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Defensor vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 85-89
20-15 14-28 23-25 28-21
Position#5
Record4-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
Position#2
Record8-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game78.8
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Welcome
Other2024-25
Meetings · Defensor v Aguada
28 Apr 2026
DEFE88
AGUA60
19 Feb 2026
DEFE98
AGUA92
10 Jan 2025
DEFE85
AGUA89
23 Apr 2024
DEFE91
AGUA85
01 Nov 2023
DEFE85
AGUA70
21 Dec 2022
DEFE69
AGUA81
07 Feb 2022
DEFE86
AGUA81
07 May 2021
DEFE93
AGUA97
06 Nov 2019
DEFE20
AGUA0
08 Apr 2019
DEFE81
AGUA93
28 Mar 2019
DEFE81
AGUA90
21 Mar 2019
DEFE71
AGUA76
12 Oct 2018
DEFE84
AGUA66
02 Mar 2018
DEFE99
AGUA83
23 Oct 2017
DEFE86
AGUA75
28 Apr 2017
DEFE92
AGUA108
20 Apr 2017
DEFE78
AGUA88
07 Feb 2017
DEFE89
AGUA96
21 Nov 2015
DEFE75
AGUA71
23 Jan 2015
DEFE93
AGUA89
14 Nov 2014
DEFE85
AGUA74
10 Apr 2014
DEFE79
AGUA75
02 Apr 2014
DEFE70
AGUA81
14 Feb 2014
DEFE89
AGUA77
06 May 2013
DEFE72
AGUA86
29 Apr 2013
DEFE80
AGUA62
23 Apr 2013
DEFE61
AGUA69
15 Apr 2013
DEFE81
AGUA91
01 Feb 2013
DEFE89
AGUA87
15 Dec 2012
DEFE89
AGUA85
04 Oct 2011
DEFE80
AGUA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Defensor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 72
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
84-96
84
96
-12
73avg 72
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
100-79
100
79
+21
99avg 72
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
82-65
82
65
+17
76avg 72
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
120-111 OT
120
111
+9
110avg 72
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 72
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
90-59
90
59
+31
93avg 72
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
56avg 72
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
64-70
64
70
-6
51avg 72
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 72
H08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
24-21
22-16
19-24
31-23
11-26
16-24
26-23
31-20
29-18
24-11
16-30
11-20
28-24
27-19
16-2
22-24
26-15
18-27
28-28
29-18
19-20
16-25
14-18
28-6
26-15
18-14
18-24
17-24
16-33
21-17
19-12
19-14
17-14
14-24
14-18
18-21
20-20
20-26
20-21
167.0Avg total
85.1Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.181.9167.0+3.240%
Season at home (4)87.572.8160.2+14.875%
Season away (6)83.588.0171.5-4.517%
Last 10 (10)85.181.9167.0+3.240%
Last 5 (5)76.676.8153.4-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.182.4157.5-7.333%
vs Similar (9)85.081.6166.6+3.467%
vs Weaker (9)87.676.7164.2+10.978%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Urunday
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
55avg 87
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
96-84
96
84
+12
97avg 87
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
111-97
111
97
+14
115avg 87
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
88-67
88
67
+21
89avg 87
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
96-73
96
73
+23
95avg 87
A17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
102-83
102
83
+19
102avg 87
A03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
81-67
81
67
+14
76avg 87
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
88-90
88
90
-2
76avg 87
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
83-65
83
65
+18
80avg 87
H17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
104-74
104
74
+30
108avg 87
A06/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-12
21-30
18-26
19-13
23-31
26-11
24-16
23-26
28-24
30-33
24-25
29-15
31-14
13-21
22-12
22-20
23-21
26-15
28-20
19-17
29-23
24-20
21-24
28-16
20-16
23-10
21-18
17-23
27-14
23-24
24-23
14-29
19-20
19-12
22-18
23-15
26-23
17-22
29-22
32-7
170.1Avg total
92.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.678.8169.5+11.873%
Season at home (5)93.280.6173.8+12.680%
Season away (6)88.577.3165.8+11.267%
Last 10 (10)92.078.1170.1+13.980%
Last 5 (5)91.675.8167.4+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.090.0178.0-2.00%
vs Similar (13)88.884.8173.6+3.969%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.779.6172.2+13.181%
