
BIGU71
AGUA98
11 Feb 2014
BIGU76
AGUA84
21 Jan 2013
BIGU106
AGUA94
17 Oct 2012
BIGU88
AGUA83
18 Nov 2011
BIGU83
AGUA90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bigua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BiguaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBigua
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
60-73
60
73
-13
16avg 74
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
113-85
113
85
+28
110avg 74
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
78avg 74
A03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
79-85
79
85
-6
71avg 74
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
72avg 74
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Minas
#3
L
77-85
77
85
-8
72avg 74
H12/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
L
66-79
66
79
-13
57avg 74
H14/01
Champions League Americas
Trouville
#13
W
92-87
92
87
+5
88avg 74
H18/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
87-82
87
82
+5
86avg 74
A21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
79-81
79
81
-2
71avg 74
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
9-20
16-22
17-14
23-16
24-23
35-22
31-24
18-27
20-25
13-22
31-23
21-24
22-12
16-29
20-20
16-16
20-23
24-24
22-12
11-25
21-23
16-17
29-20
12-20
24-23
17-9
13-27
26-27
23-16
21-15
22-29
22-17
26-26
19-19
20-20
28-27
18-22
17-22
16-10
164.6Avg total
81.7Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.384.7168.9-0.447%
Season at home (7)89.783.6173.3+6.157%
Season away (8)79.585.6165.1-6.138%
Last 10 (10)81.782.9164.6-1.240%
Last 5 (5)80.282.8163.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.883.8155.6-12.00%
vs Similar (9)78.183.8161.9-5.733%
vs Weaker (16)83.178.2161.3+4.962%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Urupan
#10
W
96-73
96
73
+23
95avg 87
A17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
102-83
102
83
+19
102avg 87
A03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
81-67
81
67
+14
76avg 87
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
88-90
88
90
-2
76avg 87
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
83-65
83
65
+18
80avg 87
H17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
104-74
104
74
+30
108avg 87
A06/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
87avg 87
A11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
77-69
77
69
+8
72avg 87
H15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
91-78
91
78
+13
94avg 87
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
88-96
88
96
-8
72avg 87
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
26-15
28-20
19-17
29-23
24-20
21-24
28-16
20-16
23-10
21-18
17-23
27-14
23-24
24-23
14-29
19-20
19-12
22-18
23-15
26-23
17-22
29-22
32-7
15-20
28-14
25-23
21-28
19-10
16-22
21-23
21-14
30-20
19-22
17-20
25-16
23-21
19-15
20-31
26-29
167.9Avg total
89.9Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.579.7169.1+9.873%
Season at home (7)90.678.6169.1+12.086%
Season away (8)88.580.6169.1+7.962%
Last 10 (10)89.978.0167.9+11.980%
Last 5 (5)89.880.4170.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.090.0178.0-2.00%
vs Similar (12)86.883.3170.1+3.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)91.579.9171.4+11.682%
This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
BiguaAguada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Minas
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H12/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/01
Champions League Americas
Trouville
#13
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H18/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
83.1Avg total
40.2Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.042.983.9-1.941%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.742.783.5-2.047%-
Last 30 away (14)41.343.184.4-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.983.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.287.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)34.644.679.2-10.00%-
vs Similar (9)39.845.685.3-5.822%-
vs Weaker (15)43.940.884.7+3.167%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A06/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
80.9Avg total
44.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.041.187.2+4.977%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.941.690.6+7.393%-
Last 30 away (16)43.540.784.2+2.862%-
Last 10 (10)44.536.480.9+8.190%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.880.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.038.088.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar (12)45.143.288.3+1.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.539.886.3+6.682%-
This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.7
53.4%
51.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.5
33.4%
33.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.812.0
71.4%
71.7%12.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.722.6
58.4%
51.5%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.0
32.9%
33.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.713.6
72.7%
71.7%13.6
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bigua
LWWLLWLLWL
Aguada
LWWWWWLWWW
#6
League position
#2
-1.0
Net rating
+14.7
104.9
Offensive rating
112.7
105.9
Defensive rating
98.0
51.9%
Effective FG%
54.4%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.9%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.4%
3-point %
32.9%
64.4%
Assist %
64.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 112.7Defence105.9 · 98.0Shooting51.9% · 54.4%3-point %33.4% · 32.9%Ball care17.1% · 15.9%Off. rebounds26.7% · 29.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Bigua   ■ Aguada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bigua wins
6
Aguada wins
DateGameScore
11/11/24Aguada v Bigua88-67
15/02/24Aguada v Bigua107-85
05/12/23Bigua v Aguada81-94
03/03/23Aguada v Bigua89-85
18/12/22Bigua v Aguada94-93
12/03/22Bigua v Aguada91-84
22/12/21Aguada v Bigua70-73
03/05/21Bigua v Aguada108-104
06/02/20Bigua v Aguada69-83
06/12/19Aguada v Bigua92-74
Bigualast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25HDefensor79-81
21/01/25AWelcome87-82
18/01/25HTrouville92-87
14/01/25HQuimsa66-79
12/01/25HMinas77-85
09/01/25AMalvin82-75
07/01/25AUrunday79-85
03/01/25ANacional82-97
18/12/24HHebraica y Macabi113-85
14/12/24HMinas60-73
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25ACordon88-96
17/01/25HUrupan91-78
15/01/25HPenarol77-69
11/01/25ADefensor89-85
06/01/25AWelcome104-74
17/12/24HTrouville83-65
13/12/24HNacional88-90
05/12/24AMalvin81-67
03/12/24AHebraica y Macabi102-83
17/11/24AUrupan96-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bigua
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL47%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%57%38%
Points / game84.389.779.5
Allowed / game84.783.685.6
Point differential-0.4+6.1-6.1
Avg total168.9173.3165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %73%86%62%
Points / game89.590.688.5
Allowed / game79.778.680.6
Point differential+9.8+12.0+7.9
Avg total169.1169.1169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional1615194%91.277.6+13.7
2 Aguada1511473%89.579.7+9.8
3 Penarol1611569%83.673.0+10.6
4 Malvin1611569%80.877.1+3.7
5 Defensor168850%85.981.9+4.0
6 Bigua157847%84.384.7-0.4
7 Hebraica y Macabi157847%86.088.6-2.6
8 Cordon167944%84.085.5-1.5
9 Urunday1661038%78.284.2-5.9
10 Urupan1541127%80.485.4-5.0
11 Trouville1641225%73.384.1-10.8
12 Welcome1631319%78.293.6-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bigua2223171981
Aguada2625202495
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