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +4.5+4.5
DefensorAguada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
54-21
54
21
+33
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H08/01
Liga Uruguaya
83.8Avg total
43.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.081.9+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.739.483.1+4.350%-
Last 30 away (16)40.240.680.8-0.462%-
Last 10 (10)43.939.983.8+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.078.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.439.878.2-1.442%-
vs Similar (9)43.943.187.0+0.867%-
vs Weaker (9)44.337.281.6+7.167%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#8
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A06/01
Liga Uruguaya
85.7Avg total
46.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.742.389.0+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.243.192.4+6.179%-
Last 30 away (16)44.441.686.0+2.956%-
Last 10 (10)46.139.685.7+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)45.436.882.2+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.038.088.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar (13)45.844.590.3+1.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.240.887.9+6.475%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.5
50.9%
51.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.610.3
30.7%
33.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws15.712.2
77.7%
71.7%12.2
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.423.2
60.4%
51.5%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.2
33.7%
33.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
71.7%14.1
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Defensor
LLLWLWWWLL
Aguada
WWLWWWWWWL
#5
League position
#2
+3.7
Net rating
+17.7
104.4
Offensive rating
115.0
100.7
Defensive rating
97.4
48.6%
Effective FG%
56.0%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.6%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.7%
3-point %
33.7%
59.4%
Assist %
66.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 115.0Defence100.7 · 97.4Shooting48.6% · 56.0%3-point %30.7% · 33.7%Ball care14.9% · 16.6%Off. rebounds28.1% · 29.3%Free throws0.21 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Defensor   ■ Aguada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Defensor wins
7
Aguada wins
DateGameScore
05/11/24Aguada v Defensor96-84
24/04/24Defensor v Aguada91-85
05/03/24Aguada v Defensor82-77
15/12/23Aguada v Defensor92-77
02/11/23Defensor v Aguada85-70
21/12/22Defensor v Aguada69-81
21/10/22Aguada v Defensor90-82
08/02/22Defensor v Aguada86-81
09/11/21Aguada v Defensor76-67
08/05/21Defensor v Aguada93-97
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25HNacional78-88
20/12/24APenarol64-70
16/12/24AMalvin73-86
13/12/24HTrouville90-59
10/12/24AUrunday78-81
05/12/24AWelcome120-111 OT
14/11/24HCordon82-65
08/11/24HBigua100-79
05/11/24AAguada84-96
02/11/24AHebraica y Macabi82-84
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/25AWelcome104-74
17/12/24HTrouville83-65
13/12/24HNacional88-90
05/12/24AMalvin81-67
03/12/24AHebraica y Macabi102-83
17/11/24AUrupan96-73
11/11/24HBigua88-67
08/11/24HCordon111-97
05/11/24HDefensor96-84
31/10/24AUrunday71-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%75%17%
Points / game85.187.583.5
Allowed / game81.972.888.0
Point differential+3.2+14.8-4.5
Avg total167.0160.2171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game90.693.288.5
Allowed / game78.880.677.3
Point differential+11.8+12.6+11.2
Avg total169.5173.8165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%80%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional12120100%92.577.2+15.2
2 Penarol129375%84.271.4+12.8
3 Aguada118373%90.678.8+11.8
4 Malvin118373%79.274.8+4.4
5 Urunday116555%77.279.8-2.6
6 Hebraica y Macabi126650%86.289.3-3.1
7 Bigua125742%83.885.0-1.2
8 Defensor104640%85.181.9+3.2
9 Cordon124833%83.285.4-2.2
10 Urupan113827%80.186.0-5.9
11 Trouville123925%70.982.9-12.0
12 Welcome121118%76.295.4-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Defensor2014232885
Aguada1528252189
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